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<v Norman Swan>I apologize to those who had to listen to me in the last session, you've come a second time,

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<v Norman Swan>but you've got much cleverer people than me now. My name is Norman Swan, I produce and present the

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<v Norman Swan>Health Report on Radio National. I can't hear you. And you can't hear me, but they can. No,

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<v Norman Swan>I'm sure they can, but we can't. I'll come back a little bit. So this is a panel discussion

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<v Norman Swan>entitled Before You Eat. I think some postmodernists designed the title, but

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<v Norman Swan>we're going to have a conversation. And at absolutely any time you like during the conversation,

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<v Norman Swan>you can join in. And there's a microphone there in the middle, and just come up to that microphone

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<v Norman Swan>and I'll take your comment. And it's probably better that you just come when you've got something

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<v Norman Swan>to say when we're talking about it rather than half an hour later, I bring you back to the topic.

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<v Norman Swan>So feel free, come up. And if I haven't noticed you, just raise your hand. And we'll take your,

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<v Norman Swan>so this is a panel discussion.

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<v Norman Swan>This is really as much your session as it is ours. I have Peter Clifton, who is a research team leader

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<v Norman Swan>of the CSIRO Division of Human Nutrition, co-author of the book that you've never heard of,

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<v Norman Swan>The CSIRO Diet, which will live with him to his grave. Next to Peter is Karen O'Day.

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<v Norman Swan>Karen O'Day is a human nutritionist.

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<v Norman Swan>Karen O'Day is a professorial fellow at the University of Melbourne at St. Vincent's Hospital

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<v Norman Swan>and the Baker Institute in Melbourne. And Marian Nestle, who's the final person there on our panel,

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<v Norman Swan>who is Professor of Nutrition, Food Science and Sociology at New York University.

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<v Norman Swan>I've got it all wrong.

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<v Speaker 2>You just made that up.

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<v Norman Swan>I made it up or she made it up?

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<v Speaker 3>Close.

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<v Norman Swan>Close.

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<v Norman Swan>It's close enough. Tell me about the sociology.

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<v Norman Swan>Sociology split and nutrition.

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<v Speaker 4>Sociology and nutrition.

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<v Speaker 4>I don't know.

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<v Speaker 4>I got an email from the head of the sociology department at New York University saying that they had read my book,

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<v Speaker 4>Food Politics, and would I like to join the department.

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<v Speaker 4>And I had no idea I was a sociologist.

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<v Speaker 4>I thought I was a nutritionist.

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<v Speaker 4>But I was very flattered.

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<v Speaker 4>And it turns out I've been practicing sociology without a license for many years.

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<v Speaker 4>Didn't know that.

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<v Norman Swan>So what is it about?

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<v Norman Swan>But you're really...

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<v Norman Swan>Your real interest has also been in the politics of food.

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<v Speaker 5>What's...

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<v Norman Swan>I mean, just give us a brief idea.

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<v Norman Swan>This is about before you eat.

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<v Norman Swan>So the theme of today, I'm sure we'll leave that far behind.

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<v Norman Swan>But in terms of before you eat, before it gets to our plate, before we actually lift our forks or our hands,

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<v Norman Swan>the politics must be huge.

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<v Speaker 4>Oh, they're tremendous.

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<v Speaker 4>They're tremendous.

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<v Speaker 4>I've spent the last year for a variety of courses.

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<v Speaker 4>And I have a few coincidences.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm on some very interesting committees going around the country in the United States,

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<v Speaker 4>looking at industrial farm animal production and industrial farm production.

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<v Speaker 4>And in the last year I've been to an industrial artichoke grower, a spinach grower,

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<v Speaker 4>a packing plant, an organic specialty vegetable farm, a pig farm, industrial pig farm,

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<v Speaker 4>farm, a feedlot with 100,000 cattle, an industrial egg producing facility that produces 60,000

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<v Speaker 4>dozen eggs a day.

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<v Speaker 4>One point two million chickens were on that location.

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<v Speaker 4>A dairy farm and so forth.

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<v Speaker 4>And I came away from that thinking that the politics of it was absolutely extraordinary,

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<v Speaker 4>that you can't separate vegetable production from meat production because animal wastes

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<v Speaker 4>get into vegetables inevitably.

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<v Speaker 4>And I understand that in Australia you're starting to put dairy farms in places where

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<v Speaker 4>dairy farms never were before.

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<v Speaker 4>Oh, this is not a good idea.

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<v Speaker 4>You have to look at that very carefully.

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<v Speaker 4>And I came to a bunch of conclusions about it, all of them sociological, I guess.

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<v Speaker 4>One was that we can't continue to do industrial production.

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<v Speaker 4>Industrial agriculture production the way we have been because it's very bad for animals,

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<v Speaker 4>it's very bad for farm workers, and it's pretty bad for consumers as well and for the environment.

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<v Speaker 4>And that we have to make changes in that system.

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<v Speaker 4>And there are lots and lots of experiments going on to attempt to do those changes and

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<v Speaker 4>the experiments have been enormously successful.

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<v Norman Swan>Such as?

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<v Speaker 4>Organic farming.

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<v Speaker 4>It's almost as productive as traditional farming and it's much kinder to the environment.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>And much kinder to the people who eat the food.

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<v Speaker 4>There's more and more evidence coming out now that organic foods are more nutritious

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<v Speaker 4>and have more nutrients in them than others.

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<v Speaker 4>There's not a lot, but there's more.

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<v Speaker 2>But, Marion, that's not published much.

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<v Speaker 2>If you look on the web and try and find that.

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<v Speaker 4>I just got one today.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh, good.

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<v Speaker 4>It's actually very difficult to prove that.

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<v Speaker 4>Done in Great Britain on tomatoes.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, I talked about the flavonoids, of course, in tomatoes.

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<v Speaker 2>And so organic farming is a bit more stressful to the plants, so that's why they've got more

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<v Speaker 2>flavonoids.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, of course, we don't really know whether eating more flavonoids actually does any good.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a hypothesis.

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<v Speaker 2>It makes any difference.

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<v Speaker 4>It's a great way to sell organic foods, though.

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<v Norman Swan>So Australian tomatoes taste so bad because we don't stress them.

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<v Speaker 2>That's right.

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<v Speaker 2>They all live in lovely glasshouses and grow in a warm, comfortable environment.

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<v Norman Swan>So an unhappy tomato is a happy flavor.

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<v Speaker 2>Is a healthy one.

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<v Speaker 2>That's right.

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<v Speaker 2>They're usually smaller, more intensely flavored, less water.

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<v Speaker 4>Beautiful.

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<v Speaker 2>And more flavonoids.

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<v Speaker 2>So they may be better for you.

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<v Speaker 2>It's winter.

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<v Speaker 4>We shouldn't be talking about tomatoes in winter.

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<v Speaker 4>Exactly.

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<v Speaker 4>No.

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<v Norman Swan>So, but just go back to meat production.

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<v Norman Swan>Is organic meat production just as productive?

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<v Speaker 4>Almost as productive.

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<v Speaker 4>Probably 10% less, which most people feel is not a problem because there's an enormous

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<v Speaker 4>surplus of food anyway, at least at this present moment.

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<v Speaker 4>In the United States, we have 3,900 calories a day available in the food supply for every

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<v Speaker 4>man, woman, and child in the country.

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<v Speaker 4>That's roughly twice average need.

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<v Speaker 4>If we had a little bit less, nobody would notice.

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<v Norman Swan>And they wouldn't put up prices?

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<v Norman Swan>Yes.

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<v Norman Swan>Define organic, please.

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<v Speaker 3>Because there isn't enough nitrogen on the planet to grow organic feed, organic food

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<v Speaker 3>to feed 6 billion people.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, that's what they keep saying.

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<v Speaker 4>But I don't think there's enough nitrogen on the planet or anything else to keep up

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<v Speaker 4>with industrial agriculture the way it's been going either because of the harm that it does

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<v Speaker 4>to the environment.

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<v Speaker 4>In the United States, we have about 1,000,000 tons of organic food.

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<v Speaker 4>And that's about the same as the amount of nitrogen that's being produced in the food

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<v Speaker 4>So, the United States organic has a very specific regulatory meaning.

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<v Speaker 4>And with respect to plants, it means that the plants were not grown with artificial

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<v Speaker 4>pesticides or fertilizers.

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<v Speaker 4>With respect to animals, it means they were fed organic feed and had access to the outdoors.

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<v Speaker 4>It doesn't mean that they actually were outdoors, but they have access.

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<v Norman Swan>They see an open door there and it's like a mirage.

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<v Norman Swan>That's right.

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<v Norman Swan>They have a picture of the outside on the barn.

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<v Speaker 4>There's a picture.

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<v Speaker 4>There's an open door.

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<v Speaker 4>And there's no antibiotics or hormones used.

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<v Speaker 4>So it's a specific regulatory meaning.

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<v Speaker 4>It doesn't necessarily mean that the growth of those products is sustainable.

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<v Speaker 4>We have very little organic meat.

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<v Speaker 4>We have instead what's called natural meat, which is pretty much whatever the producer

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<v Speaker 4>defines it.

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<v Speaker 4>So it comes off a real cow.

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<v Speaker 4>It comes off a real cow, yes.

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<v Norman Swan>But just going on the lot farming, so organic farming would still be lot farming?

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<v Speaker 4>Would still be what?

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<v Norman Swan>The sort of lot production, these massive amounts of lot energy.

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<v Speaker 4>It could be either.

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<v Speaker 4>I've been to both kinds.

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<v Speaker 4>I've been to ranches where the animals were free and outdoors.

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<v Speaker 4>That requires a great deal of land to do it sustainably.

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<v Speaker 4>But it's also possible to raise, under our regulatory system, it's possible to do industrial

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<v Speaker 4>production and still call it organic as long as you follow those other rules.

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<v Norman Swan>Karen, you've looked a lot at food production and how we slaughter meat and how we handle

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<v Norman Swan>it and how to find.

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<v Norman Swan>Because one of your issues has been that if you ask people to change their behavior in

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<v Norman Swan>their eating, they don't do it.

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<v Norman Swan>But if you can actually do it in the food production cycle so that you eat healthier,

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<v Norman Swan>more passively, without changing your choices, that's important.

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<v Speaker 6>Yes.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, I've been interested for many years in how we can change the food supply.

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<v Speaker 6>Because I'm struck by a comment of a visiting scientist many years ago.

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<v Speaker 6>From the US, Sonia Connor, saying the population eats the food supply, which is so true.

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<v Speaker 6>And if part of the population is well educated and wanting to change and they choose the

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<v Speaker 6>healthy end of the food supply, then it might even make the disparities within the population

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<v Speaker 6>even worse.

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<v Speaker 6>So if we really want to change the health of a population in terms of what people are

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<v Speaker 6>eating, we really have to look to change the food supply.

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<v Speaker 6>And meat is a very interesting topic.

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<v Speaker 6>It's a very interesting topic in this area.

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<v Speaker 6>Because we don't actually pay for saleable yield.

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<v Speaker 6>We have distortions in our meat system, particularly our lamb and beef industry, where we pay farmers

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<v Speaker 6>to produce, we pay them per live weight.

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<v Speaker 6>And so we'll actually often reward farmers for fat animals, even though when we sell

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<v Speaker 6>the meat.

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<v Speaker 6>We give premium prices for lean meat.

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<v Speaker 6>And there are two consequences of that.

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<v Speaker 6>One is that we have an awful lot of fat from carcasses, which is not discarded at slaughter.

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<v Speaker 6>It is actually sold.

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<v Speaker 6>It is deodorized, hydrogenated, and it ends up in processed foods.

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<v Speaker 6>So it's called manufacturing margarine.

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<v Speaker 6>Now, if we could...

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<v Speaker 6>I'm sorry.

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<v Speaker 6>I'm sorry.

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<v Speaker 6>If we could get the signals to farmers to produce lean animals, they would do it.

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<v Speaker 6>And there is an example of that with New Zealand.

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<v Speaker 6>When the UK went into the European community many years ago, instantly the bottom fell

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<v Speaker 6>out of the fat lamb market in New Zealand.

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<v Speaker 6>Because Europeans don't like fat lamb.

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<v Speaker 6>They like lean lamb.

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<v Speaker 6>And within 18 months, the export component of the New Zealand sheep market was gone.

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<v Speaker 6>And the sheep industry, lamb industry, had switched completely and was producing large

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<v Speaker 6>lean lambs for export to Europe, which showed that they could do it.

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<v Speaker 6>They were paid on the basis of their lean yield.

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<v Speaker 6>Whereas their domestic market kept on producing fat lambs.

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<v Speaker 6>And in fact, one of the side effects of the domestic market is the lamb flap market, which

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<v Speaker 6>is the worst kind of meat you could imagine.

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<v Speaker 6>It would be $19.90.

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<v Speaker 6>It's 25% fat.

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<v Speaker 6>Lamb flaps get exported to Pacific Islands, countries such as Tonga.

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<v Speaker 6>And there was a wonderful...

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<v Speaker 6>This is a sort of rambling story, but there was a wonderful, terrible example of Tonga

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<v Speaker 6>trying from the point of view of public health to ban the importation of lamb flaps from

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<v Speaker 6>New Zealand.

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<v Speaker 6>And the New Zealand government appealed to the World Trade Organization and won.

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<v Speaker 6>So you know...

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<v Speaker 6>Here was a small island state trying to do something for their public health with a huge

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<v Speaker 6>obesity problem, a huge diabetes problem.

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<v Speaker 6>And they were forbidden from doing it because in the interests of free trade.

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<v Speaker 2>It's not true though.

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<v Speaker 2>In the Australian market, we export 50% of our beef.

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<v Speaker 2>And what we export to the Americans and the Japanese is fat beef.

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<v Speaker 2>They like nice, marbled beef.

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<v Speaker 2>So the beef that is usually grown for the domestic market is not finished in a feedlot.

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<v Speaker 2>It's only for the export market in general.

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<v Speaker 2>Because of the premium prices.

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<v Speaker 2>The local food supply is actually pretty good in terms of the fat in the beef.

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<v Speaker 2>So we're actually exporting the saturated fat to the Japanese and the Americans to add

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<v Speaker 2>to their problem.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, thank you.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, we are...

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<v Speaker 2>That's a pleasure.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, we are and we aren't.

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<v Speaker 6>I mean, we are still producing fatter animals.

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<v Speaker 6>We mightn't see them in terms of the meat on sale in supermarkets.

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<v Speaker 6>But the fat from the carcass is still entering our food supply, the excess fat from the carcass.

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<v Speaker 2>But most beef is not feedlots.

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<v Speaker 2>But most beef is not feedlots.

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<v Speaker 2>But most beef is not feedlots.

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<v Speaker 2>No, no.

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<v Speaker 2>So most of it is range-fed.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, it's range-fed.

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<v Speaker 2>So if you're range-fed, you don't get a fat animal.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, you do.

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<v Speaker 6>And I think this is the interesting thing.

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<v Speaker 6>You can get fat sheep.

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<v Speaker 6>You get fat beef.

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<v Speaker 6>It's...

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<v Speaker 6>You can...

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<v Speaker 6>So, Peter, you're...

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<v Speaker 6>If you've been to an abattoir and looked, that's what you need to do.

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<v Speaker 2>But, Peter, your argument is that if it's range, there's less fat in the...

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<v Speaker 2>Much less fat.

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<v Speaker 2>So it's quite a lean, big animal, especially the northern Australia beef herds.

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<v Speaker 6>Which isn't the beef that we eat.

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<v Speaker 6>We don't eat the northern Australian beef.

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<v Speaker 6>We export it.

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<v Speaker 6>And I do agree that we add 30% beef fat to it when we export it as mince.

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<v Speaker 6>For hamburgers.

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<v Norman Swan>So, just...

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<v Norman Swan>But hold on.

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<v Norman Swan>I'm confused.

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<v Norman Swan>I actually thought that when you slaughtered meat, you needed a bit of fat on it to actually...

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<v Norman Swan>So you didn't get shrinkage and didn't become tough and so on.

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<v Norman Swan>Okay.

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<v Speaker 6>That's a very interesting issue.

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<v Speaker 6>You...

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<v Speaker 6>Because there are ways of overcoming that.

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<v Speaker 6>When you kill an animal, if you put it into a chiller too quickly and it cools down too

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<v Speaker 6>quickly, it does something which is called cold shortening.

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<v Speaker 6>The muscle...

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<v Speaker 6>The...

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<v Speaker 6>The...

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<v Speaker 6>The muscle fibers...

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<v Norman Swan>You're turning us progressively into vegetarians with this conversation.

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<v Speaker 6>And the muscle fibers contract and so they shorten and that will lead to a very tough

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<v Speaker 6>meat.

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<v Speaker 6>And so obviously it is not good for consumption.

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<v Speaker 6>So in the old days, we just used to leave carcasses hang at room temperature until rigor

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<v Speaker 6>mortis set in.

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<v Speaker 6>But now we have other ways where you can stimulate electrically the carcass.

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<v Speaker 6>And speed up the aging process so that the muscles use up all of their excess substrate.

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<v Speaker 6>Oh, it's organic electricity.

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<v Speaker 6>It's not organic.

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<v Speaker 6>But it's a way...

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<v Speaker 6>And then you can cool the carcass without toughening it.

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<v Speaker 6>So...

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<v Speaker 6>But you're right.

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<v Speaker 6>There are a lot of reasons why fat carcasses are actually better for a slack industry.

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<v Speaker 6>If you...

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<v Speaker 6>If you...

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<v Speaker 6>When you transport animals and they don't have a layer of fat on them and you transport

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<v Speaker 6>them roughly, they'll bruise.

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<v Speaker 6>And that won't be a productive system.

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<v Speaker 6>Yes.

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<v Norman Swan>Come back for a second bite of the organic cherry.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 3>There is a catch 22 here on the grass-fed cattle.

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<v Speaker 3>Grass-fed cattle produce about three times the methane.

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<v Speaker 3>So what we have in Australia now is the methane produces more global warming than all of our

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<v Speaker 3>coal-fired power stations.

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<v Speaker 3>If you go the US route and you go lot-fed cattle...

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<v Speaker 3>Then you'll fire.

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<v Speaker 3>Then you've got to produce the fertilizer to grow the corn.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay.

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<v Speaker 3>Either way, methane is a big issue.

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<v Speaker 3>And globally, methane is a big issue.

