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<v Rick Hosking>Good morning everyone, and it looks like we've got a full house again.

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<v Rick Hosking>My name is Rick Hosking, I teach at Flinders University where I'm the current head of the English department,

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<v Rick Hosking>and I also chair the Adelaide Festival Writers' Week Advisory Committee.

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<v Rick Hosking>I have a long-standing interest in the evolving relationship between India and Australia, especially in colonial times.

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<v Rick Hosking>And I've taught Australian literature at JNU in New Delhi.

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<v Rick Hosking>And I'm so used to doing this kind of job at Writers' Week, we usually ask people to turn off their mobile phones,

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<v Rick Hosking>but I've been assured that you've already all done that, so well done.

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<v Rick Hosking>Now our guest today, Professor Robin Jeffery, was educated in Canada and Britain,

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<v Rick Hosking>and then worked as a journalist before moving to North India to teach in Chandigarh.

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<v Rick Hosking>After completing his doctorate in Britain on modern Indian history at Sussex,

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<v Rick Hosking>he then worked at the Australian National University in Canberra,

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<v Rick Hosking>and later at La Trobe in Melbourne.

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<v Rick Hosking>These days Professor Jeffery is the director of the Research School of Pacific and Asian Studies

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<v Rick Hosking>at the Australian National University, and convener of the ANU College of Asia and the Pacific.

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<v Rick Hosking>He sits on the advisory board of the Asia Education Foundation,

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<v Rick Hosking>and is a fellow of the Australian Academy of the Humanities,

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<v Rick Hosking>and of the Academy of the Social Sciences of Australia.

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<v Rick Hosking>His interests, his special interests, are the modern history and politics of India,

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<v Rick Hosking>and his particular interest is in the history of the world.

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<v Rick Hosking>He is particularly interested in questions about ethnicity, nationalism, and identity,

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<v Rick Hosking>in the idea of India as a modern nation that, of course, this year celebrates its half-century plus ten since independence.

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<v Rick Hosking>Professor Jeffery's publications include The Decline of Naya Dominance and What's Happening to India.

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<v Rick Hosking>He's currently working on a book provisionally entitled Slices of India.

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<v Rick Hosking>He's also written recently on the remarkable phenomenon of the Indian mass media,

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<v Rick Hosking>an article I greatly enjoyed.

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<v Rick Hosking>Professor Jeffery's talk is called India at 150, 60, and a Turning Point.

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<v Rick Hosking>Please welcome Robin Jeffery.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Thank you very much, Rick, for the kind introduction.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>It's an auspicious day.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>I've noted in the newspaper today that we're on the 7th of the 07th,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and that's calculated to be particularly auspicious.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>You'll see from the title of this lecture that I'm proposing to talk about anniversaries

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and to try to make some comments and reflections on them.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>I've got three possible landmarks in my title.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>It's been pointed out to me since that we could have a fourth one in there,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>that we're celebrating, if that's the right word, or bemoaning this week,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>the 250th anniversary of the Battle of Plassey,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>when the British more or less took control of Northeastern India,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and there are various sorts of obsequies being held in Northeastern India,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>even as we speak, according to the newspapers this morning.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>The three anniversaries, though, that I want to mark

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<v Robin Jeffrey>represent a contest between old and new.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Each one of these anniversaries is, it seems to me, a marker of ruptures,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>the sorts of things that accompany profound change, that signal profound change.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>My three dates on the title of the lecture,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>the 150 years, of course, is 150 years right now,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>since the Great Rebellion, the First War of Independence,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>or as we who were brought up in the British Empire in the 1950s knew it,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>the Indian Mutiny, immortalized by G.A. Henty

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and the writer of Ripping Yarns for Small Boys

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<v Robin Jeffrey>that we were still reading in British Columbia in the 1950s

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<v Robin Jeffrey>when I was starting to read and was partial to Ripping Yarns.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>In India, of course, the nomenclature is important.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>The first war of independence, the first war of independence,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>would be disputed as a title by some Indian historians,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>but it's certainly been a very powerful term

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<v Robin Jeffrey>in the history of the Indian nation in the last hundred years,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>the notion that 1857, the revolt against the British,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>was the beginnings of an Indian national movement

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<v Robin Jeffrey>that's made what is the modern Indian state today.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>So that's the first of my landmarks.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>The second is the 60, and of course it's 60 years since Indian independence,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>three generations if you think of a generation as being 20 years long,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>three generations since India achieved independence from the British in 1947.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>And the third of my dates, the turning point if you like,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>is this year itself.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>In May of this year, an untouchable woman,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>an untouchable woman, led her political party to an absolute victory

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<v Robin Jeffrey>in an assembly of more than 400 seats,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>her political party won more than 200 seats,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>in the largest of the Indian states, Uttar Pradesh.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>She has been chief minister of this state three times before,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>has a population of nearly 190 million people,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>it's bigger than Japan, it would be I think the fourth or fifth largest state in the world

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<v Robin Jeffrey>if it were an independent state.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Mayavati, which is this woman's name,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and we'll talk about her a little bit more as I go along,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Mayavati has been chief minister of this state three times before for short periods,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>she now has the opportunity to lead the state for five years.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>It's the most substantial signal we've had to date of the emergence in Indian politics of a new elite,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>in many ways a very unexpected one,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>an elite emerging from the so-called untouchables,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>the 15% of India's population who in the past were deemed to be, thought to be, held to be,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>so untouchable.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Unclean, polluting, that they weren't even part of the caste system,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>they lay beyond it because of the occupations they had to perform,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and the ritual status which they were held to have,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>which was so lowly that they were not worthy of being included in the larger system.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Now, the emergence of Mayavati and her political party as a force

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<v Robin Jeffrey>marks I think a profound break in the political history of India.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>I want to reflect on these three anniversaries because of course they all interconnect,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and the turning point that we're looking at,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>that we're seeing in India today in 2007,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>in some ways involves all three of the landmarks it seems to me,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>but let me try to convince you of that in the next 20 minutes or so.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>The three anniversaries, 1857 and 1947,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>mark the coming to power of new groups it seems to me,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>changes in the way in which India actually worked.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>And it's those that I'd like to turn to now.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>The 150 years, 1857, what happened in 1857 and why was that a particular marker?

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Well, if I were a 10 year old today now,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>1857 would be as distant from me, a 10 year old in Adelaide today,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>as the Battle of Trafalgar was from me when I was 10 in 1955.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Now that's a long way away in my terms of thinking,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and yet that event is still so powerful and potent,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>in the story of India,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and also in the lessons for geopolitics that I think we might draw from it.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Let me give you an example,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and if my hand doesn't shake too badly I'll move to a slide here.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Yes, I did get the one I wanted.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Let me read from this.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>This was a letter written by Henry Lawrence,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>who tried to do his duty, it says on his tombstone.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Henry Lawrence, one of the great British proconsuls in India,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>wrote on the night before the events of 1857 began,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>to the Viceroy, or then the Governor General, Lord Canning,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>last night I held a conversation with a Jemadar,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>an officer of the Oud Artillery,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and was startled, this was an Indian officer in the British service,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and was startled by the dogged persistence of the man,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>in the belief that for 10 years past,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>government, that is the British government,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>has been engaged in measures for the forcible or rather fraudulent conversion of all the natives.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>When I told him of our power in Europe,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>he replied, he knew we had plenty of men and money,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>but that Europeans were expensive,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and that therefore we wished to take Hindus to sea,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>to conquer the world for us.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>You want us all to eat what you like,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>that we may be stronger and go anywhere.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>He gave us credit for nothing.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>He often repeated, I tell you what everybody says.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>The following day, British soldiers were murdered in Meerut,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>by Indian troops,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>depicted famously in the book,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>in woodcuts that went back to England,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>by the end of that year.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Indian troops murdered their officers,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and they marched on Delhi,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>where they proclaimed the elderly Mughal emperor,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>sorry, I'm not,

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<v Rick Hosking>that's what I want,

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<v Rick Hosking>the elderly Mughal emperor,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Bahadur Shah, as their leader.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>William Dalrymple has written a splendid,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>book which came out earlier this year,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>called The Last Mughal,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>the jacket is there,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>about Bahadur Shah.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>This poor old man had the whole force of the rebellion,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>kind of imposed on him,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and he coped with it rather badly,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and was eventually exiled to Burma.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>The events that began on the 10th of May, 1857,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>very quickly spread across the whole of North India,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and the so-called revolt,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>or the mutiny,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>or the war of independence,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>lasted two years.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>The British recaptured Delhi,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>which they'd lost in May of 1857,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>they'd recaptured it by September.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Lucknow, where the famous siege,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>that again, young fellows in British Columbia,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>who read Ripping Yarns,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>read about in the 1950s,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>the Lucknow siege was raised in November 1857.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Henry Lawrence, whose letter we just looked at,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Henry Lawrence was killed in the course of that siege.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>But the revolt, as I say,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>spread across North India,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>took nearly two years to suppress.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>What's less well known about the revolt,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and where we begin to get the changes