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<v Speaker 3>And it's having a bigger effect on global warming over the next two decades than anything

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<v Speaker 3>else.

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<v Norman Swan>But hold on a second.

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<v Norman Swan>Surely, why is feedlots...

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<v Norman Swan>Why are feedlots any less methane-producing than...

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<v Norman Swan>Or fart-producing than range animals?

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<v Speaker 3>You should ask the CSIRO.

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<v Speaker 3>They know all about these things.

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<v Speaker 3>It's all down to gut bacteria.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes.

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<v Speaker 2>So the grass-eating ones have a lot of cellulose.

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<v Speaker 2>So the bugs eat the cellulose and produce the methane.

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<v Speaker 2>Whereas the grain is a lot more starch.

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<v Speaker 2>Right.

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<v Speaker 2>And the protein just gets straight to fat.

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<v Norman Swan>Of course, corn is a huge issue, is it not?

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<v Speaker 4>Corn is a huge issue.

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<v Speaker 4>But now that we're using it all for ethanol, it's a mood issue.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, it's really astonishing.

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<v Speaker 4>Corn production in the United States is higher than it's ever been.

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<v Speaker 4>And corn prices are higher than they have ever been.

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<v Speaker 4>And so this will depress the use of corn sweeteners, which nutritionists like me are very happy

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<v Speaker 4>about.

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<v Speaker 4>Fantastic.

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<v Speaker 4>Because it will raise the price of corn sweeteners.

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<v Speaker 4>And so our processed food companies have gone back to using sucrose and advertising it as

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<v Speaker 4>natural.

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<v Speaker 4>And there's a lawsuit.

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<v Speaker 4>I was interviewed this morning about a lawsuit that's just been filed accusing a company

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<v Speaker 4>that uses high fructose corn syrup and advertising it as natural, misleading the public.

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<v Norman Swan>So the audience probably knows all about this, but just in case they don't, you better just

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<v Norman Swan>tell us a little bit about the fructose story.

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<v Speaker 4>The fructose story.

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<v Speaker 4>Well.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm of the opinion that corn sweeteners are just sugars.

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<v Speaker 4>Corn sweetener, for the biochemists among you, sucrose is glucose and fructose stuck

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<v Speaker 4>together.

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<v Speaker 4>And corn sweeteners are glucose and fructose separated, but the body really can't tell

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<v Speaker 4>them apart.

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<v Speaker 4>The fructose issue has to do with comparing fructose to glucose.

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<v Speaker 4>But that's the wrong comparison.

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<v Speaker 4>The comparison should be high fructose corn syrup to sucrose, and they're basically the

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<v Speaker 4>same.

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<v Norman Swan>So the issue here is that you metabolize fructose differently.

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<v Speaker 4>But it doesn't matter, because if you didn't have corn sweeteners, you would have sucrose,

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<v Speaker 4>and they have approximately the same amount of fructose in them.

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<v Norman Swan>Peter, where do you sit with this fructose story?

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<v Norman Swan>I've actually got a story on it on Monday Morning's Health Report, which suggests that

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<v Norman Swan>this is one of the more toxic things in the obesity epidemic, that fructose is liver damaging,

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<v Norman Swan>that it changes the way we perceive food and appetite, and regardless of whether it comes

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<v Norman Swan>from corn syrup or sucrose.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, it's certainly metabolized in a different way from glucose, so that the sensing mechanisms

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<v Speaker 2>in the liver are different.

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<v Speaker 2>But I think the proof that it's actually more, say, obesogenic than starch or glucose, I

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<v Speaker 2>think, is not there.

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<v Speaker 2>And certainly, I don't think it's damaging to the liver.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know anything about sensation of food sweetness and satiety in relation to sucrose

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<v Speaker 2>or glucose, so I can't comment on that.

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<v Speaker 2>But I don't think – I mean, certainly there's a strong association with American obesity

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<v Speaker 2>rates and use of high fructose corn syrup.

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<v Speaker 2>But that's –.

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<v Speaker 4>Like

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<v Speaker 2>if you

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<v Speaker 4>were

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<v Speaker 4>To

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<v Norman Swan>In terms of Australians and their food supply and what we eat,

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<v Norman Swan>what do you think are the critical issues?

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<v Speaker 2>I think in Australia at the moment the critical issues are water and carbon.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, obviously, most people don't think about water and carbon

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<v Speaker 2>when they make choices about...

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<v Speaker 2>Most of the time they don't think at all.

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<v Speaker 2>So if they're going to think about nutrition,

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<v Speaker 2>obviously that's very important in terms of choosing, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>the lowest calorie version for the highest micronutrient,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, more vitamins and minerals per calorie,

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<v Speaker 2>so that they can look at foods that...

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<v Speaker 2>You know, and dairy foods are a good example of actually

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<v Speaker 2>quite high in protein and micronutrients.

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<v Speaker 2>But if you were going to really think about before you eat,

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<v Speaker 2>then you need to think about the ethics both of water and carbon

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<v Speaker 2>as well as the ethics of food production that Marion talks about.

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<v Speaker 2>And things like meat and dairy, of course, have quite a bad name

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<v Speaker 2>in terms of their water usage and their carbon dioxide production.

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<v Speaker 2>But I think the equations haven't been really looking at

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<v Speaker 2>the whole cycle of food production.

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<v Speaker 2>So you might think, you know, growing rice,

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<v Speaker 2>growing rice is a good thing.

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<v Speaker 2>Growing rice in Australia is not a great idea,

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<v Speaker 2>but say growing rice in Southeast Asia.

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<v Speaker 2>But there's still a very large amount of water per kilogram,

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<v Speaker 2>say 5,000 litres of water per kilogram of rice.

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<v Speaker 2>And then if you have a mechanised harvester,

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<v Speaker 2>you have, you know, another 300 or 400 tonnes

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<v Speaker 2>of carbon dioxide produced for the harvesting.

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<v Speaker 2>So on the surface of it,

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<v Speaker 2>vegetable sources look downright winners.

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<v Speaker 2>But I think you have to explore the whole food chain

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<v Speaker 2>until you get the packet of rice in your mouth

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<v Speaker 2>and put all the energy and water in place.

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<v Speaker 2>And that puts all the way through from the time

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<v Speaker 2>somebody plants the grain of rice to the time the consumer

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<v Speaker 2>puts it in their mouth.

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<v Speaker 2>And I think, and then you work out what they're getting

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<v Speaker 2>for that calorie.

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<v Speaker 2>So if you have white rice, all they're doing is getting starch

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<v Speaker 2>and not much in the way of vitamins and minerals.

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<v Speaker 2>So although they have a kilogram of beef,

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<v Speaker 2>it might have had a lot more water and a lot more energy.

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<v Speaker 2>But they're actually getting iron and zinc

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<v Speaker 2>and a whole variety of other micronutrients.

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<v Speaker 2>So if you actually trade off micronutrient production.

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<v Norman Swan>But isn't this what the author

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<v Norman Swan>of the CSIRO diet would tell me given

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<v Norman Swan>that it's a high protein diet?

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<v Speaker 2>Absolutely.

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<v Speaker 2>So I think you have to actually,

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<v Speaker 2>it's obviously a very political issue

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<v Speaker 2>to recommend animal sources of protein.

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<v Speaker 2>But I think, as other vegetable sources of protein,

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<v Speaker 2>but I think you have to look at the whole production scale

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<v Speaker 2>and then what you get for that kilogram of dairy

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<v Speaker 2>or kilogram of meat in terms

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<v Speaker 2>of micronutrients per calorie ingested.

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<v Speaker 2>Which is really what we're aiming at, to reduce calories

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00:20:55.500 --> 00:20:57.280
<v Speaker 2>but still get all the vitamins and minerals you need.

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<v Speaker 2>And animal sources, and given all that Marion says

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<v Speaker 2>about animal production being critical,

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<v Speaker 2>it's really critical to animals.

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<v Speaker 2>And I think you can change that.

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<v Speaker 4>Yes, and it doesn't take much meat to add in nutrients

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<v Speaker 4>that you can't get anywhere else.

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00:21:09.840 --> 00:21:12.240
<v Speaker 4>I mean there's so much evidence from developing countries

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<v Speaker 4>that even small amounts of meat in the diets

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<v Speaker 4>of young children improve their nutritional status enormously.

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<v Speaker 4>So it isn't, we're not talking about 23 ounce steaks.

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<v Speaker 4>We're talking about Asian diets.

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<v Speaker 4>And eggs.

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00:21:25.840 --> 00:21:29.600
<v Speaker 4>You know, little, or animal products of one kind or another.

434
00:21:29.800 --> 00:21:31.460
<v Speaker 4>Even small amounts are quite helpful.

435
00:21:31.640 --> 00:21:32.240
<v Norman Swan>But when you're talking

436
00:21:32.240 --> 00:21:36.080
<v Norman Swan>about sustainable food, as you say, it's from the farm

437
00:21:36.080 --> 00:21:38.700
<v Norman Swan>to your mouth in essential.

438
00:21:39.040 --> 00:21:41.860
<v Norman Swan>And I'll bring Marion into this as well,

439
00:21:42.000 --> 00:21:43.760
<v Norman Swan>which is the supply chain.

440
00:21:44.700 --> 00:21:47.760
<v Norman Swan>If you look at the enormous power that say the two main retailers

441
00:21:48.480 --> 00:21:50.520
<v Norman Swan>in Australia have, Coles and Woolworths,

442
00:21:50.520 --> 00:21:52.260
<v Norman Swan>and particularly Woolworths,

443
00:21:52.280 --> 00:21:55.200
<v Norman Swan>they're efficient supply chain management.

444
00:21:55.440 --> 00:21:59.740
<v Norman Swan>The question is, are we getting, there's a debate going on,

445
00:21:59.840 --> 00:22:02.220
<v Norman Swan>are we getting more energy efficient foods now

446
00:22:02.240 --> 00:22:03.060
<v Norman Swan>than we ever have before?

447
00:22:03.240 --> 00:22:06.720
<v Norman Swan>Simply because the energy in actually getting it

448
00:22:06.720 --> 00:22:12.780
<v Norman Swan>from the farm packaged and to our mouths is less than it was.

449
00:22:13.160 --> 00:22:15.660
<v Norman Swan>Or, you know, but the fact is we've actually got to go

450
00:22:15.660 --> 00:22:17.820
<v Norman Swan>down to the mall to get to the Woolworths rather

451
00:22:17.820 --> 00:22:18.920
<v Norman Swan>than the local store.

452
00:22:19.880 --> 00:22:22.800
<v Norman Swan>And then some people say, but it's created a whole series

453
00:22:22.800 --> 00:22:26.060
<v Norman Swan>of inefficiencies in the small farm market where the things

454
00:22:26.060 --> 00:22:28.280
<v Norman Swan>that don't go into the main supermarket chains now have no

455
00:22:28.280 --> 00:22:29.820
<v Norman Swan>longer have efficient supply chains.

456
00:22:30.180 --> 00:22:31.480
<v Norman Swan>What's the story here?

457
00:22:31.620 --> 00:22:31.960
<v Norman Swan>What do you mean?

458
00:22:32.240 --> 00:22:32.860
<v Norman Swan>Have you looked at this?

459
00:22:32.920 --> 00:22:34.420
<v Norman Swan>And I'll come to Marion on our next stage.

460
00:22:34.560 --> 00:22:35.460
<v Norman Swan>No, we haven't looked at it.

461
00:22:35.500 --> 00:22:39.960
<v Speaker 2>But at the moment is doing a book on carbon economy.

462
00:22:40.140 --> 00:22:42.160
<v Speaker 2>So they will actually be looking at the whole carbon cycle.

463
00:22:43.120 --> 00:22:45.160
<v Speaker 2>And issues like that will come into it.

464
00:22:45.540 --> 00:22:49.500
<v Speaker 2>And I think why the price of food is so low at the moment is

465
00:22:49.500 --> 00:22:51.420
<v Speaker 2>because it is very efficient.

466
00:22:51.640 --> 00:22:53.640
<v Speaker 2>I mean it would be much better if it was twice the price,

467
00:22:53.740 --> 00:22:55.980
<v Speaker 2>especially for Australians, then we would eat less of it.

468
00:22:56.060 --> 00:22:58.440
<v Speaker 2>But I think the supply chain is so efficient,

469
00:22:58.560 --> 00:23:00.020
<v Speaker 2>the farm production is so efficient

470
00:23:00.020 --> 00:23:01.840
<v Speaker 2>that energy wise we're actually,

471
00:23:02.460 --> 00:23:04.700
<v Speaker 2>you know, really down at the bottom end

472
00:23:04.700 --> 00:23:07.760
<v Speaker 2>of energy usage per calorie produced.

473
00:23:09.240 --> 00:23:10.880
<v Speaker 2>And it's a real pity in terms of obesity

474
00:23:10.880 --> 00:23:11.900
<v Speaker 2>because it is too efficient.

475
00:23:12.340 --> 00:23:14.340
<v Norman Swan>But does that include getting in your car and going

476
00:23:14.340 --> 00:23:16.880
<v Norman Swan>to the supermarket, that energy accounting?

477
00:23:17.500 --> 00:23:19.160
<v Speaker 2>It probably doesn't, but it should.

478
00:23:19.220 --> 00:23:22.760
<v Speaker 2>I think you need to account every single use of energy

479
00:23:22.760 --> 00:23:24.500
<v Speaker 2>to get that grain of rice on your fork.

480
00:23:24.660 --> 00:23:26.680
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I don't know how to do the computations

481
00:23:26.680 --> 00:23:27.940
<v Speaker 4>on carbon footprints.

482
00:23:28.180 --> 00:23:29.360
<v Speaker 4>I think it's very complicated.

483
00:23:29.640 --> 00:23:31.520
<v Speaker 4>But I do know that it's just bizarre

484
00:23:31.520 --> 00:23:33.360
<v Speaker 4>to go into an American supermarket

485
00:23:33.360 --> 00:23:35.900
<v Speaker 4>and see organic apples from New Zealand.

486
00:23:36.220 --> 00:23:37.740
<v Speaker 4>I mean this is just nuts.

487
00:23:38.100 --> 00:23:40.340
<v Speaker 4>It may be very nice for the New Zealand economy

488
00:23:40.340 --> 00:23:43.760
<v Speaker 4>and the World Trade Organization, but we grow plenty

489
00:23:43.760 --> 00:23:45.340
<v Speaker 4>of apples in the United States,

490
00:23:45.500 --> 00:23:47.480
<v Speaker 4>although not always in the same season.

491
00:23:48.240 --> 00:23:52.860
<v Speaker 4>So that if you do food or blueberries from Patagonia,

492
00:23:52.940 --> 00:23:55.580
<v Speaker 4>that was, I think that's my current favorite example,

493
00:23:56.340 --> 00:23:58.280
<v Speaker 4>is blueberries from Patagonia.

494
00:23:58.320 --> 00:24:00.280
<v Speaker 2>But you want to discriminate against the Patagonians.

495
00:24:00.300 --> 00:24:01.500
<v Speaker 2>I mean that might be the sole reason.

496
00:24:01.520 --> 00:24:02.080
<v Speaker 2>Oh, it may be their sole source.

497
00:24:02.160 --> 00:24:03.640
<v Speaker 2>Oh, it may be their sole source.

498
00:24:03.700 --> 00:24:06.460
<v Speaker 4>And I do think you need to take that into consideration

499
00:24:06.460 --> 00:24:08.840
<v Speaker 4>and that it's an important consideration.

500
00:24:09.440 --> 00:24:13.900
<v Speaker 4>Somebody has sold Patagonians on growing blueberries

501
00:24:13.900 --> 00:24:17.620
<v Speaker 4>that are ripe in December for this market

502
00:24:17.620 --> 00:24:19.940
<v Speaker 4>and they must be doing wonders for their economy.

503
00:24:20.040 --> 00:24:22.100
<v Speaker 4>So they can buy more of our Coca-Cola.

504
00:24:22.340 --> 00:24:23.240
<v Speaker 4>I'm for it.

505
00:24:24.220 --> 00:24:26.300
<v Speaker 2>Well, they've got the choice whether they do that or not.

506
00:24:26.580 --> 00:24:27.400
<v Speaker 2>They might not.

507
00:24:27.500 --> 00:24:28.240
<v Speaker 6>But we do, we do.

508
00:24:28.240 --> 00:24:30.140
<v Speaker 4>Well, that brings us into the whole question

509
00:24:30.140 --> 00:24:31.280
<v Speaker 4>of what influence.

510
00:24:31.280 --> 00:24:32.100
<v Speaker 4>What influence is choice?

511
00:24:32.220 --> 00:24:32.520
<v Speaker 4>Choice.

512
00:24:33.440 --> 00:24:36.080
<v Speaker 4>So if you've never had it before, you want it.

513
00:24:36.260 --> 00:24:38.100
<v Speaker 4>And there are reasons why you want it.

514
00:24:38.740 --> 00:24:42.180
<v Speaker 2>But I still, I don't think that is grounds to deny the Patagonians

515
00:24:42.180 --> 00:24:43.580
<v Speaker 2>the right to have a cash crop.

516
00:24:43.800 --> 00:24:45.120
<v Speaker 4>No, they can have a cash crop.

517
00:24:45.260 --> 00:24:47.360
<v Speaker 2>That the Americans obviously want to buy

518
00:24:47.360 --> 00:24:49.260
<v Speaker 2>and gives them a sustainable income

519
00:24:49.260 --> 00:24:50.780
<v Speaker 2>for the first time they've ever had in their life.

520
00:24:50.880 --> 00:24:54.540
<v Speaker 2>So, you know, they're sitting on the boundary between poverty and...

521
00:24:54.540 --> 00:24:56.460
<v Speaker 4>What about New Zealand organic apples?

522
00:24:56.520 --> 00:24:57.380
<v Speaker 4>That's a better example.

523
00:24:57.400 --> 00:24:59.000
<v Speaker 4>Well, New Zealand's a very poor country as well.

524
00:25:01.280 --> 00:25:02.000
<v Norman Swan>I wouldn't dare.

525
00:25:02.620 --> 00:25:03.140
<v Norman Swan>Yes.

526
00:25:03.340 --> 00:25:05.040
<v Speaker 3>Anybody else can ask questions.

527
00:25:05.040 --> 00:25:06.040
<v Speaker 3>It doesn't have to be just me.

528
00:25:07.860 --> 00:25:13.180
<v Speaker 3>The CSIRO Balancing Act report in 2005 did precisely all

529
00:25:13.180 --> 00:25:15.100
<v Speaker 3>of these carbon things that you're talking about.

530
00:25:15.440 --> 00:25:19.260
<v Speaker 3>They didn't quite go to the level of getting it into your mouth,

531
00:25:19.300 --> 00:25:21.640
<v Speaker 3>but they got it to the supermarket store.

532
00:25:22.000 --> 00:25:25.480
<v Speaker 3>And in terms of the energy per calorie and so on of rice

533
00:25:25.480 --> 00:25:27.760
<v Speaker 3>or beef or anything else, you're just plain wrong.

534
00:25:28.380 --> 00:25:29.240
<v Speaker 3>Read the report.

535
00:25:30.660 --> 00:25:31.260
<v Speaker 3>Thank you.

536
00:25:32.460 --> 00:25:33.880
<v Speaker 4>Where do we get one?

537
00:25:34.820 --> 00:25:35.380
<v Speaker 4>Probably online.

538
00:25:35.380 --> 00:25:35.800
<v Speaker 4>I'd like to.

539
00:25:35.940 --> 00:25:36.780
<v Speaker 4>I'd like to.

540
00:25:38.280 --> 00:25:41.040
<v Speaker 3>Just Google the CSIRO Balancing Act.

541
00:25:41.880 --> 00:25:42.960
<v Speaker 3>It's four volumes.

542
00:25:44.120 --> 00:25:46.160
<v Speaker 3>Barney Foran, who was the main author,

543
00:25:46.300 --> 00:25:48.500
<v Speaker 3>had since been forced out of the CSIRO.

544
00:25:48.620 --> 00:25:49.820
<v Speaker 3>Oops, I shouldn't say that.

545
00:25:50.420 --> 00:25:52.240
<v Norman Swan>So let's now expand beyond that.

546
00:25:52.400 --> 00:25:55.000
<v Norman Swan>I mean, in my talk this morning, we were talking about dietary patterns

547
00:25:55.000 --> 00:25:58.280
<v Norman Swan>being the important thing rather than individual nutrients.

548
00:25:58.680 --> 00:26:00.520
<v Norman Swan>I mean, do you agree with that, that that's the story,

549
00:26:00.520 --> 00:26:04.440
<v Norman Swan>that it's your total package of diet rather than individual nutrients, Peter?

550
00:26:05.920 --> 00:26:07.380
<v Speaker 2>I think in general, yes.

551
00:26:07.560 --> 00:26:10.360
<v Speaker 2>I mean, some nutrients are probably more important than others, but yes,

552
00:26:10.380 --> 00:26:13.940
<v Speaker 2>just being focused on one particular nutrient is not correct.

553
00:26:14.160 --> 00:26:15.920
<v Speaker 2>And of course, people don't buy nutrients.

554
00:26:16.020 --> 00:26:16.940
<v Speaker 2>They buy food.

555
00:26:17.060 --> 00:26:19.800
<v Speaker 2>So you really need to look at their whole dietary pattern

556
00:26:20.480 --> 00:26:22.360
<v Speaker 2>to recommend the best one for them.

557
00:26:22.540 --> 00:26:23.940
<v Norman Swan>Well, it comes back to the story of the moment.

558
00:26:24.000 --> 00:26:24.220
<v Norman Swan>Yes.

559
00:26:24.560 --> 00:26:29.320
<v Audience>I have a question regarding meat imported from Australia to America.

560
00:26:30.100 --> 00:26:30.500
<v Audience>I'm a farmer.

561
00:26:30.520 --> 00:26:31.240
<v Audience>I have a friend.

562
00:26:31.280 --> 00:26:39.760
<v Audience>He's a doctor that only buys imported meat from Australia because I think of two reasons,

563
00:26:39.840 --> 00:26:45.940
<v Audience>because he says that they're grass-fed and that the testing for mad cow is far superior

564
00:26:45.940 --> 00:26:48.440
<v Audience>to the testing that we have in the United States.

565
00:26:50.520 --> 00:26:52.380
<v Audience>What is your comment on that?

566
00:26:53.560 --> 00:26:56.620
<v Speaker 4>I thought maybe we were helping the Australian economy.

567
00:26:57.940 --> 00:26:58.600
<v Speaker 4>That's it.

568
00:26:59.620 --> 00:27:00.420
<v Speaker 4>Isn't that nice?

569
00:27:00.520 --> 00:27:00.680
<v Speaker 4>That's nice.

570
00:27:01.160 --> 00:27:01.680
<v Speaker 4>That's nice.

571
00:27:02.800 --> 00:27:03.200
<v Speaker 4>That's nice.

572
00:27:08.880 --> 00:27:09.680
<v Speaker 4>That's nice.

573
00:27:10.980 --> 00:27:11.560
<v Speaker 4>That's nice.

574
00:27:14.440 --> 00:27:15.000
<v Speaker 6>That's nice.

575
00:27:16.020 --> 00:27:16.420
<v Speaker 6>That's nice.

576
00:27:18.440 --> 00:27:18.840
<v Speaker 4>That's nice.

577
00:27:20.400 --> 00:27:20.800
<v Speaker 4>That's nice.

578
00:27:20.800 --> 00:27:20.900
<v Speaker 4>That's nice.

579
00:27:20.900 --> 00:27:20.980
<v Speaker 4>That's nice.

580
00:27:21.300 --> 00:27:21.560
<v Speaker 4>That's nice.

581
00:27:21.660 --> 00:27:22.220
<v Speaker 4>That's nice.

582
00:27:23.680 --> 00:27:24.400
<v Speaker 4>That's nice.

583
00:27:24.480 --> 00:27:24.780
<v Speaker 4>That's nice.

584
00:27:24.980 --> 00:27:25.280
<v Speaker 4>That's nice.

585
00:27:25.360 --> 00:27:25.840
<v Speaker 4>That's nice.

586
00:27:26.500 --> 00:27:26.900
<v Speaker 4>That's nice.

587
00:27:30.520 --> 00:27:38.600
<v Speaker 4>There are more and more American ranchers who are transferring over to naturally raised beef

588
00:27:38.600 --> 00:27:43.720
<v Speaker 4>where they're not using hormones, antibiotics, or feeding byproducts of any kind whatsoever.

589
00:27:44.440 --> 00:27:45.340
<v Speaker 4>So I buy that.

590
00:27:45.440 --> 00:27:46.500
<v Speaker 4>It costs a lot more.

591
00:27:46.720 --> 00:27:51.640
<v Norman Swan>But the BSA story was about intensive agriculture and mistakes getting made in the system.

592
00:27:51.900 --> 00:27:52.000
<v Norman Swan>Oh, absolutely.

593
00:27:52.760 --> 00:27:55.500
<v Norman Swan>And suppose the argument about sterling meat was that it's largely range-fed.

594
00:27:55.600 --> 00:27:56.720
<v Speaker 6>And recycling back.

595
00:27:56.940 --> 00:27:58.940
<v Speaker 4>But it's an enormous problem.

596
00:27:58.940 --> 00:28:04.320
<v Speaker 4>We slaughter 35 million cows a year in the United States.

597
00:28:04.640 --> 00:28:10.700
<v Speaker 4>And about half of that, roughly, half of the weight, is not usable for food.

598
00:28:11.080 --> 00:28:12.500
<v Speaker 4>What are you going to do with it?

599
00:28:13.100 --> 00:28:17.800
<v Speaker 4>I figure that's 35 million times 500 pounds?

600
00:28:18.060 --> 00:28:19.040
<v Speaker 4>400 pounds.

601
00:28:19.180 --> 00:28:20.780
<v Speaker 4>Let's be conservative about it.

602
00:28:20.900 --> 00:28:25.260
<v Speaker 4>That's a lot of pounds of offal that you have to do something with.

603
00:28:25.480 --> 00:28:26.860
<v Speaker 4>So you feed it to cows.

604
00:28:26.940 --> 00:28:27.720
<v Speaker 4>You feed it to pigs.

605
00:28:27.780 --> 00:28:28.540
<v Speaker 4>You feed it to chickens.

606
00:28:28.540 --> 00:28:29.540
<v Speaker 4>You feed it to fish.

607
00:28:29.760 --> 00:28:31.260
<v Speaker 4>You put it in pet food.

608
00:28:31.600 --> 00:28:33.100
<v Speaker 4>And we know what happened with that.

609
00:28:33.880 --> 00:28:37.720
<v Speaker 4>Oh, you don't know about our pet food recall?

610
00:28:38.180 --> 00:28:38.380
<v Speaker 4>Oh.

611
00:28:38.700 --> 00:28:40.020
<v Speaker 2>That was the Chinese pet food.

612
00:28:40.020 --> 00:28:41.260
<v Speaker 2>That was the Chinese pet food.

613
00:28:41.420 --> 00:28:44.200
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean, this is the globalization of our food supply.

614
00:28:45.820 --> 00:28:50.520
<v Speaker 4>The Chinese were producing a wheat gluten that wasn't really wheat gluten.

615
00:28:50.640 --> 00:28:55.720
<v Speaker 4>They were spicing it with a chemical that made it look like it was protein, but it wasn't.

616
00:28:55.800 --> 00:28:58.440
<v Speaker 4>And that protein killed some dogs and cats.

617
00:28:58.540 --> 00:29:03.320
<v Speaker 4>And killing dogs and cats in the United States is just really not politically acceptable.

618
00:29:04.720 --> 00:29:09.080
<v Speaker 4>The owners of those pets were deeply, deeply concerned.

619
00:29:09.340 --> 00:29:17.160
<v Speaker 4>And the result was that something like 60 million pounds, I don't remember the exact figure,

620
00:29:17.320 --> 00:29:21.540
<v Speaker 4>but something like 65 million pounds of pet foods were recalled.

621
00:29:21.560 --> 00:29:28.200
<v Speaker 4>But the shocking part about it was that it turned out that one company in Canada,

622
00:29:28.540 --> 00:29:31.960
<v Speaker 4>was responsible for making 100 different brands of pet foods,

623
00:29:32.160 --> 00:29:37.120
<v Speaker 4>ranging in price from the very cheapest pet foods to the most expensive.

624
00:29:37.620 --> 00:29:40.060
<v Speaker 4>And that also was quite shocking.

625
00:29:40.360 --> 00:29:42.320
<v Speaker 4>And then the pet food got recalled.

626
00:29:42.680 --> 00:29:48.040
<v Speaker 4>And so then the question is, what do you do with 60 million packages of pet food?

627
00:29:48.260 --> 00:29:51.860
<v Speaker 4>Well, you feed it to pigs, chickens, and fish.

628
00:29:52.800 --> 00:29:53.520
<v Speaker 4>And that's what happened.

629
00:29:53.840 --> 00:29:58.200
<v Speaker 4>And then those had to be recalled, except that the FDA stepped in and said that,

630
00:29:58.540 --> 00:30:01.540
<v Speaker 4>well, you know, the chemical had been peed out, so it wasn't a problem.

631
00:30:01.720 --> 00:30:04.900
<v Speaker 4>And you could eat your farmed fish anyway.

632
00:30:05.260 --> 00:30:06.720
<v Speaker 4>But that's our food supply.

633
00:30:07.020 --> 00:30:11.860
<v Speaker 4>There's total interaction with the leftover parts of all of these animals,

634
00:30:11.980 --> 00:30:15.740
<v Speaker 4>because the volumes are so enormous, nobody knows what to do with them all.

635
00:30:15.900 --> 00:30:20.220
<v Norman Swan>But isn't that inevitable when you've got large populations that need to be fed,

636
00:30:20.340 --> 00:30:23.020
<v Norman Swan>albeit, as you said, you've got an excess production of calories,

637
00:30:23.640 --> 00:30:27.260
<v Norman Swan>but in a free market, you do have a lot of people who need to be fed.

638
00:30:27.380 --> 00:30:28.520
<v Norman Swan>And therefore, for efficiency...

639
00:30:30.240 --> 00:30:34.100
<v Speaker 4>Well, you're talking about cost, really, is what you're talking about,

640
00:30:34.140 --> 00:30:37.840
<v Speaker 4>because it's quite possible to produce it under more sustainable conditions.

641
00:30:37.960 --> 00:30:38.920
<v Speaker 4>It just costs more.

642
00:30:39.140 --> 00:30:43.480
<v Speaker 4>But the people who examine this argue that the costs are there.

643
00:30:43.700 --> 00:30:45.680
<v Speaker 4>They're just paid for in different ways.

644
00:30:45.880 --> 00:30:47.820
<v Speaker 4>So you don't pay for it at the supermarket.

645
00:30:47.880 --> 00:30:51.600
<v Speaker 4>You pay for it in cleaning up the rivers, if you want your rivers clean.

646
00:30:52.000 --> 00:30:54.620
<v Speaker 4>And I believe I read something about that here.

647
00:30:56.940 --> 00:30:58.280
<v Audience>The title of this...

648
00:30:58.540 --> 00:31:01.560
<v Audience>The title of this book is The Future, The Way to the Future.

649
00:31:01.800 --> 00:31:08.140
<v Audience>And on that topic, I want to ask where you see the future for nutrition and food and things like that.

650
00:31:08.280 --> 00:31:11.900
<v Audience>And because that's such a big question, let's pick on one example, beef.

651
00:31:12.300 --> 00:31:16.220
<v Audience>If we were to educate people to eat kangaroo instead of beef,

652
00:31:16.520 --> 00:31:21.820
<v Audience>could you comment on the nutritional aspects, the political aspects, and the environmental aspects?

653
00:31:22.100 --> 00:31:22.920
<v Audience>There's only one person.

654
00:31:22.920 --> 00:31:26.900
<v Speaker 4>I don't know the nutritional composition of kangaroo meat.

655
00:31:27.080 --> 00:31:28.520
<v Speaker 6>Although I did see it.

656
00:31:28.540 --> 00:31:30.420
<v Speaker 6>Kangaroo meat is a beautiful meat.

657
00:31:30.540 --> 00:31:32.080
<v Speaker 6>It's very lean.

658
00:31:32.600 --> 00:31:37.660
<v Speaker 6>And quite contrary to a lot of the perceptions about kangaroo meat,

659
00:31:39.100 --> 00:31:42.960
<v Speaker 6>it's one of the only meats that Australia could,

660
00:31:43.080 --> 00:31:45.620
<v Speaker 6>and this is going back a few years now, I'm not sure what the current situation is,

661
00:31:45.680 --> 00:31:50.440
<v Speaker 6>that Australia could export to Sweden and Scandinavia.

662
00:31:50.720 --> 00:31:56.980
<v Speaker 6>Because they have very high standards when they test meat.

663
00:31:57.080 --> 00:31:58.320
<v Speaker 6>And when we test meat.

664
00:31:58.540 --> 00:31:59.260
<v Speaker 6>We swab it.

665
00:31:59.500 --> 00:32:01.380
<v Speaker 6>And we do random swabs on meat.

666
00:32:01.400 --> 00:32:04.620
<v Speaker 6>And then we count how many bacteria there are in those swabs.

667
00:32:05.140 --> 00:32:12.620
<v Speaker 6>Now it would be very, we have our standards at under around 500 or 600 bacteria per square centimetre.

668
00:32:12.900 --> 00:32:14.140
<v Speaker 6>Which sounds a hell of a lot.

669
00:32:14.300 --> 00:32:15.060
<v Speaker 6>No, it's quite low.

670
00:32:15.600 --> 00:32:16.160
<v Speaker 6>Quite low.

671
00:32:16.360 --> 00:32:18.820
<v Speaker 2>You need to have lots of bugs actually to help your immune system.

672
00:32:18.920 --> 00:32:20.380
<v Speaker 6>You do, but nevertheless.

673
00:32:21.500 --> 00:32:24.960
<v Speaker 6>The kangaroo swabs come in at around 100 and 150.

674
00:32:26.340 --> 00:32:28.520
<v Speaker 6>And our sheep and goats.

675
00:32:28.540 --> 00:32:33.780
<v Speaker 6>And our beef would usually come in over 500 or 600.

676
00:32:34.480 --> 00:32:39.720
<v Speaker 6>And in fact the Scandinavian standards were below 500 or 600 at that time.

677
00:32:40.020 --> 00:32:42.120
<v Speaker 6>So kangaroo is a very clean meat.

678
00:32:42.180 --> 00:32:42.800
<v Speaker 6>It's very lean.

679
00:32:42.980 --> 00:32:44.960
<v Speaker 6>It's 1 to 2% fat.

680
00:32:45.120 --> 00:32:46.140
<v Speaker 6>There's no marbling in it.

681
00:32:47.720 --> 00:32:48.560
<v Speaker 6>It's tough.

682
00:32:48.860 --> 00:32:49.740
<v Speaker 6>No, it isn't tough.

683
00:32:49.800 --> 00:32:50.840
<v Speaker 6>It's the way you cook it.

684
00:32:50.980 --> 00:32:51.720
<v Speaker 6>It's the way you cook it.

685
00:32:51.820 --> 00:32:52.360
<v Speaker 2>30 seconds.

686
00:32:53.180 --> 00:32:53.600
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

687
00:32:54.020 --> 00:32:55.700
<v Speaker 6>You can, you sear it.

688
00:32:55.800 --> 00:32:57.040
<v Speaker 6>And it's in fact.

689
00:32:57.360 --> 00:32:58.420
<v Speaker 6>But in terms of the future.

690
00:32:58.420 --> 00:33:02.080
<v Norman Swan>The future of food, which is taking up the challenge of the question.

691
00:33:05.540 --> 00:33:10.320
<v Norman Swan>Apart from being a boutique food, does it really have much of a future once you've got it going?

692
00:33:10.660 --> 00:33:11.500
<v Speaker 6>I think it could.

693
00:33:11.660 --> 00:33:20.460
<v Speaker 6>I mean, and in fact, there's obviously a terribly emotional issue because a lot of people can't bear the thought of eating one of our national symbols.

694
00:33:20.940 --> 00:33:26.460
<v Speaker 6>But I think now it is much more readily available in South Australia.

695
00:33:26.680 --> 00:33:28.040
<v Speaker 6>And I think.

696
00:33:28.420 --> 00:33:29.520
<v Speaker 6>I think it's even getting in Victoria now.

697
00:33:29.620 --> 00:33:31.820
<v Speaker 6>There was huge opposition in Victoria to it.