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<v Robin Jeffrey>that were overtaking India at this time,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>what's less well known are a couple of other factors.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>One is that in the same year as the revolt,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>the three great Indian universities,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>the first three Indian universities were founded.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Calcutta, Madras, and Bombay.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Roughly contemporaneous with the University of Sydney

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and the University of Melbourne.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>So even while the revolt was going on,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>a new elite coming out of an English-style education system

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<v Robin Jeffrey>was being created in this India.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>An elite, of course, that was later to take over the country.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>The second point about the 1857 events

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<v Robin Jeffrey>is that the revolt didn't touch these great port cities

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<v Robin Jeffrey>of Bombay, Calcutta, and Madras.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>We perhaps look at a map of modern India for now.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>It didn't touch the great port cities

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<v Robin Jeffrey>of Bombay, Calcutta, and Madras.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>In fact, it didn't touch the south very much either.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>It was a North Indian phenomenon.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>And in fact, the revolt was driven by old elites,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>angered by their loss of status,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>their loss of respect, their loss of land.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>By princes, by great landlords,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>by traditional religious leaders

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<v Robin Jeffrey>who had been bypassed and marginalized

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and not accorded sufficient respect by the British regime.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>I think the fact that it was an old,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>a revolt of old elites is illustrated

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<v Robin Jeffrey>by the way in which the,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>the insurgents, if we want to call them that,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>turned to the old Mughal emperor

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<v Robin Jeffrey>who still had some sort of authority

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<v Robin Jeffrey>in the minds of many hundreds of thousands of people,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>even though he'd been a pensioner

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and a puppet of the British for most of his life.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>But the fact that they turned to them illustrates

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<v Robin Jeffrey>this old elite quality.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Yet within a generation of this moment,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>a new elite was emerging,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>which was to form what's today

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<v Robin Jeffrey>the oldest still working political party in Asia,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>the Indian National Congress.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>What you see here is the first meeting

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<v Robin Jeffrey>of that Congress in 1885.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>So 57, 67, 77,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>within 30, within 40 years of the end of the revolt,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>a new body was forming,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>which was going to take the British on

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<v Robin Jeffrey>in their own terms.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Terms of constitutionalism, laws, courts, and so on.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>You can get a picture of that

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<v Robin Jeffrey>from the appearance of the men

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<v Robin Jeffrey>who formed the Congress in 1885 on the screen.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>The mixture of costumes,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Indian dress but also British dress at the same time.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>That leads me to a big leap

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<v Robin Jeffrey>from 1857 to my second anniversary,

233
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<v Robin Jeffrey>90 years later, 1947.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>And of course the date that India's celebrating at the moment,

235
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<v Robin Jeffrey>60 years since independence,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>three generations since British rule ended.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>The descendants of this Congress meeting of 1885

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<v Robin Jeffrey>were the makers of the new India

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<v Robin Jeffrey>that came to power 60 years ago.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>If 1847, or 1857 was an old elite

241
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<v Robin Jeffrey>with its roots in the North Indian countryside,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>1947 was very much a new elite.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>An elite made up of, or led by,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>people like Jawaharlal Nehru,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>who you see here in a particularly revealing photograph.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>It's taken in the summer of 1947,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>just before the August Independence Day,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>at the left of the screen,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>on the outer, it seems to me very,

250
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<v Robin Jeffrey>the body language in this photo is wonderful,

251
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<v Robin Jeffrey>on the outer is Muhammad Ali Jinnah,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>who became the father of Pakistan six weeks later.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>And then the gentleman in the white dinner jacket,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>of course, is Louis Mountbatten,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>schmoozing with Jawaharlal Nehru,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>whispering in his ear.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>And Edwina, wife of Louis Mountbatten,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>friend of Jawaharlal Nehru,

259
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<v Robin Jeffrey>long-standing friend of Jawaharlal Nehru,

260
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<v Robin Jeffrey>again, the kind of courtly way in which Nehru,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>the future prime minister,

262
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<v Robin Jeffrey>the about-to-be prime minister of India,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>is mixing with the Europeans.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>It's not surprising.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>I mean, Nehru came from this sort of a pedigree.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Sorry, my shaky hand bleeds me.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>I wanted to look at Nehru's father, Motilal,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>in all his fine read before the First World War.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>This is the new elite that emerged after 1857,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>that came out of the Indian universities.