698
00:33:32.480 --> 00:33:45.880
<v Speaker 6>And it's and and people have argued for a number of years that that the the way to protect a species, the species such as kangaroos would be to make it a valuable resource.

699
00:33:47.180 --> 00:33:58.220
<v Speaker 6>And, you know, we we never we're in no danger of having sheep or cattle on the endangered species list because they are such a valuable resource for us.

700
00:33:58.420 --> 00:34:00.560
<v Speaker 6>So, you know, we could farm.

701
00:34:00.660 --> 00:34:02.000
<v Speaker 6>You could wild farm kangaroo.

702
00:34:02.300 --> 00:34:05.200
<v Speaker 6>So I think it's really possible that it would.

703
00:34:05.300 --> 00:34:09.200
<v Speaker 6>But it's we've obviously got a lot of psychological barriers to go through as a nation.

704
00:34:10.420 --> 00:34:19.920
<v Audience>Just to come back to something you were saying earlier about sort of organic foods and natural meat, all of which are more expensive, as you said.

705
00:34:20.020 --> 00:34:25.220
<v Audience>And I just wonder if we're getting to a point where healthy food is only in the in the realm of the rich.

706
00:34:25.340 --> 00:34:25.740
<v Audience>Yes.

707
00:34:25.740 --> 00:34:28.100
<v Audience>Is that something that's addressed in the future?

708
00:34:28.420 --> 00:34:39.560
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, it's a class issue like so many other things where people who have money can afford to put these kinds of demands on the food production system.

709
00:34:39.660 --> 00:34:42.340
<v Speaker 4>So it's cleaner and better for health and better for the environment.

710
00:34:42.480 --> 00:34:43.780
<v Speaker 4>It will cost more.

711
00:34:43.960 --> 00:34:53.940
<v Speaker 4>But as more and more producers are taking up the challenge of trying to produce meat and vegetables under more sustainable conditions, the costs will go down.

712
00:34:54.220 --> 00:34:55.180
<v Norman Swan>Peter, you want to say something?

713
00:34:55.280 --> 00:34:56.840
<v Speaker 2>I don't think healthy food is expensive.

714
00:34:56.980 --> 00:34:58.080
<v Speaker 2>I think, you know,

715
00:34:58.080 --> 00:34:59.580
<v Speaker 2>say dairy is a good example.

716
00:34:59.580 --> 00:35:03.560
<v Speaker 2>You can get low fat dairies, which are protein, vitamin, mineral enriched.

717
00:35:03.780 --> 00:35:05.060
<v Speaker 2>They're not expensive at all.

718
00:35:06.700 --> 00:35:08.880
<v Speaker 2>So the Australian food supply is not expensive.

719
00:35:09.100 --> 00:35:16.180
<v Speaker 2>And even the cuts of meat that you can get, you can actually eat incredibly well for a relatively small sum of money.

720
00:35:16.320 --> 00:35:27.580
<v Speaker 2>I mean, the major contributor to somebody's weekly shopping bill is the biscuits, the cakes, the Coca-Cola and all of those additional items which don't contribute anything health wise.

721
00:35:27.580 --> 00:35:29.480
<v Speaker 2>But probably half of the expenditure.

722
00:35:29.580 --> 00:35:37.100
<v Speaker 2>And we know that, you know, in Coke and Woolworths and in Woolworths and Coles, the number one and the number two items are the one litre Coke and the two litre Coke.

723
00:35:37.360 --> 00:35:39.340
<v Speaker 2>You know, and they contribute nothing health wise.

724
00:35:39.440 --> 00:35:45.920
<v Speaker 2>They contribute a bit of fun and they contribute huge amount of money for Coles and Woolworths.

725
00:35:45.980 --> 00:35:47.980
<v Speaker 2>So I don't think healthy food is expensive.

726
00:35:48.240 --> 00:35:50.100
<v Speaker 2>And organic may be a little bit more expensive.

727
00:35:50.880 --> 00:35:53.420
<v Speaker 2>But I don't think you have to go organic to find healthy food.

728
00:35:53.500 --> 00:35:57.440
<v Speaker 2>Now, it's obviously another issue in terms of sustainability rather than health.

729
00:35:57.480 --> 00:35:57.560
<v Speaker 2>But I think it's a good thing.

730
00:35:57.580 --> 00:35:58.420
<v Speaker 2>And they're also there.

731
00:35:58.500 --> 00:35:59.160
<v Speaker 2>It's a different issue.

732
00:35:59.300 --> 00:36:01.340
<v Norman Swan>Let's just come back to this issue of the future of food.

733
00:36:01.460 --> 00:36:05.480
<v Norman Swan>And presumably we want to manipulate or it would be nice to be healthier.

734
00:36:06.660 --> 00:36:10.780
<v Norman Swan>I mean, it's unlikely that we're ever going to have anything other than a free market.

735
00:36:11.100 --> 00:36:18.440
<v Norman Swan>Is it possible that the market can be adjusted in some shape or form so that healthy is better?

736
00:36:18.600 --> 00:36:24.740
<v Norman Swan>I mean, you're thinking of Aboriginal communities for the moment where the local shop is one of the key problems, what's available to actually buy.

737
00:36:25.700 --> 00:36:27.440
<v Norman Swan>You say, well, you educate people.

738
00:36:27.580 --> 00:36:28.560
<v Norman Swan>You educate people to eat more healthily.

739
00:36:28.860 --> 00:36:30.900
<v Norman Swan>But I think you've shown care and that doesn't work.

740
00:36:31.180 --> 00:36:38.760
<v Speaker 6>But people, I really think the issue of poverty is a really important one, that we can't just brush over and say healthy food isn't expensive.

741
00:36:39.080 --> 00:36:44.340
<v Speaker 6>When you look at calories per dollar, unhealthy food is a lot cheaper.

742
00:36:44.860 --> 00:36:46.160
<v Speaker 6>There's no question about that.

743
00:36:46.240 --> 00:36:49.420
<v Speaker 6>The cheapest things are fats and oils, sugar and flour.

744
00:36:49.660 --> 00:36:51.740
<v Speaker 6>And that's what Aboriginal people eat.

745
00:36:51.840 --> 00:36:56.660
<v Speaker 6>And that's what poor people eat anywhere in the world in a developed country.

746
00:36:57.580 --> 00:37:01.320
<v Speaker 6>There's been studies on the economics of food choice in France, of all places.

747
00:37:01.620 --> 00:37:10.680
<v Speaker 6>And we are very, very interested to see that we see the same food patterns in remote Aboriginal communities as in a poor community in France.

748
00:37:11.020 --> 00:37:17.520
<v Speaker 6>So we can't escape the fact that when you're poor, you want to maximise calories per dollar.

749
00:37:17.620 --> 00:37:18.300
<v Speaker 6>It makes a lot of sense.

750
00:37:18.820 --> 00:37:23.940
<v Speaker 6>And you also will gorge, you'll eat a lot when you've got the opportunity.

751
00:37:24.240 --> 00:37:27.060
<v Speaker 6>All of these things are then promoting food.

752
00:37:27.580 --> 00:37:30.740
<v Speaker 6>And that's the problem with obesity and the associated problems.

753
00:37:31.120 --> 00:37:39.360
<v Speaker 6>So, I mean, fruit and vegetables, even when they're subsidised, as they are in a number of remote Aboriginal stores now, are still expensive.

754
00:37:40.280 --> 00:37:49.020
<v Speaker 6>But my experience is that Aboriginal people, as soon as fresh fruit come into a community, it gets bought and consumed.

755
00:37:49.380 --> 00:37:50.900
<v Speaker 6>There just is not an issue around that.

756
00:37:51.160 --> 00:37:56.120
<v Speaker 6>They certainly may not be all that enthusiastic about the vegetables or the Mediterranean diet.

757
00:37:57.640 --> 00:38:01.740
<v Speaker 6>But general vegetables that they're familiar with, they will eat as well.

758
00:38:01.860 --> 00:38:03.080
<v Speaker 6>But it's more expensive.

759
00:38:03.280 --> 00:38:04.220
<v Speaker 6>Lean meat is expensive.

760
00:38:04.560 --> 00:38:05.640
<v Speaker 6>Fatty meat is cheap.

761
00:38:05.880 --> 00:38:16.380
<v Speaker 6>So these are the sorts of things that, even though fatty meat, a fat piece of meat, has cost environmentally a hell of a lot more to produce, it actually is sold to the public and not cheaper.

762
00:38:16.760 --> 00:38:18.540
<v Speaker 6>So there are problems still.

763
00:38:19.320 --> 00:38:19.840
<v Norman Swan>Yes.

764
00:38:21.320 --> 00:38:26.880
<v Audience>I'd just like to address a few myths that I think are poorly understood about chicken.

765
00:38:27.580 --> 00:38:32.980
<v Audience>And that is, I'm under the understanding that chicken in Australia does not have hormones.

766
00:38:33.320 --> 00:38:35.660
<v Audience>And many people would disagree with that.

767
00:38:35.760 --> 00:38:37.880
<v Audience>And I have heard that it's in eggs.

768
00:38:38.040 --> 00:38:39.680
<v Audience>I don't know how you can separate the two.

769
00:38:39.720 --> 00:38:42.600
<v Audience>I guess that comes down to the chicken-for-the-egg theory.

770
00:38:43.580 --> 00:38:51.940
<v Audience>And my second question also, you might be able to address later, is that where do you draw the line with organic production of grain?

771
00:38:52.000 --> 00:38:57.560
<v Audience>Especially in developing countries where the GM modification of grain is not as important.

772
00:38:57.560 --> 00:39:04.600
<v Audience>I think that the use of grain and corn has excellent prospects for increasing the nutritional value of the food.

773
00:39:04.700 --> 00:39:12.200
<v Audience>And it could be used to contribute to a much more nourished societies in developing countries.

774
00:39:12.520 --> 00:39:13.060
<v Audience>Thank you.

775
00:39:13.140 --> 00:39:13.320
<v Audience>Good.

776
00:39:13.400 --> 00:39:13.900
<v Norman Swan>Thank you very much.

777
00:39:13.940 --> 00:39:14.720
<v Norman Swan>We'll do both of those now.

778
00:39:14.860 --> 00:39:18.100
<v Speaker 2>So, Peter, the chicken-for-the-egg situation.

779
00:39:19.400 --> 00:39:24.500
<v Speaker 2>With intensively housed chooks, unless they put antibiotics in the feed, the growth rates are really low.

780
00:39:24.560 --> 00:39:25.580
<v Speaker 2>So they tend to get sick.

781
00:39:25.700 --> 00:39:26.760
<v Speaker 2>It doesn't apply to free-range.

782
00:39:27.060 --> 00:39:27.540
<v Speaker 4>But no, it won't.

783
00:39:27.560 --> 00:39:28.280
<v Speaker 4>No, no, no.

784
00:39:28.300 --> 00:39:29.120
<v Speaker 4>No, antibiotics.

785
00:39:29.300 --> 00:39:31.100
<v Speaker 2>No, they have antibiotics in the feed.

786
00:39:31.120 --> 00:39:37.480
<v Speaker 6>So that's the issue with intensively range, with intensively bred chickens in Australia, is the hormones.

787
00:39:37.720 --> 00:39:39.060
<v Speaker 6>And that certainly does…

788
00:39:39.060 --> 00:39:39.520
<v Speaker 6>No, it's antibiotics.

789
00:39:39.740 --> 00:39:40.760
<v Speaker 6>No, sorry, yes.

790
00:39:41.160 --> 00:39:41.840
<v Speaker 6>No, there's no…

791
00:39:41.840 --> 00:39:42.300
<v Speaker 6>The antibiotics.

792
00:39:42.600 --> 00:39:43.320
<v Speaker 6>Let's be clear.

793
00:39:43.360 --> 00:39:45.640
<v Speaker 4>There are no hormones used in raising chickens.

794
00:39:45.640 --> 00:39:46.320
<v Speaker 4>No, there are no hormones.

795
00:39:46.360 --> 00:39:46.860
<v Speaker 6>I didn't mean that.

796
00:39:46.920 --> 00:39:47.220
<v Speaker 6>I'm sorry.

797
00:39:47.680 --> 00:39:48.600
<v Speaker 6>That was a misstatement.

798
00:39:48.980 --> 00:39:49.580
<v Speaker 6>Antibiotics, yes.

799
00:39:50.080 --> 00:39:51.780
<v Speaker 6>Antibiotics and quite high levels.

800
00:39:52.140 --> 00:39:53.980
<v Speaker 6>And that is a concern.

801
00:39:54.660 --> 00:39:56.380
<v Speaker 2>And presumably that gets into the eggs.

802
00:39:56.520 --> 00:39:57.400
<v Speaker 2>It's in the meat and the eggs.

803
00:39:57.400 --> 00:39:57.540
<v Speaker 2>And that's the…

804
00:39:57.540 --> 00:39:58.460
<v Speaker 2>That's right, traces of it, yes.

805
00:39:58.560 --> 00:40:01.540
<v Norman Swan>And antibiotics, are they going to create antibiotic resistance in us?

806
00:40:01.900 --> 00:40:02.300
<v Norman Swan>Potentially, yes.

807
00:40:02.300 --> 00:40:02.720
<v Norman Swan>So that's what you're saying.

808
00:40:03.240 --> 00:40:03.640
<v Norman Swan>Right.

809
00:40:03.740 --> 00:40:06.360
<v Norman Swan>And antibiotics that are used regularly in healthcare?

810
00:40:07.340 --> 00:40:08.140
<v Speaker 2>They're related.

811
00:40:08.320 --> 00:40:12.580
<v Speaker 2>So the veterinary ones tend to be different antibiotics, but they do have cross-resistance

812
00:40:12.580 --> 00:40:13.580
<v Speaker 2>with some of the human ones.

813
00:40:13.940 --> 00:40:14.340
<v Speaker 2>Right.

814
00:40:14.380 --> 00:40:17.700
<v Speaker 2>So there's a possibility that the use of certain antibiotics in chicken might lead

815
00:40:17.700 --> 00:40:18.940
<v Speaker 2>to resistance in humans.

816
00:40:19.080 --> 00:40:23.100
<v Norman Swan>But we haven't got the equivalent of sort of muscular steroids being put in to sort

817
00:40:23.100 --> 00:40:25.540
<v Norman Swan>of make a particularly robust drumstick.

818
00:40:26.280 --> 00:40:26.600
<v Norman Swan>No.

819
00:40:26.600 --> 00:40:28.760
<v Speaker 2>It might be just plumped up with water, of course, an injection of water.

820
00:40:29.240 --> 00:40:32.000
<v Norman Swan>So let's talk about GM, because GM is an interesting issue.

821
00:40:32.040 --> 00:40:33.700
<v Norman Swan>We see a lot of opposition to it.

822
00:40:34.580 --> 00:40:36.480
<v Norman Swan>But is that in fact one of the answers?

823
00:40:36.540 --> 00:40:39.080
<v Norman Swan>Are we too precious about genetic modification?

824
00:40:39.240 --> 00:40:41.100
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, it's a tough question.

825
00:40:41.180 --> 00:40:45.900
<v Speaker 4>Eighty-five percent of the soybeans in the United States now are genetically modified.

826
00:40:46.980 --> 00:40:49.760
<v Speaker 4>Organic foods are not allowed to be genetically modified.

827
00:40:49.880 --> 00:40:51.860
<v Speaker 4>That's one of the regulatory restrictions.

828
00:40:51.860 --> 00:40:59.660
<v Speaker 4>But I'm not aware that there's much research going on on development of genetically modified

829
00:41:00.160 --> 00:41:03.800
<v Speaker 4>crops for use in developing countries, that is in tropical countries.

830
00:41:04.100 --> 00:41:05.280
<v Norman Swan>There's a lot of Australia going on.

831
00:41:05.300 --> 00:41:07.700
<v Speaker 4>I mean, there may be some, but there's not a lot.

832
00:41:07.960 --> 00:41:12.980
<v Speaker 4>And it's mostly temperate agriculture, to my knowledge.

833
00:41:13.140 --> 00:41:19.540
<v Speaker 4>And there's been very little transfer of technology to developing countries, mainly because they

834
00:41:19.540 --> 00:41:20.220
<v Speaker 4>can't afford it.

835
00:41:20.400 --> 00:41:21.420
<v Speaker 2>Oh, with the Rice Institute.

836
00:41:21.460 --> 00:41:21.840
<v Speaker 2>I think.

837
00:41:21.860 --> 00:41:21.980
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

838
00:41:21.980 --> 00:41:22.940
<v Speaker 2>Which is the Philippines, mostly.

839
00:41:22.960 --> 00:41:28.280
<v Speaker 2>They've been growing varieties with beta-carotene, so with golden rice and an iron-rich rice.

840
00:41:28.340 --> 00:41:28.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, but that's not in production yet.

841
00:41:28.480 --> 00:41:29.160
<v Speaker 2>Well, there are problems.

842
00:41:29.280 --> 00:41:32.700
<v Speaker 2>And the other issue, of course, is that Southeast Asian people like white rice.

843
00:41:32.820 --> 00:41:34.520
<v Speaker 2>And if you make a yellow rice, they won't eat it.

844
00:41:34.680 --> 00:41:38.900
<v Speaker 2>And if you make a black rice with iron, then they won't eat that either.

845
00:41:39.020 --> 00:41:40.940
<v Speaker 2>So there are a lot of barriers to be overcome, but the technology.

846
00:41:40.940 --> 00:41:44.180
<v Speaker 4>But it's too simplistic to say that it's going to solve the problems.

847
00:41:44.580 --> 00:41:51.300
<v Speaker 6>I mean, it's almost a bit like your, you know, the example that you gave in your talk, Norman,

848
00:41:51.300 --> 00:41:56.500
<v Speaker 6>about beta-carotene trials, when it's done in a randomised controlled trial.

849
00:41:56.640 --> 00:42:02.760
<v Speaker 6>Single nutrient interventions or even multiple pet nutrient interventions aren't effective.

850
00:42:03.320 --> 00:42:06.720
<v Speaker 6>And whether they will with the beta-carotene in the rice, we don't know.

851
00:42:06.880 --> 00:42:07.880
<v Speaker 2>But I think it contributes.

852
00:42:08.300 --> 00:42:12.240
<v Speaker 2>I mean, when you've got a micronutrient deficient population, adding a bit more beta-carotene

853
00:42:12.240 --> 00:42:16.100
<v Speaker 2>in rice and similarly enriching other crops has the advantage.