271
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<v Robin Jeffrey>Motilal was a high-priced lawyer

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<v Robin Jeffrey>who was able to send his son to Harrow and to Cambridge,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>where Jawaharlal was educated.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>Jawaharlal Nehru brought to India,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and the India that he led for nearly 17 years after 1947,

276
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<v Robin Jeffrey>doctrines that were, in his view, modern,

277
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<v Robin Jeffrey>doctrines of socialism and secularism,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>of the rule of law, of constitutionalism.

279
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<v Robin Jeffrey>He brought to India the notion that it had to be a modern state,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>it had to be an industrial state,

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<v Robin Jeffrey>and that that state should recognize no religious affiliations.

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<v Robin Jeffrey>The irony, of course, of all that,

283
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<v Robin Jeffrey>was that India, the India that was created in 1947,

284
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<v Robin Jeffrey>wasn't a united India, but it was a divided India,

285
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<v Robin Jeffrey>an India of Pakistan, which was to be a homeland for Muslims,

286
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<v Robin Jeffrey>led by Muhammad Ali Jinnah.

287
00:15:40.180 --> 00:15:44.520
<v Robin Jeffrey>And India, which was to be the secular state envisaged by Nehru,

288
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<v Robin Jeffrey>and to a certain extent by his mentor in some ways, Mahatma Gandhi.

289
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<v Robin Jeffrey>We get these sorts of images

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<v Robin Jeffrey>of the partition from a life photographer in 1947.

291
00:16:00.520 --> 00:16:03.760
<v Robin Jeffrey>The attempt to actually divide this colonial state

292
00:16:03.760 --> 00:16:06.140
<v Robin Jeffrey>that the British had taken more than 100 years to create

293
00:16:06.140 --> 00:16:07.840
<v Robin Jeffrey>had to be divided in six weeks,

294
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<v Robin Jeffrey>and it came down to things like this,

295
00:16:10.180 --> 00:16:11.280
<v Robin Jeffrey>which is one of the legislative libraries,

296
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<v Robin Jeffrey>where the story was that if there was an encyclopedia,

297
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<v Robin Jeffrey>India got volumes A and B, Pakistan got C,

298
00:16:17.340 --> 00:16:19.500
<v Robin Jeffrey>then India got D and E, Pakistan got F.

299
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<v Robin Jeffrey>All sorts of wonderfully absurd stories of the partition,

300
00:16:23.100 --> 00:16:25.780
<v Robin Jeffrey>and of course the dreadful stories of the transfer of population

301
00:16:25.780 --> 00:16:27.500
<v Robin Jeffrey>and the slaughter of the partition.

302
00:16:28.140 --> 00:16:32.480
<v Robin Jeffrey>Nehru's vision of socialism shaped India from 1947,

303
00:16:32.920 --> 00:16:34.920
<v Robin Jeffrey>and still shapes it even today.

304
00:16:35.320 --> 00:16:36.860
<v Robin Jeffrey>Though since 1991,

305
00:16:37.560 --> 00:16:39.720
<v Robin Jeffrey>the socialist vision has been

306
00:16:40.180 --> 00:16:41.460
<v Robin Jeffrey>progressively dismantled.

307
00:16:41.620 --> 00:16:43.900
<v Robin Jeffrey>Nehru's vision included industrialization,

308
00:16:44.240 --> 00:16:46.040
<v Robin Jeffrey>modernization, democracy,

309
00:16:46.340 --> 00:16:48.620
<v Robin Jeffrey>and of course foremost, a secular India,

310
00:16:48.720 --> 00:16:49.760
<v Robin Jeffrey>with no state religion,

311
00:16:49.960 --> 00:16:53.340
<v Robin Jeffrey>and with minorities, Muslims, Christians, Sikhs,

312
00:16:53.340 --> 00:16:55.620
<v Robin Jeffrey>linguistic minorities, protected.

313
00:16:56.300 --> 00:16:58.300
<v Robin Jeffrey>Untouchability was outlawed.

314
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<v Robin Jeffrey>All of this was very fine constitutionally,

315
00:17:01.240 --> 00:17:02.220
<v Robin Jeffrey>but of course in practice,

316
00:17:02.360 --> 00:17:05.380
<v Robin Jeffrey>much harder to actually see come to fruition.

317
00:17:05.560 --> 00:17:09.420
<v Robin Jeffrey>The collision between the law and the custom is constant,

318
00:17:09.420 --> 00:17:11.680
<v Robin Jeffrey>and that's a collision that goes on even today.