854
00:42:16.440 --> 00:42:19.020
<v Speaker 2>But they have multiple nutrient deficiencies.

855
00:42:19.020 --> 00:42:19.300
<v Speaker 4>Sure.

856
00:42:19.480 --> 00:42:20.480
<v Speaker 4>But it's still theoretical.

857
00:42:20.480 --> 00:42:22.960
<v Speaker 4>It's still theoretical because they haven't been able to get it into production yet.

858
00:42:23.240 --> 00:42:25.920
<v Norman Swan>But what about this sort of nutraceutical approach?

859
00:42:26.160 --> 00:42:28.060
<v Norman Swan>I mean, you're a believer in it, aren't you, Peter?

860
00:42:28.220 --> 00:42:28.320
<v Norman Swan>Yeah.

861
00:42:28.320 --> 00:42:32.220
<v Norman Swan>I mean, we buy margarine with plant sterols in them to get our cholesterol down.

862
00:42:32.400 --> 00:42:33.360
<v Norman Swan>I mean, that's not natural.

863
00:42:33.600 --> 00:42:34.660
<v Speaker 2>No, it's definitely not natural.

864
00:42:34.700 --> 00:42:40.580
<v Speaker 2>But it's making use of a natural compound that's in the plant wall, just enriching it

865
00:42:40.580 --> 00:42:41.100
<v Speaker 2>a hundredfold.

866
00:42:41.340 --> 00:42:47.700
<v Norman Swan>So is there a corollary of the chicken story here where you, that really you could actually

867
00:42:47.700 --> 00:42:49.420
<v Norman Swan>treat the population through food?

868
00:42:51.560 --> 00:42:54.860
<v Speaker 2>You could certainly supply certain key nutrients that are missing.

869
00:42:55.040 --> 00:42:57.700
<v Speaker 2>So say iron is some...

870
00:42:57.700 --> 00:43:02.280
<v Norman Swan>But that's for a sub-Saharan African population, the Australian population.

871
00:43:02.700 --> 00:43:05.180
<v Speaker 2>Well, for Australia, iron is limiting and...

872
00:43:05.180 --> 00:43:05.940
<v Speaker 4>Well, we fortify.

873
00:43:06.780 --> 00:43:12.440
<v Speaker 4>We have five nutrients in our flour, and those nutrients have raised the blood levels of

874
00:43:12.440 --> 00:43:14.960
<v Speaker 4>those particular nutrients in the population.

875
00:43:15.400 --> 00:43:18.480
<v Norman Swan>But one of them, folate, is liable to raise the incidence of cancer in the community.

876
00:43:18.480 --> 00:43:20.440
<v Speaker 4>It's not clear what the folate will do.

877
00:43:20.480 --> 00:43:21.780
<v Speaker 4>I was a skeptic, right?

878
00:43:21.820 --> 00:43:22.080
<v Speaker 4>That's interesting.

879
00:43:22.080 --> 00:43:26.800
<v Speaker 4>I was on the Food and Drug Administration Advisory Committee at the time that the folate

880
00:43:26.800 --> 00:43:33.480
<v Speaker 4>fortification was approved, and I was one of the skeptics, I'm embarrassed to say, saying,

881
00:43:34.420 --> 00:43:39.680
<v Speaker 4>oh, I think you need to know more about this, and very, very worried about two factors.

882
00:43:39.800 --> 00:43:46.220
<v Speaker 4>One, the reason that folate was put into the food supply was to reduce the number of neural

883
00:43:46.220 --> 00:43:47.940
<v Speaker 4>tube defects among...

884
00:43:48.580 --> 00:43:50.460
<v Speaker 4>That were being born to pregnant women.

885
00:43:50.460 --> 00:43:53.820
<v Speaker 4>And neural tube defects are horrible, horrible problems.

886
00:43:54.320 --> 00:44:00.260
<v Speaker 4>But the number of neural tube defects of children with neural tube defects being born in the

887
00:44:00.260 --> 00:44:07.460
<v Speaker 4>United States was already very low, and had been falling by about half every four to six

888
00:44:07.460 --> 00:44:10.340
<v Speaker 4>years in the years prior to fortification.

889
00:44:10.580 --> 00:44:15.460
<v Speaker 4>And they have continued to decline at about the same rate, and now look like they're leveling

890
00:44:15.460 --> 00:44:15.860
<v Speaker 4>off.

891
00:44:16.700 --> 00:44:20.400
<v Speaker 4>But it isn't at all clear what the higher levels of folate in the population are.

892
00:44:20.400 --> 00:44:20.440
<v Speaker 4>And I think that's a very important issue.

893
00:44:20.440 --> 00:44:22.540
<v Speaker 4>And I think the

894
00:44:22.540 --> 00:44:23.380
<v Speaker 4>Commissioners in the Commissioners in the Commissioners in the Commissioners in the Commissioners

895
00:44:23.380 --> 00:44:30.540
<v Speaker 4>in the Commissioners in the Commissioners

896
00:44:43.260 --> 00:44:45.720
<v Speaker 2>but certainly they didn't improve the rate,

897
00:44:45.800 --> 00:44:47.080
<v Speaker 2>which is what the expectation was.

898
00:44:48.020 --> 00:44:49.820
<v Speaker 4>I'm sceptical about that too.

899
00:44:50.100 --> 00:44:51.600
<v Speaker 2>But the other thing about cancer is,

900
00:44:52.200 --> 00:44:53.380
<v Speaker 2>following on from the neural tube defect,

901
00:44:53.560 --> 00:44:54.820
<v Speaker 2>which is not so clear in the States,

902
00:44:54.920 --> 00:44:56.600
<v Speaker 2>but the incidence of childhood leukaemia

903
00:44:56.600 --> 00:44:58.560
<v Speaker 2>has fallen quite dramatically

904
00:44:58.560 --> 00:45:00.580
<v Speaker 2>because of the folate fortification.

905
00:45:00.680 --> 00:45:01.920
<v Speaker 2>So there is quite a strong link

906
00:45:01.920 --> 00:45:08.240
<v Speaker 2>between the embryo being exposed to folate in utero

907
00:45:08.240 --> 00:45:09.960
<v Speaker 2>and getting less leukaemia.

908
00:45:09.960 --> 00:45:14.660
<v Speaker 2>So I think folate does have advantages in some situations.

909
00:45:14.860 --> 00:45:17.480
<v Speaker 4>I hate to raise the big rumour,

910
00:45:17.480 --> 00:45:19.620
<v Speaker 4>which has to do with autism, but never mind.

911
00:45:21.000 --> 00:45:22.820
<v Speaker 4>This one's still being researched.

912
00:45:22.940 --> 00:45:24.140
<v Speaker 4>We're doing the experiment.

913
00:45:25.060 --> 00:45:25.340
<v Audience>Yes.

914
00:45:25.720 --> 00:45:27.120
<v Audience>I just wanted to ask a question

915
00:45:27.120 --> 00:45:32.060
<v Audience>about the high-fat meat, low-fat meat kind of issue.

916
00:45:32.480 --> 00:45:33.640
<v Audience>How much...

917
00:45:33.640 --> 00:45:35.980
<v Audience>If we have these cheap snack foods

918
00:45:35.980 --> 00:45:39.280
<v Audience>that people eat in addition to meat,

919
00:45:39.320 --> 00:45:39.760
<v Audience>how much...

920
00:45:39.760 --> 00:45:41.660
<v Audience>How much fat in the average diet comes from meat,

921
00:45:41.780 --> 00:45:44.280
<v Audience>how much difference would it actually make

922
00:45:44.280 --> 00:45:47.540
<v Audience>to reduce fat content of meat,

923
00:45:47.660 --> 00:45:51.340
<v Audience>given that we're geared to like fat, sugar, etc.,

924
00:45:51.340 --> 00:45:54.800
<v Audience>and that extra stuff will come easily anyway?

925
00:45:55.200 --> 00:45:57.360
<v Speaker 6>Yes, and I guess my view is

926
00:45:57.360 --> 00:46:01.480
<v Speaker 6>that quite a lot of the fat in our processed food supply

927
00:46:01.480 --> 00:46:03.300
<v Speaker 6>does come from carcasses of animals.

928
00:46:03.680 --> 00:46:04.720
<v Norman Swan>Yes, but it's a different question.

929
00:46:04.880 --> 00:46:05.620
<v Norman Swan>It's a different question, yes.

930
00:46:05.620 --> 00:46:07.020
<v Norman Swan>The question is, which is a very good one,

931
00:46:07.060 --> 00:46:08.480
<v Norman Swan>which is, given all the crap that we eat,

932
00:46:08.580 --> 00:46:09.740
<v Norman Swan>how much is...

933
00:46:09.760 --> 00:46:11.300
<v Norman Swan>Is it really going to make a difference to eat lean meat?

934
00:46:11.760 --> 00:46:14.820
<v Speaker 2>Probably 20% to 30% of the fat will come from meat and meat sources.

935
00:46:15.080 --> 00:46:15.100
<v Speaker 2>What percent?

936
00:46:15.100 --> 00:46:16.400
<v Speaker 2>20% to 30%.

937
00:46:16.860 --> 00:46:19.000
<v Speaker 2>So 20% to 30% from dairy sources,

938
00:46:19.400 --> 00:46:21.800
<v Speaker 2>and the rest is hidden fat from biscuits and cakes.

939
00:46:21.800 --> 00:46:22.840
<v Speaker 4>The issue isn't fat.

940
00:46:22.920 --> 00:46:24.340
<v Speaker 4>The issue is saturated fat.

941
00:46:25.560 --> 00:46:29.560
<v Speaker 4>And their animal foods are the primary source.

942
00:46:30.020 --> 00:46:33.060
<v Norman Swan>Do we have that much trans fat left in the Australian food supply?

943
00:46:33.060 --> 00:46:33.580
<v Norman Swan>Not that much in Australia.

944
00:46:33.820 --> 00:46:35.680
<v Speaker 2>No, it's less than 2% of total.

945
00:46:35.720 --> 00:46:37.060
<v Speaker 4>And we've gotten rid of ours.

946
00:46:38.660 --> 00:46:39.720
<v Norman Swan>So the answer...

947
00:46:39.760 --> 00:46:41.240
<v Norman Swan>The answer to your question is you'll make a bit of a difference,

948
00:46:41.420 --> 00:46:43.560
<v Norman Swan>but we've still got to stop eating junk stuff.

949
00:46:44.500 --> 00:46:45.060
<v Audience>Yes?

950
00:46:45.600 --> 00:46:51.360
<v Audience>Going back to Peter's response to the issue of the Patagonian berry farmers

951
00:46:51.940 --> 00:46:55.980
<v Audience>and the opportunity that creates for them to gain a livelihood,

952
00:46:58.060 --> 00:47:03.180
<v Audience>would it be not better for not only the Patagonian berry farmers,

953
00:47:03.320 --> 00:47:05.880
<v Audience>but also other people in developing countries,

954
00:47:06.000 --> 00:47:08.580
<v Audience>to be providing their own food?

955
00:47:09.760 --> 00:47:14.160
<v Audience>And also, to broaden the topic rather more,

956
00:47:14.940 --> 00:47:20.180
<v Audience>is it not the case that free market capitalism

957
00:47:20.180 --> 00:47:24.620
<v Audience>is inherently unhealthy and inherently unsustainable?

958
00:47:26.480 --> 00:47:28.780
<v Speaker 4>Well, that certainly states it.

959
00:47:29.640 --> 00:47:32.700
<v Speaker 2>The trouble is, on the plot of land that the Patagonian uses,

960
00:47:32.760 --> 00:47:35.180
<v Speaker 2>which might provide enough food for his family for a year,

961
00:47:35.940 --> 00:47:37.360
<v Speaker 2>he has no cash to buy anything else.

962
00:47:37.360 --> 00:47:38.440
<v Speaker 2>He may be able to feed his family.

963
00:47:38.520 --> 00:47:39.680
<v Speaker 2>But blueberries are such a pressure.

964
00:47:39.680 --> 00:47:40.020
<v Speaker 2>It's such a precious thing.

965
00:47:40.100 --> 00:47:41.900
<v Speaker 2>If he gets $5 a punnet,

966
00:47:41.960 --> 00:47:43.580
<v Speaker 2>he, on his...

967
00:47:43.580 --> 00:47:45.920
<v Speaker 2>Well, he might get half of that anyway, or a tenth of it.

968
00:47:46.000 --> 00:47:49.540
<v Speaker 2>But on his plot, he can get a cash crop that will far exceed.

969
00:47:49.740 --> 00:47:52.280
<v Speaker 2>He'll be able to buy food, hopefully locally,

970
00:47:52.440 --> 00:47:53.600
<v Speaker 2>but it might well be imported food,

971
00:47:53.740 --> 00:47:55.460
<v Speaker 2>and still have some cash left behind.

972
00:47:55.580 --> 00:47:56.840
<v Speaker 2>So it does offer them more freedom.

973
00:47:57.580 --> 00:48:00.560
<v Speaker 2>So it goes beyond subsistence agriculture.

974
00:48:01.200 --> 00:48:03.820
<v Speaker 2>And most people don't want to just grow enough food to live on.

975
00:48:03.900 --> 00:48:07.040
<v Speaker 2>They want to actually have more free cash to be able to do something else.

976
00:48:07.060 --> 00:48:09.340
<v Speaker 2>So let's just pick up on this Marxian analysis,

977
00:48:09.680 --> 00:48:10.500
<v Norman Swan>of food for a woman.

978
00:48:10.620 --> 00:48:11.240
<v Speaker 4>I want to comment on that.

979
00:48:11.480 --> 00:48:11.840
<v Speaker 4>Go on.

980
00:48:12.060 --> 00:48:17.260
<v Speaker 4>I mean, I think that's the central dilemma that the food supply faces,

981
00:48:17.940 --> 00:48:19.180
<v Speaker 4>is the capitalist dilemma.

982
00:48:20.080 --> 00:48:26.080
<v Speaker 4>With 3,900 calories available for every man, woman, and child in the United States,

983
00:48:26.320 --> 00:48:28.640
<v Speaker 4>food companies have to sell food.

984
00:48:29.000 --> 00:48:30.460
<v Speaker 4>They must sell food.

985
00:48:30.640 --> 00:48:34.080
<v Speaker 4>And they must not only make a profit on the food that they sell,

986
00:48:34.120 --> 00:48:36.980
<v Speaker 4>but they must grow their profits every quarter,

987
00:48:37.120 --> 00:48:39.660
<v Speaker 4>according to the way our investment system works.

988
00:48:39.680 --> 00:48:41.120
<v Speaker 4>That's capitalism.

989
00:48:41.580 --> 00:48:46.420
<v Norman Swan>But we can cry into our olive oil or our glass of red wine about this,

990
00:48:46.540 --> 00:48:49.840
<v Norman Swan>but Stalin wasn't too good at producing food for the Russian economy.

991
00:48:50.060 --> 00:48:51.020
<v Speaker 4>No, he was very bad at producing food,

992
00:48:51.140 --> 00:48:53.920
<v Speaker 4>because he removed the incentives.

993
00:48:54.120 --> 00:48:56.820
<v Speaker 4>There were no incentives for people to do that.

994
00:48:56.960 --> 00:48:58.860
<v Speaker 4>And so you need some sort of combination,

995
00:48:58.900 --> 00:49:00.140
<v Speaker 4>or some sort of...

996
00:49:00.880 --> 00:49:02.740
<v Speaker 4>But maybe nobody's found yet.

997
00:49:03.060 --> 00:49:07.160
<v Speaker 4>Which is why the locally grown movement, I think, is so important,

998
00:49:07.400 --> 00:49:09.600
<v Speaker 4>and the specialty agriculture movement.

999
00:49:09.680 --> 00:49:13.860
<v Speaker 4>It's so important in looking at some sort of intermediate way of doing it.

1000
00:49:13.860 --> 00:49:16.900
<v Speaker 2>But they'll still only provide enough food for a small number of people.

1001
00:49:17.000 --> 00:49:20.000
<v Speaker 2>I think the efficiencies in, say, industrialized wheat production

1002
00:49:20.000 --> 00:49:22.660
<v Speaker 2>versus growing a little plot of wheat in your backyard...

1003
00:49:22.660 --> 00:49:25.480
<v Speaker 4>But the cost of those efficiencies is very high in other ways.

1004
00:49:25.920 --> 00:49:26.900
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I'm not sure.

1005
00:49:26.980 --> 00:49:28.420
<v Speaker 2>I think that argument still needs to be made,

1006
00:49:28.480 --> 00:49:31.860
<v Speaker 2>that long-term, that little local agriculture is actually,

1007
00:49:31.980 --> 00:49:33.880
<v Speaker 2>in terms of energy and water,

1008
00:49:34.400 --> 00:49:36.980
<v Speaker 2>as efficient as the industrialized agriculture.

1009
00:49:38.160 --> 00:49:39.440
<v Norman Swan>I mean, the reality is,

1010
00:49:39.440 --> 00:49:43.300
<v Norman Swan>isn't it, that capitalism does force, in some instances, efficiencies

1011
00:49:43.860 --> 00:49:46.820
<v Norman Swan>that you don't get through market adjustments in other ways.

1012
00:49:47.140 --> 00:49:49.160
<v Speaker 4>At great externalized cost.

1013
00:49:50.020 --> 00:49:53.020
<v Norman Swan>So your argument is that you load the cost in properly

1014
00:49:53.020 --> 00:49:56.620
<v Norman Swan>rather than, you know, pay for the rivers.

1015
00:49:56.980 --> 00:49:58.440
<v Speaker 2>Well, I think when we have carbon trading,

1016
00:49:58.520 --> 00:49:59.900
<v Speaker 2>when you pay properly for your waste,

1017
00:50:00.580 --> 00:50:02.120
<v Speaker 2>when you pay for the water properly,

1018
00:50:02.300 --> 00:50:04.660
<v Speaker 2>then the real cost of food will start to come out.

1019
00:50:04.760 --> 00:50:06.800
<v Speaker 2>It may shift people's food choices then,

1020
00:50:06.880 --> 00:50:08.360
<v Speaker 2>but we're not paying for the real cost.

1021
00:50:08.360 --> 00:50:09.360
<v Norman Swan>I think that's the critical issue.

1022
00:50:09.440 --> 00:50:09.940
<v Norman Swan>Yes.