319
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<v Robin Jeffrey>Nehru's India, the India that he helped to shape after 1947,

320
00:17:16.980 --> 00:17:19.820
<v Robin Jeffrey>didn't create red tape, it didn't invent it,

321
00:17:19.900 --> 00:17:21.380
<v Robin Jeffrey>the British had invented red tape,

322
00:17:21.560 --> 00:17:24.980
<v Robin Jeffrey>but what Nehru's India did was create a great many more packages

323
00:17:24.980 --> 00:17:27.400
<v Robin Jeffrey>around which you could wrap the red tape.

324
00:17:27.740 --> 00:17:31.940
<v Robin Jeffrey>The Nehruvian state tried to do a great many things,

325
00:17:32.080 --> 00:17:35.220
<v Robin Jeffrey>but they tried to do them within the constructs of a bureaucracy

326
00:17:35.220 --> 00:17:37.660
<v Robin Jeffrey>that created great mounds of paper,

327
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<v Robin Jeffrey>great blockages,

328
00:17:39.420 --> 00:17:41.020
<v Robin Jeffrey>to entrepreneurialism,

329
00:17:41.080 --> 00:17:43.240
<v Robin Jeffrey>to individual effort in some ways,

330
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<v Robin Jeffrey>and it's that Nehruvian state

331
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<v Robin Jeffrey>that Indian governments since 1991

332
00:17:47.060 --> 00:17:50.500
<v Robin Jeffrey>have been striving to disaggregate,

333
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<v Robin Jeffrey>to liberate, if you like.

334
00:17:53.320 --> 00:17:56.420
<v Robin Jeffrey>The government of India got involved in regulation,

335
00:17:56.860 --> 00:17:58.320
<v Robin Jeffrey>it got involved in production,

336
00:17:58.620 --> 00:18:01.520
<v Robin Jeffrey>and it's even today still trying to extricate itself

337
00:18:01.520 --> 00:18:03.220
<v Robin Jeffrey>from some of those activities.

338
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<v Robin Jeffrey>So that was my second anniversary,

339
00:18:06.420 --> 00:18:08.160
<v Robin Jeffrey>the 1947 one,

340
00:18:08.160 --> 00:18:09.720
<v Robin Jeffrey>where again there was a transfer,

341
00:18:09.840 --> 00:18:12.440
<v Robin Jeffrey>a transfer from a British elite to an Indian one,

342
00:18:13.160 --> 00:18:15.140
<v Robin Jeffrey>highly anglicized in the case of Nehru,

343
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<v Robin Jeffrey>with a great many Western ideas about secularism and industrialism.

344
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<v Robin Jeffrey>The third anniversary is the,

345
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<v Robin Jeffrey>I think, the one that should interest us most.

346
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<v Robin Jeffrey>That's the anniversary this year

347
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<v Robin Jeffrey>of the arrival in power in Uttar Pradesh

348
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<v Robin Jeffrey>of this woman, Mayavati.

349
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<v Robin Jeffrey>Down in the lower left hand corner you see her,

350
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<v Robin Jeffrey>her mentor in some ways,

351
00:18:39.700 --> 00:18:41.680
<v Robin Jeffrey>her guru at least, B. R. Ambedkar,

352
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<v Robin Jeffrey>who died in 1956,

353
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<v Robin Jeffrey>but the greatest untouchable leader of India to date.

354
00:18:47.320 --> 00:18:48.800
<v Robin Jeffrey>Mayavati would claim to be,

355
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<v Robin Jeffrey>at least in some ways,

356
00:18:50.160 --> 00:18:51.680
<v Robin Jeffrey>a descendant of Ambedkar.

357
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<v Robin Jeffrey>As I said earlier, her political party,

358
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<v Robin Jeffrey>the BSP,

359
00:18:56.320 --> 00:18:58.880
<v Robin Jeffrey>won office in Uttar Pradesh

360
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<v Robin Jeffrey>in elections in May of this year,

361
00:19:00.900 --> 00:19:02.740
<v Robin Jeffrey>and has a majority in its own right.

362
00:19:02.980 --> 00:19:05.620
<v Robin Jeffrey>That's the most substantial signal to date

363
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<v Robin Jeffrey>of the emergence of a new elite,

364
00:19:07.760 --> 00:19:09.500
<v Robin Jeffrey>mobilized very much from below.

365
00:19:09.760 --> 00:19:13.800
<v Robin Jeffrey>She's also very cleverly constructed an alliance

366
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<v Robin Jeffrey>which includes members of other castes.