1023
00:50:10.900 --> 00:50:13.080
<v Audience>Sort of relating to what you just said,

1024
00:50:13.160 --> 00:50:15.660
<v Audience>but it's to do with food ownership.

1025
00:50:16.680 --> 00:50:18.840
<v Audience>And so, you know, in relation to,

1026
00:50:20.140 --> 00:50:22.580
<v Audience>from the farm to supermarket shelf

1027
00:50:22.580 --> 00:50:26.120
<v Audience>and who's owning sort of on each level,

1028
00:50:26.240 --> 00:50:29.920
<v Audience>pretty much, I think it's something like 90%

1029
00:50:29.920 --> 00:50:34.540
<v Audience>of all the corn grown in the US

1030
00:50:34.540 --> 00:50:37.000
<v Audience>is actually fed to the feedlot sector.

1031
00:50:37.080 --> 00:50:39.320
<v Audience>And that's 90% of that.

1032
00:50:39.440 --> 00:50:43.300
<v Audience>And that is GM food owned by Monsanto.

1033
00:50:45.060 --> 00:50:47.880
<v Audience>So, and also the,

1034
00:50:51.500 --> 00:50:55.340
<v Audience>it's, there was like a documentary about Monsanto

1035
00:50:55.340 --> 00:50:58.380
<v Audience>wanting to take over the ownership from all,

1036
00:50:58.580 --> 00:51:03.920
<v Audience>you know, in fact own 100% of the food market,

1037
00:51:04.880 --> 00:51:08.640
<v Audience>patenting pig genes and such.

1038
00:51:08.660 --> 00:51:09.360
<v Audience>I'm just,

1039
00:51:09.360 --> 00:51:10.460
<v Audience>if you're looking at future,

1040
00:51:10.700 --> 00:51:12.140
<v Audience>you're looking at food ownership.

1041
00:51:12.480 --> 00:51:14.180
<v Audience>So I was wondering what you're thinking

1042
00:51:14.180 --> 00:51:17.700
<v Audience>in sort of corporate sense of food ownership.

1043
00:51:18.020 --> 00:51:20.400
<v Norman Swan>So to what extent, Marion, is this,

1044
00:51:22.420 --> 00:51:25.340
<v Norman Swan>well, you know, this idea that there may be

1045
00:51:25.340 --> 00:51:27.100
<v Norman Swan>sort of chemical companies who are monopolizing

1046
00:51:27.100 --> 00:51:30.120
<v Norman Swan>the ownership of the seed stock, perhaps,

1047
00:51:30.340 --> 00:51:31.440
<v Norman Swan>as well as the feed stock.

1048
00:51:31.520 --> 00:51:32.020
<v Norman Swan>Is that true?

1049
00:51:32.360 --> 00:51:34.460
<v Speaker 4>Oh, well, that's the central argument

1050
00:51:34.460 --> 00:51:36.640
<v Speaker 4>about genetically modified foods.

1051
00:51:36.820 --> 00:51:39.320
<v Speaker 4>You know, it's framed as a safety issue,

1052
00:51:39.360 --> 00:51:41.140
<v Speaker 4>often, but it's not.

1053
00:51:41.300 --> 00:51:42.940
<v Speaker 4>It's an issue about corporate ownership

1054
00:51:42.940 --> 00:51:44.180
<v Speaker 4>of the food supply

1055
00:51:44.180 --> 00:51:45.820
<v Speaker 4>and who owns the means of production.

1056
00:51:46.340 --> 00:51:49.620
<v Speaker 4>And if one company owns the seeds,

1057
00:51:49.680 --> 00:51:51.360
<v Speaker 4>forces, and the seeds are hybrid

1058
00:51:51.900 --> 00:51:53.840
<v Speaker 4>so that you must replace them every year

1059
00:51:53.840 --> 00:51:55.320
<v Speaker 4>and farmers must buy them

1060
00:51:55.320 --> 00:51:56.480
<v Speaker 4>and they can't save seeds

1061
00:51:56.480 --> 00:51:59.160
<v Speaker 4>and they're patenting seed stock,

1062
00:51:59.480 --> 00:52:02.020
<v Speaker 4>those are huge issues about corporate control

1063
00:52:02.740 --> 00:52:05.360
<v Speaker 4>that are part of the capitalist system

1064
00:52:05.360 --> 00:52:06.640
<v Speaker 4>and that need to be dealt with,

1065
00:52:06.680 --> 00:52:08.160
<v Speaker 4>I think, in a very serious way.

1066
00:52:08.480 --> 00:52:08.740
<v Norman Swan>Okay.

1067
00:52:08.740 --> 00:52:11.400
<v Norman Swan>So how monocultural has the seed stock become

1068
00:52:11.400 --> 00:52:12.440
<v Norman Swan>in the United States?

1069
00:52:12.500 --> 00:52:12.820
<v Norman Swan>Oh, enormously.

1070
00:52:13.980 --> 00:52:16.380
<v Speaker 4>I mean, I don't know what the exact percentage is.

1071
00:52:16.960 --> 00:52:20.000
<v Speaker 4>I do know that 85% of soybeans

1072
00:52:20.000 --> 00:52:22.520
<v Speaker 4>and roughly 50% of the corn

1073
00:52:22.520 --> 00:52:25.160
<v Speaker 4>is genetically modified in the United States.

1074
00:52:25.180 --> 00:52:26.760
<v Speaker 4>The corn has been kept down

1075
00:52:26.760 --> 00:52:29.120
<v Speaker 4>because the Europeans won't buy our corn

1076
00:52:29.120 --> 00:52:30.380
<v Speaker 4>if it's genetically modified.

1077
00:52:30.720 --> 00:52:34.160
<v Speaker 4>So that has acted as a break on the introduction of it.

1078
00:52:34.360 --> 00:52:36.560
<v Speaker 4>Farmers love it because they,

1079
00:52:36.640 --> 00:52:38.360
<v Speaker 4>not that it doesn't need pesticides,

1080
00:52:38.740 --> 00:52:39.220
<v Speaker 4>it does,

1081
00:52:39.500 --> 00:52:43.040
<v Speaker 4>but they don't have to apply the pesticides as often.

1082
00:52:43.200 --> 00:52:46.220
<v Speaker 4>So it's less harmful to the farm workers

1083
00:52:46.220 --> 00:52:48.520
<v Speaker 4>and it's easier for them.

1084
00:52:48.880 --> 00:52:50.580
<v Speaker 4>What's happening, of course,

1085
00:52:50.620 --> 00:52:54.300
<v Speaker 4>is exactly what the anti-biotechnology advocates

1086
00:52:54.300 --> 00:52:56.020
<v Speaker 4>said would happen,

1087
00:52:56.120 --> 00:52:58.340
<v Speaker 4>which is that they're developing a lot of,

1088
00:52:58.380 --> 00:53:00.340
<v Speaker 4>there's a lot of plants that are developing resistance

1089
00:53:00.340 --> 00:53:03.060
<v Speaker 4>to the particular herbicides

1090
00:53:03.060 --> 00:53:05.240
<v Speaker 4>that Monsanto also makes.

1091
00:53:05.560 --> 00:53:08.680
<v Norman Swan>So how applicable is that situation to Australia?

1092
00:53:08.740 --> 00:53:08.820
<v Norman Swan>Well, as I said earlier,

1093
00:53:08.880 --> 00:53:09.980
<v Norman Swan>not in terms of the genetic modification,

1094
00:53:10.180 --> 00:53:12.260
<v Norman Swan>but the ownership of the seed stock

1095
00:53:12.260 --> 00:53:14.140
<v Norman Swan>and the monocultural nature of it,

1096
00:53:14.180 --> 00:53:16.500
<v Norman Swan>in other words, which also exposes us to plant diseases

1097
00:53:16.500 --> 00:53:17.320
<v Norman Swan>and things like that.

1098
00:53:17.460 --> 00:53:17.940
<v Norman Swan>Peter, do you know?

1099
00:53:19.260 --> 00:53:20.540
<v Speaker 2>I'm not really an expert on that,

1100
00:53:20.620 --> 00:53:23.820
<v Speaker 2>but I think with all industrialized forms of agriculture,

1101
00:53:24.040 --> 00:53:25.520
<v Speaker 2>there is a lot of monoculturism.

1102
00:53:25.560 --> 00:53:26.920
<v Speaker 2>So, you know, the best wheat variety

1103
00:53:26.920 --> 00:53:28.400
<v Speaker 2>that produces the best yield

1104
00:53:28.400 --> 00:53:31.140
<v Speaker 2>and is the most resistant is the one that's widely grown.

1105
00:53:31.700 --> 00:53:34.460
<v Speaker 2>And it makes sense that if it works well, everybody uses it.

1106
00:53:34.980 --> 00:53:35.340
<v Speaker 2>Yes?

1107
00:53:36.420 --> 00:53:38.660
<v Speaker 6>You've suggested that factories,

1108
00:53:38.660 --> 00:53:41.020
<v Speaker 6>factory farmed products are cheap

1109
00:53:41.020 --> 00:53:45.560
<v Speaker 6>because the consumer doesn't usually pay the full cost

1110
00:53:45.560 --> 00:53:49.400
<v Speaker 6>at the supermarket in terms of damage to the environment, etc.

1111
00:53:50.380 --> 00:53:53.360
<v Speaker 6>In your visits to food production facilities,

1112
00:53:53.800 --> 00:53:56.200
<v Speaker 6>what are some of the costs that are being borne

1113
00:53:56.720 --> 00:53:58.040
<v Speaker 6>by animals in agriculture?

1114
00:53:58.420 --> 00:54:00.900
<v Speaker 6>And what could we do to improve that?

1115
00:54:01.360 --> 00:54:03.120
<v Speaker 4>Well, the big one is waste disposal.

1116
00:54:04.100 --> 00:54:06.740
<v Speaker 4>You know, you go to one of these factory farms

1117
00:54:06.740 --> 00:54:08.620
<v Speaker 4>and you can't get within miles of it.

1118
00:54:08.620 --> 00:54:09.620
<v Speaker 4>You can't get it out of the factory without smelling it.

1119
00:54:10.040 --> 00:54:12.780
<v Speaker 4>We went to one that was a model feedlot

1120
00:54:13.360 --> 00:54:15.600
<v Speaker 4>in that they were composting the waste.

1121
00:54:15.940 --> 00:54:18.980
<v Speaker 4>And when we got back to our hotel hours later,

1122
00:54:19.180 --> 00:54:22.060
<v Speaker 4>we not only had to wash ourselves, we had to wash our clothes

1123
00:54:22.660 --> 00:54:25.000
<v Speaker 4>because the smell was so permeating.

1124
00:54:25.120 --> 00:54:26.600
<v Speaker 4>And this was only cattle.

1125
00:54:26.740 --> 00:54:29.480
<v Speaker 4>If you go anywhere near one of these large pig facilities,

1126
00:54:29.960 --> 00:54:31.320
<v Speaker 4>it's much, much worse.

1127
00:54:31.560 --> 00:54:35.400
<v Speaker 4>So the quality of the environment around there,

1128
00:54:35.420 --> 00:54:36.800
<v Speaker 4>people who live in those communities,

1129
00:54:36.860 --> 00:54:38.380
<v Speaker 4>and they invariably put them

1130
00:54:38.380 --> 00:54:39.960
<v Speaker 4>in very poor communities.

1131
00:54:40.320 --> 00:54:43.840
<v Speaker 4>People who live in those communities can't tolerate it

1132
00:54:43.840 --> 00:54:45.120
<v Speaker 4>because the smell is so bad.

1133
00:54:45.360 --> 00:54:48.640
<v Speaker 4>And the way the streams are polluted, the land is polluted,

1134
00:54:48.720 --> 00:54:49.780
<v Speaker 4>the air is polluted.

1135
00:54:50.700 --> 00:54:54.480
<v Speaker 4>And if you, until you've experienced it firsthand,

1136
00:54:54.940 --> 00:54:56.520
<v Speaker 4>it's very difficult to describe.

1137
00:54:56.520 --> 00:54:57.400
<v Speaker 4>Take your word for it.

1138
00:54:57.520 --> 00:54:58.840
<v Speaker 4>Take my word for it.

1139
00:54:58.920 --> 00:55:00.120
<v Speaker 4>Trust me on this one.

1140
00:55:00.700 --> 00:55:01.680
<v Speaker 4>It's really bad.

1141
00:55:01.920 --> 00:55:04.800
<v Speaker 4>And somebody has to pay, if something's going

1142
00:55:04.800 --> 00:55:07.820
<v Speaker 4>to be done about that, and there are estimates,

1143
00:55:08.380 --> 00:55:13.100
<v Speaker 4>that an average industrial pig farm produces the equivalent

1144
00:55:13.100 --> 00:55:17.520
<v Speaker 4>amount of waste as a city of 50,000 people on a daily basis.

1145
00:55:18.520 --> 00:55:20.100
<v Speaker 4>Something has to be done about that.

1146
00:55:20.160 --> 00:55:23.400
<v Speaker 4>It's not good for people, for the animals,

1147
00:55:23.520 --> 00:55:24.540
<v Speaker 4>or for the environment.

1148
00:55:26.660 --> 00:55:29.120
<v Audience>I'd like to make a comment and also ask a question

1149
00:55:29.120 --> 00:55:30.080
<v Audience>about the future.

1150
00:55:30.400 --> 00:55:32.960
<v Audience>One is iron in rice you mentioned.

1151
00:55:33.300 --> 00:55:38.080
<v Audience>My understanding was that iron in cereals like fortified wheat,

1152
00:55:38.100 --> 00:55:38.360
<v Audience>big cereal, and other things like that, that are not good for the environment.

1153
00:55:38.360 --> 00:55:41.640
<v Audience>And so I thought, don't get really get absorbed because of the,

1154
00:55:42.800 --> 00:55:44.940
<v Audience>I think it's a phyto, whatever it's called.

1155
00:55:45.160 --> 00:55:45.420
<v Speaker 2>Phytate.

1156
00:55:45.580 --> 00:55:45.920
<v Audience>Yeah.

1157
00:55:46.060 --> 00:55:46.460
<v Audience>Phytate.

1158
00:55:47.160 --> 00:55:49.420
<v Audience>Protein that actually binds to the iron, you don't actually absorb it.

1159
00:55:49.480 --> 00:55:51.420
<v Audience>So it's an issue with, I imagine, with rice as well.

1160
00:55:52.020 --> 00:55:56.120
<v Audience>But the comment I want to make was, in Australia, we have a deficiency of zinc

1161
00:55:56.120 --> 00:55:59.580
<v Audience>and selenium in the soil, which means that the cereals we produce,

1162
00:55:59.660 --> 00:56:04.880
<v Audience>that is the main foundation of our diets, is actually deficient in these nutrients.

1163
00:56:06.540 --> 00:56:08.340
<v Audience>What I'm asking is, with globalizing,

1164
00:56:08.340 --> 00:56:14.480
<v Audience>do you see the future of vegetarian-type style of eating increasing,

1165
00:56:15.100 --> 00:56:19.360
<v Audience>and therefore we would be importing certain products from other countries

1166
00:56:19.360 --> 00:56:22.260
<v Audience>where things like zinc and selenium is an adequate level

1167
00:56:22.260 --> 00:56:25.740
<v Audience>to neutrally change the way our bodies function?

1168
00:56:26.900 --> 00:56:27.680
<v Audience>That one.

1169
00:56:27.760 --> 00:56:29.060
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and there's certainly no reason why not.

1170
00:56:29.200 --> 00:56:32.100
<v Speaker 2>So North Dakota's got the highest selenium level in their soil,

1171
00:56:32.180 --> 00:56:34.600
<v Speaker 2>and their wheats have got two to three times selenium.

1172
00:56:34.680 --> 00:56:38.180
<v Speaker 2>So selenium really became a health issue in terms of consumers

1173
00:56:38.340 --> 00:56:38.900
<v Speaker 2>wanting to buy it.

1174
00:56:38.940 --> 00:56:41.520
<v Speaker 2>The North Dakotans could easily export their wheat to Australia.

1175
00:56:41.620 --> 00:56:45.580
<v Speaker 2>And there is a huge amount of global trade in niche products like that.

1176
00:56:46.140 --> 00:56:48.140
<v Speaker 2>And similarly with zinc.

1177
00:56:48.800 --> 00:56:50.920
<v Speaker 6>But with zinc, we just need to eat a bit of meat.

1178
00:56:50.960 --> 00:56:52.280
<v Speaker 2>You don't need much.

1179
00:56:53.840 --> 00:56:55.660
<v Norman Swan>What do you think of the selenium story?

1180
00:56:56.480 --> 00:56:58.520
<v Speaker 2>I think it's a hypothesis waiting to be proven.

1181
00:56:59.380 --> 00:57:03.300
<v Speaker 2>There's really only one trial that showed a benefit in terms of prostate cancers,

1182
00:57:03.380 --> 00:57:05.440
<v Speaker 2>but I think we need a lot more trials.

1183
00:57:05.740 --> 00:57:06.360
<v Norman Swan>It's interesting.

1184
00:57:06.800 --> 00:57:07.900
<v Norman Swan>And the art of that.

1185
00:57:07.960 --> 00:57:08.320
<v Norman Swan>Is that true?

1186
00:57:08.340 --> 00:57:11.020
<v Norman Swan>Is that true about the iron added to wheat products that doesn't get absorbed?

1187
00:57:11.420 --> 00:57:12.520
<v Speaker 4>No, to the same extent.

1188
00:57:12.820 --> 00:57:13.720
<v Speaker 4>Now, some of it's absorbed.

1189
00:57:15.080 --> 00:57:15.600
<v Audience>Yes.

1190
00:57:15.700 --> 00:57:19.860
<v Audience>Two issues which I think will have enormous impact on food production.

1191
00:57:20.600 --> 00:57:21.900
<v Audience>I don't think it'd be adequately addressed.

1192
00:57:22.160 --> 00:57:28.480
<v Audience>One is the impact of peak oil will have a hugely increasing cost of fertilizers,

1193
00:57:28.560 --> 00:57:33.920
<v Audience>cost of farm fuel, and obviously impact on global trade.

1194
00:57:34.240 --> 00:57:37.440
<v Audience>The second issue is when we get serious about dealing with methane

1195
00:57:37.440 --> 00:57:39.020
<v Audience>from a climate change perspective.