367
00:19:16.540 --> 00:19:20.080
<v Robin Jeffrey>A large proportion of her 200 MLAs

368
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<v Robin Jeffrey>in the Uttar Pradesh assembly.

369
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<v Robin Jeffrey>Let me just look at the map of Uttar Pradesh.

370
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<v Robin Jeffrey>Sorry.

371
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<v Robin Jeffrey>Yeah.

372
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<v Robin Jeffrey>The two maps you see on the screen

373
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<v Robin Jeffrey>are the state of Uttar Pradesh,

374
00:19:33.800 --> 00:19:35.100
<v Robin Jeffrey>that's the big North Indian one,

375
00:19:35.620 --> 00:19:36.940
<v Robin Jeffrey>that was there on the earlier map.

376
00:19:37.120 --> 00:19:41.740
<v Robin Jeffrey>The smaller map is the state of the assembly in UP in 2002.

377
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<v Robin Jeffrey>The larger map is the current one, 2007.

378
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<v Robin Jeffrey>The dark blue areas are the areas won...

379
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<v Robin Jeffrey>These are territorial constituencies.

380
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<v Robin Jeffrey>The dark blue areas are those won by Mayavati's BSP party.

381
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<v Robin Jeffrey>As you can see, it's a spread across the whole of the state.

382
00:19:57.380 --> 00:19:59.180
<v Robin Jeffrey>It's a spread too of caste groups.

383
00:19:59.300 --> 00:20:01.120
<v Robin Jeffrey>She's got a significant number of Brahmins

384
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<v Robin Jeffrey>amongst the people elected.

385
00:20:02.580 --> 00:20:04.360
<v Robin Jeffrey>Even though her party up till now

386
00:20:04.360 --> 00:20:06.300
<v Robin Jeffrey>has been based on untouchables,

387
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<v Robin Jeffrey>so-called Dalits.

388
00:20:08.060 --> 00:20:12.500
<v Robin Jeffrey>It's perhaps useful to look at some of the terminology here.

389
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<v Robin Jeffrey>Dalit is the accepted term today for the oppressed,

390
00:20:17.580 --> 00:20:20.920
<v Robin Jeffrey>but it's also a synonym for scheduled caste,

391
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<v Robin Jeffrey>for untouchable,

392
00:20:22.300 --> 00:20:26.100
<v Robin Jeffrey>which of course is a word that isn't thought well of in India.

393
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<v Robin Jeffrey>We don't talk about untouchables in India.

394
00:20:28.580 --> 00:20:30.260
<v Robin Jeffrey>We might talk about ex-untouchables.

395
00:20:31.060 --> 00:20:33.640
<v Robin Jeffrey>Various words to describe the same body of people.

396
00:20:33.640 --> 00:20:36.720
<v Robin Jeffrey>Mayavati would say she represents Dalits.

397
00:20:36.840 --> 00:20:39.360
<v Robin Jeffrey>What she's done is to create a party

398
00:20:39.360 --> 00:20:42.260
<v Robin Jeffrey>which is capable of winning control

399
00:20:42.260 --> 00:20:44.280
<v Robin Jeffrey>of the largest state in India,

400
00:20:44.360 --> 00:20:46.080
<v Robin Jeffrey>the state from which Jawaharlal Nehru

401
00:20:46.080 --> 00:20:48.180
<v Robin Jeffrey>and Indira Gandhi both came.

402
00:20:48.740 --> 00:20:50.980
<v Robin Jeffrey>Now that she's won control, of course,

403
00:20:51.040 --> 00:20:53.640
<v Robin Jeffrey>she has to face the problem

404
00:20:54.280 --> 00:20:56.140
<v Robin Jeffrey>of doing something for her constituents

405
00:20:56.140 --> 00:20:59.000
<v Robin Jeffrey>because the vast majority of the untouchables

406
00:20:59.000 --> 00:21:01.560
<v Robin Jeffrey>who have voted for her are desperately poor.

407
00:21:01.740 --> 00:21:03.620
<v Robin Jeffrey>There's a tiny middle class emerging,

408
00:21:03.640 --> 00:21:07.860
<v Robin Jeffrey>but many still do demeaning tasks.

409
00:21:08.180 --> 00:21:10.640
<v Robin Jeffrey>The vast majority live below

410
00:21:11.300 --> 00:21:13.300
<v Robin Jeffrey>a pretty depressing poverty line.

411
00:21:13.640 --> 00:21:16.000
<v Robin Jeffrey>There's an economic challenge

412
00:21:16.000 --> 00:21:18.540
<v Robin Jeffrey>as well as a social one for her in this state

413
00:21:18.540 --> 00:21:20.460
<v Robin Jeffrey>over the next five years.