1196
00:57:40.500 --> 00:57:46.540
<v Audience>And presumably the large impact that will have on increasing the cost of meat if we're

1197
00:57:46.540 --> 00:57:48.120
<v Audience>going to seriously deal with this issue.

1198
00:57:48.860 --> 00:57:52.460
<v Speaker 2>Well, certainly meat producers are very interested in methane as well.

1199
00:57:52.600 --> 00:57:57.260
<v Speaker 2>And they've been researching for the last 15 years to reduce methane production from

1200
00:57:57.260 --> 00:57:59.680
<v Speaker 2>cows by various means.

1201
00:57:59.800 --> 00:58:02.580
<v Speaker 2>They haven't been successful yet, but they're certainly aware that it's going to be a major

1202
00:58:02.580 --> 00:58:05.020
<v Speaker 2>issue for them to deal with.

1203
00:58:05.340 --> 00:58:07.420
<v Norman Swan>But is there realistically any sort of reduction?

1204
00:58:07.420 --> 00:58:09.960
<v Norman Swan>Is there any solution apart from grain feed?

1205
00:58:10.380 --> 00:58:14.540
<v Speaker 2>Well they were trying to change the rumen population so there was a less methane producing.

1206
00:58:14.960 --> 00:58:15.580
<v Speaker 2>Oh, so genetically?

1207
00:58:15.960 --> 00:58:17.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you can do it, but it's only very transient.

1208
00:58:18.900 --> 00:58:20.060
<v Speaker 2>So they re-adapt?

1209
00:58:20.260 --> 00:58:20.900
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you can't embed it.

1210
00:58:20.900 --> 00:58:22.540
<v Speaker 4>And we're now growing corn for ethanol.

1211
00:58:25.760 --> 00:58:33.700
<v Norman Swan>But looking at the future of food, is a future where oil restricted going to really affect

1212
00:58:33.700 --> 00:58:34.580
<v Norman Swan>our food?

1213
00:58:35.020 --> 00:58:37.400
<v Speaker 2>I think you just require more genes.

1214
00:58:37.420 --> 00:59:04.780
<v Speaker 2>If you look at the European Union's

1215
00:59:06.200 --> 00:59:06.860
<v Norman Swan>!

1216
00:59:06.860 --> 00:59:07.360
<v Speaker 2>European Union's

1217
00:59:07.360 --> 00:59:07.400
<v Speaker 2>European Union's

1218
00:59:07.400 --> 00:59:09.680
<v Speaker 2>a small amount of food, really.

1219
00:59:09.800 --> 00:59:11.820
<v Speaker 4>In the States, there's a movement in that direction,

1220
00:59:11.900 --> 00:59:15.080
<v Speaker 4>a small one, but a lot of people want to go into farming.

1221
00:59:15.600 --> 00:59:17.000
<v Speaker 4>They like the lifestyle.

1222
00:59:17.580 --> 00:59:21.260
<v Speaker 4>And there's been a small, but I think quite significant,

1223
00:59:21.340 --> 00:59:24.980
<v Speaker 4>return to the family's sustainable farm.

1224
00:59:27.140 --> 00:59:27.700
<v Norman Swan>Yes.

1225
00:59:29.800 --> 00:59:32.640
<v Audience>I'm just curious to know which of the panelists here

1226
00:59:32.640 --> 00:59:35.040
<v Audience>have seen the movie Fast Food Nation,

1227
00:59:35.040 --> 00:59:41.980
<v Audience>starring Bruce Willis as the bad guy, which explores the theme

1228
00:59:41.980 --> 00:59:45.780
<v Audience>of politics and repression in the food industry.

1229
00:59:46.200 --> 00:59:48.980
<v Audience>And for those of you who have seen it, could you comment on it?

1230
00:59:49.160 --> 00:59:50.880
<v Speaker 6>I've read the book, but I haven't seen the film.

1231
00:59:50.920 --> 00:59:51.940
<v Speaker 4>I've seen the film.

1232
00:59:52.180 --> 00:59:52.860
<v Speaker 4>Oh, dear.

1233
00:59:55.080 --> 00:59:55.960
<v Speaker 4>It's agitprop.

1234
00:59:56.360 --> 00:59:57.400
<v Speaker 4>It's too bad.

1235
00:59:57.460 --> 00:59:58.840
<v Speaker 4>It was made with a wonderful director,

1236
00:59:58.960 --> 01:00:00.180
<v Speaker 4>and it has wonderful actors.

1237
01:00:00.360 --> 01:00:04.740
<v Speaker 4>And the Bruce Willis role in it, he's a dead ringer

1238
01:00:04.740 --> 01:00:05.020
<v Speaker 4>for a lot of people.

1239
01:00:05.040 --> 01:00:08.600
<v Speaker 4>A man who is the head of something called the Center

1240
01:00:08.600 --> 01:00:11.960
<v Speaker 4>for Consumer Freedom, which is the organization

1241
01:00:12.480 --> 01:00:16.100
<v Speaker 4>in the United States that calls me the Nutrition Taliban.

1242
01:00:16.780 --> 01:00:20.620
<v Speaker 4>So I quite loved the role.

1243
01:00:20.740 --> 01:00:21.480
<v Speaker 4>I thought it was wonderful.

1244
01:00:21.660 --> 01:00:23.520
<v Speaker 4>It's very heavy handed.

1245
01:00:24.660 --> 01:00:25.780
<v Speaker 4>I'm giving a movie review.

1246
01:00:26.080 --> 01:00:29.740
<v Speaker 4>What the movie does is talk about the industrial animal

1247
01:00:29.740 --> 01:00:34.760
<v Speaker 4>production through three stories, a story of,

1248
01:00:34.760 --> 01:00:36.280
<v Speaker 4>I think, a story of Mexican farm workers,

1249
01:00:36.460 --> 01:00:39.920
<v Speaker 4>a story of the owner of a plant and then somebody

1250
01:00:39.920 --> 01:00:40.960
<v Speaker 4>who works at the plant.

1251
01:00:41.340 --> 01:00:45.360
<v Speaker 4>And it played in the United States for about a day

1252
01:00:45.360 --> 01:00:47.060
<v Speaker 4>and then was withdrawn.

1253
01:00:47.360 --> 01:00:49.400
<v Speaker 4>I mean, it just was a, it failed.

1254
01:00:49.560 --> 01:00:53.280
<v Speaker 4>But it's, I don't even know if it has an underground life.

1255
01:00:53.580 --> 01:00:56.280
<v Speaker 4>It's very hard to watch it because there

1256
01:00:56.280 --> 01:00:58.680
<v Speaker 4>are scenes of animal slaughter.

1257
01:00:58.960 --> 01:01:01.060
<v Speaker 4>It's very difficult to watch.

1258
01:01:01.580 --> 01:01:02.600
<v Norman Swan>So one to this.

1259
01:01:02.800 --> 01:01:03.020
<v Norman Swan>Yes.

1260
01:01:03.020 --> 01:01:04.700
<v Audience>This time, a long-lasted question.

1261
01:01:06.380 --> 01:01:07.300
<v Audience>Just come closer to the microphone.

1262
01:01:07.520 --> 01:01:07.840
<v Audience>OK.

1263
01:01:07.860 --> 01:01:09.240
<v Speaker 4>Could you introduce yourself?

1264
01:01:09.720 --> 01:01:10.960
<v Audience>My name is John Rolls.

1265
01:01:11.660 --> 01:01:13.580
<v Audience>I'm associated with a couple of organizations,

1266
01:01:13.680 --> 01:01:17.540
<v Audience>including the Sustainable Energy Center at Mawson Lakes

1267
01:01:18.340 --> 01:01:19.400
<v Audience>University of South Australia.

1268
01:01:19.840 --> 01:01:20.420
<v Speaker 4>Thank you.

1269
01:01:22.280 --> 01:01:26.780
<v Audience>My question, though, is about whether any of the panel

1270
01:01:26.780 --> 01:01:32.340
<v Audience>are aware of effective behavior change programs,

1271
01:01:32.340 --> 01:01:34.100
<v Audience>related to diet.

1272
01:01:38.260 --> 01:01:40.800
<v Speaker 2>Well, I mean, some people manage.

1273
01:01:40.980 --> 01:01:43.560
<v Speaker 2>I mean, probably when you intensively intervene

1274
01:01:44.340 --> 01:01:47.760
<v Speaker 2>with groups, probably 10% can actually really

1275
01:01:47.760 --> 01:01:50.220
<v Speaker 2>make a significant change and go on and maintain

1276
01:01:50.220 --> 01:01:51.800
<v Speaker 2>their weight at a lower level long term.

1277
01:01:51.860 --> 01:01:53.080
<v Speaker 2>And they have to work quite hard at it.

1278
01:01:53.100 --> 01:01:54.720
<v Speaker 2>But it doesn't seem to matter whether there's

1279
01:01:54.720 --> 01:01:58.920
<v Speaker 2>a lot of behavioral activities in it or not.

1280
01:02:00.280 --> 01:02:01.380
<v Speaker 2>It really is.

1281
01:02:01.400 --> 01:02:01.760
<v Speaker 2>A person.

1282
01:02:01.760 --> 01:02:05.920
<v Speaker 2>A person taking control of their own life and sticking to it.

1283
01:02:06.100 --> 01:02:09.000
<v Speaker 2>And the current strategies with behavioral management

1284
01:02:09.000 --> 01:02:11.740
<v Speaker 2>don't tend to actually work any better than just providing

1285
01:02:11.740 --> 01:02:12.080
<v Speaker 2>advice.

1286
01:02:12.360 --> 01:02:14.700
<v Speaker 2>So no, there isn't any really good.

1287
01:02:14.900 --> 01:02:18.180
<v Speaker 4>I mean, I'm of the opinion that you

1288
01:02:18.180 --> 01:02:20.100
<v Speaker 4>have to change the environment in order

1289
01:02:20.100 --> 01:02:22.680
<v Speaker 4>to make it easier for people to make healthful choices.

1290
01:02:23.000 --> 01:02:26.320
<v Speaker 4>Right now, it's easy to make the unhealthful choices,

1291
01:02:26.620 --> 01:02:28.620
<v Speaker 4>because those are the foods that are cheap.

1292
01:02:28.680 --> 01:02:31.680
<v Speaker 4>Those are the foods that are available, and those are the food

1293
01:02:31.680 --> 01:02:32.960
<v Speaker 4>that are heavily promoted.

1294
01:02:33.320 --> 01:02:35.560
<v Speaker 4>So if you want to make those kinds of changes,

1295
01:02:35.640 --> 01:02:38.480
<v Speaker 4>you have to make it easier for people to eat more healthfully.

1296
01:02:38.700 --> 01:02:42.200
<v Speaker 4>And that means working through catering companies.

1297
01:02:42.520 --> 01:02:43.980
<v Speaker 4>It means working through restaurants.

1298
01:02:44.160 --> 01:02:46.000
<v Speaker 4>It means working through schools and institutions.

1299
01:02:46.640 --> 01:02:51.660
<v Speaker 4>And to the extent that people have gone in and tried

1300
01:02:51.660 --> 01:02:55.240
<v Speaker 4>to change those institutions, the results are spectacular.

1301
01:02:55.820 --> 01:02:57.040
<v Speaker 4>They're just spectacular.

1302
01:02:57.260 --> 01:03:00.680
<v Speaker 4>You go into a school that has changed its school lunch

1303
01:03:00.680 --> 01:03:01.200
<v Speaker 4>program.

1304
01:03:01.680 --> 01:03:03.680
<v Speaker 4>And you see children eating healthy food

1305
01:03:03.680 --> 01:03:06.120
<v Speaker 4>as if it were completely normal to do so.

1306
01:03:06.720 --> 01:03:08.240
<v Speaker 4>It's amazing to watch.

1307
01:03:09.540 --> 01:03:11.000
<v Speaker 2>They're probably still not any lighter.

1308
01:03:11.460 --> 01:03:12.020
<v Speaker 2>I'm sorry?

1309
01:03:12.160 --> 01:03:13.280
<v Speaker 2>They're probably still not any lighter.

1310
01:03:13.440 --> 01:03:14.160
<v Speaker 2>I think that the calorie burden.

1311
01:03:14.160 --> 01:03:14.840
<v Speaker 2>But does that matter?

1312
01:03:14.900 --> 01:03:16.040
<v Speaker 4>Oh, no, that comes.

1313
01:03:16.340 --> 01:03:16.940
<v Speaker 4>It's coming.

1314
01:03:17.140 --> 01:03:19.580
<v Speaker 4>They're not gaining weight at the same rate.

1315
01:03:19.720 --> 01:03:21.780
<v Speaker 4>I mean, you still have to change all of society

1316
01:03:22.500 --> 01:03:23.800
<v Speaker 4>if you're going to deal with obesity.

1317
01:03:24.020 --> 01:03:25.540
<v Speaker 4>That's a much more complicated problem.

1318
01:03:26.700 --> 01:03:29.100
<v Norman Swan>But the question I have for you, Peter, is does it matter?

1319
01:03:29.540 --> 01:03:31.240
<v Norman Swan>If they're eating healthier, people,

1320
01:03:31.680 --> 01:03:33.180
<v Norman Swan>people around the Mediterranean aren't particularly thin.

1321
01:03:33.440 --> 01:03:33.780
<v Norman Swan>No.

1322
01:03:33.860 --> 01:03:35.100
<v Norman Swan>They do live six years longer.

1323
01:03:35.340 --> 01:03:37.660
<v Norman Swan>I mean, aren't we making a bit too much of obesity

1324
01:03:37.660 --> 01:03:39.080
<v Speaker 2>and overweight and all this if you're actually

1325
01:03:39.080 --> 01:03:39.960
<v Speaker 2>eating a healthy pattern?

1326
01:03:40.420 --> 01:03:41.940
<v Speaker 2>Who do they live six years longer than?

1327
01:03:42.040 --> 01:03:44.080
<v Speaker 2>Well, I thought southern Europeans in Australia

1328
01:03:44.080 --> 01:03:46.560
<v Norman Swan>live six years longer than Australian-born Australians.

1329
01:03:46.720 --> 01:03:47.360
<v Norman Swan>That's the statistic.

1330
01:03:47.800 --> 01:03:50.240
<v Norman Swan>And they are, by and large, fatter than average.

1331
01:03:51.220 --> 01:03:54.200
<v Norman Swan>Therefore, how important is this obesity story

1332
01:03:54.200 --> 01:03:56.460
<v Norman Swan>if you're actually eating a healthy pattern of food?

1333
01:03:57.340 --> 01:03:58.520
<v Speaker 2>I'm sure it does contribute.

1334
01:03:58.820 --> 01:04:00.560
<v Speaker 2>And it's difficult to tease out the two things.

1335
01:04:00.620 --> 01:04:01.660
<v Speaker 2>But when you look at the mortality rate,

1336
01:04:01.680 --> 01:04:04.020
<v Speaker 2>the mortality rates, and the life expectancy

1337
01:04:04.020 --> 01:04:05.820
<v Speaker 2>around the Mediterranean region, it really

1338
01:04:05.820 --> 01:04:08.780
<v Speaker 2>is no different from Australia.

1339
01:04:09.040 --> 01:04:11.760
<v Speaker 6>Well, yeah, but I guess the interesting thing

1340
01:04:11.760 --> 01:04:15.040
<v Speaker 6>is the migrants to Australia from the Mediterranean region

1341
01:04:15.040 --> 01:04:19.120
<v Speaker 6>who came in the 50s and 60s are a little bit like a time warp

1342
01:04:19.120 --> 01:04:21.860
<v Speaker 6>and are still, in many ways, eating

1343
01:04:21.860 --> 01:04:23.420
<v Speaker 6>in the patterns of those times.

1344
01:04:23.640 --> 01:04:25.360
<v Speaker 6>And that's what we're all harking back

1345
01:04:25.360 --> 01:04:27.500
<v Speaker 6>to when we talk about the Mediterranean diet.

1346
01:04:27.600 --> 01:04:30.820
<v Speaker 6>We're not necessarily talking about how people eat

1347
01:04:30.820 --> 01:04:31.660
<v Speaker 6>in the Mediterranean region.

1348
01:04:31.660 --> 01:04:32.100
<v Speaker 6>We're talking about how people are eating in the Mediterranean region now.

1349
01:04:32.420 --> 01:04:34.500
<v Speaker 6>Because certainly, they have changed their diet.

1350
01:04:34.580 --> 01:04:35.140
<v Speaker 6>There's no question.

1351
01:04:35.220 --> 01:04:36.940
<v Speaker 2>I mean, you could make an argument that people that migrate

1352
01:04:36.940 --> 01:04:39.980
<v Speaker 2>to Australia are a different kind of person from those

1353
01:04:39.980 --> 01:04:40.680
<v Speaker 2>that remain behind.

1354
01:04:41.040 --> 01:04:42.240
<v Speaker 2>And actually, they are survivors.

1355
01:04:42.420 --> 01:04:42.580
<v Speaker 4>They are tougher.

1356
01:04:42.580 --> 01:04:43.620
<v Speaker 4>Spoken like a recent truth.

1357
01:04:43.940 --> 01:04:46.280
<v Norman Swan>But let's just nail this for a moment.

1358
01:04:46.500 --> 01:04:50.160
<v Norman Swan>My understanding of this story is that if you look at Japanese

1359
01:04:50.160 --> 01:04:52.920
<v Norman Swan>who migrated to Honolulu and San Francisco.

1360
01:04:53.100 --> 01:04:55.780
<v Speaker 2>Yep. They did as badly as the Americans there.

1361
01:04:55.900 --> 01:04:56.740
<v Speaker 2>Well, no, no, no.

1362
01:04:57.120 --> 01:04:58.260
<v Norman Swan>That's the myth.

1363
01:04:58.400 --> 01:05:00.600
<v Norman Swan>My understanding is when you look at Dwight, what's his name?

1364
01:05:00.600 --> 01:05:01.120
<v Norman Swan>Ten years or so.

1365
01:05:01.120 --> 01:05:01.220
<v Speaker 2>Ten years or so.

1366
01:05:01.380 --> 01:05:01.780
<v Norman Swan>Ten years or so.

1367
01:05:01.780 --> 01:05:03.220
<v Norman Swan>Is that in fact they do better.

1368
01:05:03.420 --> 01:05:06.260
<v Norman Swan>They, and it's the people who, so first of all,

1369
01:05:06.260 --> 01:05:07.220
<v Norman Swan>migrants are more healthy.