414
00:21:21.980 --> 00:21:25.020
<v Robin Jeffrey>Can she take some of this Indian economic miracle

415
00:21:25.020 --> 00:21:26.240
<v Robin Jeffrey>and bring it to UP?

416
00:21:26.380 --> 00:21:28.320
<v Robin Jeffrey>Because India, as we know from the business pages

417
00:21:28.320 --> 00:21:29.040
<v Robin Jeffrey>of our newspapers,

418
00:21:29.400 --> 00:21:31.780
<v Robin Jeffrey>is supposed to have been having an economic miracle

419
00:21:31.780 --> 00:21:33.620
<v Robin Jeffrey>for the last 15 or so years.

420
00:21:33.640 --> 00:21:35.640
<v Robin Jeffrey>Strong economic growth,

421
00:21:35.820 --> 00:21:38.580
<v Robin Jeffrey>8 and 9% growth over the last five or six years.

422
00:21:39.400 --> 00:21:41.360
<v Robin Jeffrey>Growing global and internal pressure

423
00:21:41.360 --> 00:21:43.900
<v Robin Jeffrey>to free the Indian economy still further

424
00:21:43.900 --> 00:21:45.700
<v Robin Jeffrey>so that this surge in capitalism,

425
00:21:46.000 --> 00:21:47.440
<v Robin Jeffrey>which India knows all about.

426
00:21:47.660 --> 00:21:49.380
<v Robin Jeffrey>You don't have to teach capitalism in India.

427
00:21:49.500 --> 00:21:51.040
<v Robin Jeffrey>You don't have to teach markets in India,

428
00:21:51.140 --> 00:21:53.140
<v Robin Jeffrey>not the way you might in the old Soviet Union.

429
00:21:53.740 --> 00:21:55.580
<v Robin Jeffrey>There are people there who know all about them

430
00:21:55.580 --> 00:21:56.380
<v Robin Jeffrey>and are raring to go.

431
00:21:56.500 --> 00:21:58.160
<v Robin Jeffrey>You just have to take the chains off.

432
00:21:58.260 --> 00:21:59.700
<v Robin Jeffrey>That would be the free market argument

433
00:21:59.700 --> 00:22:01.000
<v Robin Jeffrey>about the Indian economy.

434
00:22:02.340 --> 00:22:04.260
<v Robin Jeffrey>This economic change though

435
00:22:04.260 --> 00:22:06.740
<v Robin Jeffrey>brings with it even more glaring disparities.

436
00:22:07.200 --> 00:22:08.960
<v Robin Jeffrey>You see it if you go to Delhi today,

437
00:22:09.220 --> 00:22:11.280
<v Robin Jeffrey>which is my favorite city in the world.

438
00:22:11.360 --> 00:22:12.700
<v Robin Jeffrey>There's no city quite like Delhi,

439
00:22:12.820 --> 00:22:14.500
<v Robin Jeffrey>even though it spreads terribly.

440
00:22:14.800 --> 00:22:17.460
<v Robin Jeffrey>But around Delhi, increasingly growing up

441
00:22:17.460 --> 00:22:18.560
<v Robin Jeffrey>are these gated communities,

442
00:22:18.920 --> 00:22:21.060
<v Robin Jeffrey>like little fortresses with walls around them.

443
00:22:21.200 --> 00:22:23.780
<v Robin Jeffrey>Inside there's an independent power supply.

444
00:22:24.080 --> 00:22:25.840
<v Robin Jeffrey>There's independent filtered water.

445
00:22:26.100 --> 00:22:28.980
<v Robin Jeffrey>There are tennis courts, fitness parlors.

446
00:22:29.040 --> 00:22:30.640
<v Robin Jeffrey>You can buy your McDonald's.

447
00:22:30.680 --> 00:22:30.980
<v Robin Jeffrey>There are a lot of things you can buy

448
00:22:30.980 --> 00:22:32.000
<v Robin Jeffrey>and there are guards at the gate.

449
00:22:32.380 --> 00:22:34.700
<v Robin Jeffrey>Outside is Mayavati's constituency.

450
00:22:35.300 --> 00:22:37.540
<v Robin Jeffrey>The problem with India today in all of this,

451
00:22:37.620 --> 00:22:39.800
<v Robin Jeffrey>it's not that there weren't glaring class disparities

452
00:22:39.800 --> 00:22:40.760
<v Robin Jeffrey>in India in the past.