1370
01:05:07.300 --> 01:05:09.600
<v Norman Swan>But even when you allow for that, yes,

1371
01:05:09.660 --> 01:05:11.760
<v Norman Swan>they did get more coronary heart disease and colon cancer.

1372
01:05:12.040 --> 01:05:14.700
<v Norman Swan>But by and large, they still lived longer than Americans.

1373
01:05:14.960 --> 01:05:17.280
<v Norman Swan>And the ones who lived longest were the ones who were,

1374
01:05:17.400 --> 01:05:20.940
<v Norman Swan>which comes back to Karen's point, who were the most Japanese.

1375
01:05:21.160 --> 01:05:22.860
<v Norman Swan>Who retained most of their culture.

1376
01:05:23.040 --> 01:05:26.720
<v Norman Swan>And when John Powell studied people from Lemnos migrating

1377
01:05:26.720 --> 01:05:27.380
<v Norman Swan>to Melbourne.

1378
01:05:27.600 --> 01:05:27.620
<v Norman Swan>From .

1379
01:05:27.620 --> 01:05:28.160
<v Speaker 6>Yep.

1380
01:05:28.760 --> 01:05:30.480
<v Norman Swan>It was the people who retained more

1381
01:05:30.480 --> 01:05:31.100
<v Norman Swan>of their Greek culture.

1382
01:05:31.120 --> 01:05:32.680
<v Norman Swan>Beyond one generation.

1383
01:05:32.980 --> 01:05:35.880
<v Norman Swan>So the second generation and the third generation were healthier

1384
01:05:36.760 --> 01:05:39.020
<v Norman Swan>if they ate and lived a more Greek lifestyle.

1385
01:05:39.900 --> 01:05:42.520
<v Norman Swan>So in fact, there is something about that cultural stuff.

1386
01:05:42.780 --> 01:05:43.640
<v Speaker 6>And what's very interesting

1387
01:05:43.640 --> 01:05:45.560
<v Speaker 6>about the southern European migrants is

1388
01:05:45.560 --> 01:05:48.200
<v Speaker 6>that they have much higher rates of diabetes.

1389
01:05:48.600 --> 01:05:50.640
<v Speaker 6>Three times the rate of diabetes.

1390
01:05:51.040 --> 01:05:52.480
<v Speaker 6>Consistent with them being overweight.

1391
01:05:53.220 --> 01:05:57.040
<v Speaker 6>They actually get heart disease at about the same rate.

1392
01:05:57.080 --> 01:05:57.640
<v Speaker 6>Self reported.

1393
01:05:57.960 --> 01:06:00.880
<v Speaker 6>But it doesn't kill them at the same rate.

1394
01:06:00.880 --> 01:06:01.820
<v Speaker 6>And this is fascinating.

1395
01:06:01.880 --> 01:06:02.120
<v Speaker 6>Like I said, they're survivors.

1396
01:06:02.240 --> 01:06:02.560
<v Speaker 6>They're tough.

1397
01:06:02.860 --> 01:06:03.680
<v Speaker 6>Well, they're tough.

1398
01:06:03.760 --> 01:06:06.860
<v Speaker 6>But we also think they might have a more benign form of it

1399
01:06:06.860 --> 01:06:07.720
<v Speaker 6>because of their diet.

1400
01:06:08.100 --> 01:06:09.940
<v Speaker 6>I think that their diet is very important.

1401
01:06:10.560 --> 01:06:10.940
<v Norman Swan>Yes.

1402
01:06:11.900 --> 01:06:15.980
<v Audience>Yeah, I was just wondering what the panel thought about the issue

1403
01:06:15.980 --> 01:06:17.220
<v Audience>of sort of micro farming.

1404
01:06:17.300 --> 01:06:21.500
<v Audience>Where the idea is that we should have smaller and more personal farms.

1405
01:06:21.680 --> 01:06:23.900
<v Audience>I was just inclined to be a little skeptical about this.

1406
01:06:23.980 --> 01:06:26.400
<v Audience>Because it's not really a matter of just having a cow in your backyard

1407
01:06:26.400 --> 01:06:27.800
<v Audience>and going and getting some milk.

1408
01:06:29.120 --> 01:06:30.860
<v Audience>It's, I mean, if you think of, you know,

1409
01:06:30.860 --> 01:06:33.800
<v Audience>the proportion of a population that's involved in agriculture,

1410
01:06:34.100 --> 01:06:36.340
<v Audience>usually that the smaller the proportion,

1411
01:06:36.540 --> 01:06:37.700
<v Audience>the more wealthy the country.

1412
01:06:37.820 --> 01:06:41.080
<v Audience>And it's directly connected to wealth and living conditions.

1413
01:06:41.760 --> 01:06:45.940
<v Audience>So I was just wondering is the idea about micro farming sort

1414
01:06:45.940 --> 01:06:47.180
<v Audience>of better in theory than practice?

1415
01:06:48.700 --> 01:06:51.120
<v Speaker 2>Well, France is a country of micro farmers.

1416
01:06:51.220 --> 01:06:54.020
<v Speaker 2>But it is supported by a huge tariff wall.

1417
01:06:54.300 --> 01:06:55.660
<v Speaker 2>And I think when they remove that,

1418
01:06:55.780 --> 01:06:57.080
<v Speaker 2>most of those people wouldn't survive.

1419
01:06:57.220 --> 01:06:58.320
<v Speaker 2>So having half a dozen cows.

1420
01:06:58.540 --> 01:06:58.940
<v Speaker 2>True.

1421
01:06:58.940 --> 01:07:00.020
<v Speaker 4>Yeah. I don't know.

1422
01:07:00.860 --> 01:07:04.720
<v Speaker 4>There's a movement in the United States among young people to farm.

1423
01:07:05.380 --> 01:07:09.840
<v Speaker 4>And there's a movement among immigrants who come in to the United States

1424
01:07:09.840 --> 01:07:11.080
<v Speaker 4>who want to farm.

1425
01:07:11.240 --> 01:07:15.720
<v Speaker 4>And to the extent that they can buy land, which is very expensive around cities,

1426
01:07:15.820 --> 01:07:18.780
<v Speaker 4>so it's difficult, they're farming.

1427
01:07:18.960 --> 01:07:23.980
<v Speaker 4>And farmers markets have doubled and tripled in the last ten years.

1428
01:07:24.040 --> 01:07:27.080
<v Speaker 4>The number of farmers markets in the states.

1429
01:07:27.260 --> 01:07:30.480
<v Speaker 4>The number of, you know, sort of, I mean, it's happened.

1430
01:07:30.480 --> 01:07:32.740
<v Speaker 4>It's at a very small scale at the moment.

1431
01:07:32.800 --> 01:07:33.620
<v Speaker 4>But it's growing.

1432
01:07:33.800 --> 01:07:36.600
<v Speaker 4>And it's the only part of the agricultural system that is.

1433
01:07:39.460 --> 01:07:42.360
<v Speaker 5>Yes. A couple of years ago, Colin Campbell

1434
01:07:42.360 --> 01:07:45.220
<v Speaker 5>and his son wrote a book called The China Study.

1435
01:07:45.600 --> 01:07:49.380
<v Audience>If any of you have read that, I wonder if you could comment on it, please?

1436
01:07:50.780 --> 01:07:52.700
<v Speaker 5>So you read and you see movies?

1437
01:07:52.780 --> 01:07:53.200
<v Norman Swan>I do.

1438
01:07:53.800 --> 01:07:54.520
<v Speaker 4>I do.

1439
01:07:54.620 --> 01:07:55.180
<v Speaker 4>It's research.

1440
01:07:55.900 --> 01:07:57.180
<v Speaker 4>And I eat too.

1441
01:07:57.940 --> 01:07:58.820
<v Speaker 4>Really a lot.

1442
01:08:00.020 --> 01:08:03.360
<v Speaker 4>The China Study, it's a very popular book in the states.

1443
01:08:03.460 --> 01:08:05.840
<v Speaker 4>It's been a best seller now for a couple of years.

1444
01:08:06.980 --> 01:08:12.260
<v Speaker 4>And Colin Campbell was a, he's now retired, professor at Cornell,

1445
01:08:12.540 --> 01:08:16.140
<v Speaker 4>where I also hold a visiting appointment, so I know him pretty well.

1446
01:08:16.780 --> 01:08:22.960
<v Speaker 4>But the, he had with a group of international investigators gone

1447
01:08:22.960 --> 01:08:27.680
<v Speaker 4>into China some years ago and done an enormous epidemiological investigation.

1448
01:08:28.240 --> 01:08:28.800
<v Speaker 4>Yes.

1449
01:08:28.800 --> 01:08:29.380
<v Speaker 4>And they found that the Chinese population,

1450
01:08:29.380 --> 01:08:30.020
<v Speaker 4>the Chinese population, had a very large population of eating patterns

1451
01:08:30.020 --> 01:08:35.440
<v Speaker 4>and other kinds of health patterns in groups of, in populations all over China.

1452
01:08:35.560 --> 01:08:37.760
<v Speaker 4>And this was before the big economic boom.

1453
01:08:38.480 --> 01:08:41.480
<v Speaker 4>So perhaps it was a little bit more representative of what it used to be.

1454
01:08:41.640 --> 01:08:44.260
<v Speaker 4>And they came away with a conclusion

1455
01:08:44.260 --> 01:08:51.260
<v Speaker 4>that eating a largely plant-based diet was much, much healthier than eating a lot

1456
01:08:51.260 --> 01:08:54.340
<v Speaker 4>of junk food and the Western diet and so forth.

1457
01:08:55.180 --> 01:08:57.720
<v Speaker 4>Campbell himself is a vegan personally.

1458
01:08:57.720 --> 01:09:01.120
<v Speaker 4>And so the book is written very much from a vegan perspective.

1459
01:09:01.260 --> 01:09:07.660
<v Speaker 4>And he's marshalled a lot of evidence together to demonstrate that that's a healthier pattern.

1460
01:09:08.240 --> 01:09:12.320
<v Speaker 4>I think that some of it makes perfect sense and some of it is questionable.

1461
01:09:12.660 --> 01:09:18.120
<v Speaker 4>I'm not a vegan myself and I do think that small amounts of meat add nutrients

1462
01:09:18.120 --> 01:09:20.460
<v Speaker 4>to the diet that are awfully hard to get otherwise.

1463
01:09:20.900 --> 01:09:24.960
<v Speaker 2>And I guess the major thing about most of the populations he studied was they're eating very small

1464
01:09:24.960 --> 01:09:25.920
<v Speaker 2>numbers of calories a day.

1465
01:09:26.000 --> 01:09:26.320
<v Speaker 2>Oh yes.

1466
01:09:26.320 --> 01:09:27.240
<v Speaker 2>Very low calories.

1467
01:09:27.240 --> 01:09:27.880
<v Speaker 2>Very low calories.

1468
01:09:27.880 --> 01:09:30.060
<v Speaker 2>It's probably not that it's plant-based but it's a very low number of calories.

1469
01:09:30.060 --> 01:09:31.140
<v Speaker 2>Very, very low calories.

1470
01:09:31.160 --> 01:09:34.580
<v Norman Swan>So my final question to each of you is, so what is it?

1471
01:09:34.640 --> 01:09:35.460
<v Norman Swan>It's 2007.

1472
01:09:36.680 --> 01:09:38.320
<v Norman Swan>So it's 2040.

1473
01:09:39.440 --> 01:09:40.780
<v Norman Swan>What are we eating that we?

1474
01:09:41.020 --> 01:09:42.380
<v Speaker 4>Well, I'm not going to be eating anything.

1475
01:09:45.340 --> 01:09:45.740
<v Speaker 4>Alas.

1476
01:09:47.020 --> 01:09:48.180
<v Norman Swan>I don't know about you.

1477
01:09:48.420 --> 01:09:49.000
<v Norman Swan>I know.

1478
01:09:49.320 --> 01:09:49.820
<v Speaker 4>I'll be going too.

1479
01:09:50.940 --> 01:09:52.200
<v Norman Swan>For those who are left behind.

1480
01:09:52.520 --> 01:09:53.600
<v Speaker 4>What are you going to be eating?

1481
01:09:53.640 --> 01:09:56.460
<v Speaker 4>I live in a country with a big disparity in income.

1482
01:09:56.560 --> 01:09:57.220
<v Speaker 4>And according to the data, I'm going to be eating a lot of meat.

1483
01:09:57.220 --> 01:09:59.400
<v Speaker 4>I'm going to be eating a lot of meat.

1484
01:09:59.400 --> 01:10:00.460
<v Speaker 4>But I'm going to be eating a lot of meat.

1485
01:10:00.460 --> 01:10:06.320
<v Norman Swan>But seriously, 40 years from now, what's the diet going to look like in the United States

1486
01:10:06.320 --> 01:10:07.620
<v Norman Swan>and Australia, you think?

1487
01:10:07.820 --> 01:10:14.120
<v Speaker 2>I think there'd be a lot more processed foods on the supermarket that contain specific micronutrients.

1488
01:10:14.540 --> 01:10:16.180
<v Norman Swan>So we'd be engineering our food more.

1489
01:10:16.180 --> 01:10:16.820
<v Norman Swan>There'd be a lot more engineering.

1490
01:10:17.120 --> 01:10:17.220
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

1491
01:10:17.320 --> 01:10:19.700
<v Speaker 2>So there may actually be a lot less fresh meat and fresh dairy.

1492
01:10:19.840 --> 01:10:27.200
<v Speaker 2>I think mainly because of water issues and climate issues with carbon trading really is

1493
01:10:27.220 --> 01:10:30.980
<v Speaker 2>influencing the price. So I think there's going to have to be a lot more intensification of

1494
01:10:32.040 --> 01:10:35.600
<v Speaker 2>micronutrients in the foods that we can afford to buy. Do you think there'll be more stressed

1495
01:10:35.600 --> 01:10:39.520
<v Speaker 2>tomatoes and peaches so they taste better? Tomatoes might disappear.

1496
01:10:41.820 --> 01:10:50.240
<v Norman Swan>Maybe I'll be with you. I'll die sooner too. Karen? I fear that Peter might be right,

1497
01:10:51.260 --> 01:11:00.400
<v Speaker 6>that we will go to a more technological fix type of approach. I actually think it'll probably

1498
01:11:00.400 --> 01:11:07.500
<v Speaker 6>diversify so that the affluent will actually be able to get the organic food and all of that

1499
01:11:07.500 --> 01:11:14.220
<v Speaker 6>sort of stuff. And we will end up with much greater social and economic disparities between

1500
01:11:14.220 --> 01:11:18.740
<v Speaker 6>people. And that will be reflected in the kind of food they can eat. And we're seeing it now.

1501
01:11:18.960 --> 01:11:20.220
<v Speaker 6>And I think those...

1502
01:11:20.240 --> 01:11:22.420
<v Speaker 6>Those differences will probably, unfortunately, get worse.

1503
01:11:22.780 --> 01:11:26.680
<v Speaker 4>I think the festival should sponsor a showing of Soylent Green.

1504
01:11:28.980 --> 01:11:35.860
<v Speaker 4>That film made in the 1970s that addresses that question, except it's 2020 that they're talking

1505
01:11:35.860 --> 01:11:44.260
<v Speaker 4>about there. You know, if current trends continue, we're going to have a huge population explosion

1506
01:11:44.260 --> 01:11:49.940
<v Speaker 4>in exactly the places where food isn't really easy to get to. There'll be increasing

1507
01:11:49.940 --> 01:11:50.220
<v Speaker 4>costs.

1508
01:11:50.240 --> 01:11:57.520
<v Speaker 4>There'll be a huge class divisions, a wider disparity between the rich and the poor. And then this funny

1509
01:11:58.820 --> 01:12:03.540
<v Speaker 4>countercultural food system that I think will get bigger and bigger and bigger right now. It's the

1510
01:12:03.540 --> 01:12:07.180
<v Speaker 4>fastest growing segment of the food supply in the United States.

1511
01:12:07.680 --> 01:12:09.820
<v Norman Swan>You asked the first question, you get to ask the last one.

1512
01:12:10.920 --> 01:12:17.100
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, in terms of the future, I just want to know what's going to happen to your so-called cheap dairy

1513
01:12:17.100 --> 01:12:20.220
<v Speaker 3>food when the dairy industry has to pay market rates.

1514
01:12:20.240 --> 01:12:20.740
<v Speaker 3>For water.

1515
01:12:21.060 --> 01:12:29.480
<v Speaker 3>They're currently killing the Murray-Darling Basin, taking about 4000 GL out. Double what rice is taking out and quite a bit more than what cotton is taking out.

1516
01:12:29.740 --> 01:12:32.340
<v Speaker 3>So what will happen when they have to pay market rates?

1517
01:12:33.440 --> 01:12:35.980
<v Speaker 2>Well the price will be four times greater than what it is now.

1518
01:12:36.180 --> 01:12:41.780
<v Speaker 6>I think the bottom... I really think we need to say you know, we hope that comes as soon

1519
01:12:41.780 --> 01:12:44.640
<v Speaker 6>as possible. That there is a true market in food

1520
01:12:44.640 --> 01:12:46.180
<v Speaker 6>production because at the moment there isn't.

1521
01:12:46.500 --> 01:12:49.020
<v Norman Swan>So we're changing our socialist discussion here.

1522
01:12:49.160 --> 01:12:50.220
<v Norman Swan>Like markets.

1523
01:12:50.240 --> 01:12:51.640
<v Norman Swan>will actually save us in the end.

1524
01:12:51.760 --> 01:12:53.800
<v Speaker 6>Well, I think if it's a true market, it will.

1525
01:12:53.900 --> 01:12:56.080
<v Speaker 6>But I think at the moment we had very protected markets.

1526
01:12:57.060 --> 01:13:00.320
<v Speaker 4>I don't see those protections leaving very quickly.

1527
01:13:00.640 --> 01:13:01.860
<v Norman Swan>No, I think you're right.

1528
01:13:01.960 --> 01:13:03.060
<v Speaker 4>I don't.

1529
01:13:03.060 --> 01:13:04.760
<v Norman Swan>Can you please thank our superb panel?

1530
01:13:06.300 --> 01:13:07.000
<v Speaker 4>Thank you.

1531
01:13:09.020 --> 01:13:10.220
<v Speaker 4>That was fun.