453
00:22:41.020 --> 00:22:43.740
<v Robin Jeffrey>They've been there for as long as I've been going there

454
00:22:43.740 --> 00:22:45.500
<v Robin Jeffrey>and long before my time.

455
00:22:45.640 --> 00:22:49.900
<v Robin Jeffrey>But what makes it bite even more ferociously today

456
00:22:49.900 --> 00:22:52.520
<v Robin Jeffrey>is the fact that Indian media have exploded

457
00:22:52.520 --> 00:22:53.760
<v Robin Jeffrey>in the last 15 years.

458
00:22:53.960 --> 00:22:56.980
<v Robin Jeffrey>There are more than 50 24-hour news channels

459
00:22:57.860 --> 00:23:00.740
<v Robin Jeffrey>in a dozen different languages operating in India at the moment.

460
00:23:00.740 --> 00:23:01.720
<v Robin Jeffrey>That's not entertainment.

461
00:23:02.320 --> 00:23:03.120
<v Robin Jeffrey>That's news.

462
00:23:03.420 --> 00:23:04.720
<v Robin Jeffrey>That's not spiritual.

463
00:23:05.040 --> 00:23:07.740
<v Robin Jeffrey>Any morning in India you can get any variety

464
00:23:07.740 --> 00:23:10.080
<v Robin Jeffrey>of religious uplift on your TV set.

465
00:23:10.500 --> 00:23:13.360
<v Robin Jeffrey>There are dozens of Swamijis and Christian preachers

466
00:23:13.360 --> 00:23:15.700
<v Robin Jeffrey>and Muslim preachers telling you how to get up in the morning

467
00:23:15.700 --> 00:23:19.180
<v Robin Jeffrey>and prepare yourself for a spiritually rewarding day.

468
00:23:19.540 --> 00:23:22.880
<v Robin Jeffrey>This kind of media, though, also takes pictures

469
00:23:22.880 --> 00:23:25.840
<v Robin Jeffrey>and examples of the conspicuous consumption

470
00:23:25.840 --> 00:23:28.700
<v Robin Jeffrey>of this growing Indian upper middle class

471
00:23:28.700 --> 00:23:30.000
<v Robin Jeffrey>to everybody in India.

472
00:23:30.100 --> 00:23:30.720
<v Robin Jeffrey>To my family.

473
00:23:30.740 --> 00:23:30.860
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

474
00:23:32.000 --> 00:23:32.680
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

475
00:23:32.680 --> 00:23:33.160
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

476
00:23:33.160 --> 00:23:33.880
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

477
00:23:35.560 --> 00:23:36.860
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

478
00:23:36.920 --> 00:23:37.740
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

479
00:23:37.940 --> 00:23:38.860
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

480
00:23:40.180 --> 00:23:41.540
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

481
00:23:41.940 --> 00:23:42.900
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

482
00:23:43.180 --> 00:23:44.800
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

483
00:23:45.440 --> 00:23:46.700
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

484
00:23:46.700 --> 00:23:47.400
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

485
00:23:47.420 --> 00:23:48.440
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

486
00:23:48.700 --> 00:23:48.760
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

487
00:23:48.760 --> 00:23:49.120
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

488
00:23:49.120 --> 00:23:49.780
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

489
00:23:49.780 --> 00:23:50.160
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

490
00:23:50.780 --> 00:23:51.640
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

491
00:23:53.460 --> 00:23:54.140
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

492
00:23:54.140 --> 00:23:57.880
<v Robin Jeffrey>My family.

493
00:24:00.740 --> 00:24:06.520
<v Robin Jeffrey>thing about the victory is that what's now happening is people, Dalits, who were once

494
00:24:06.520 --> 00:24:12.720
<v Robin Jeffrey>organized by others, sort of mobilized and used as vote banks, these people now organize for

495
00:24:12.720 --> 00:24:17.440
<v Robin Jeffrey>themselves and they look for some sort of fulfillment to their material aspirations as

496
00:24:17.440 --> 00:24:24.680
<v Robin Jeffrey>well as their spiritual ones. And this leads to a real problem. Arundhati Roy, the author of

497
00:24:24.680 --> 00:24:38.400
<v Robin Jeffrey>The God of Small Things, wrote in an article that came out earlier this year about two nations. She

498
00:24:38.400 --> 00:24:43.020
<v Robin Jeffrey>was emphasizing the regional disparities that are growing in India between rich parts of the

499
00:24:43.020 --> 00:24:47.980
<v Robin Jeffrey>country and poorer parts of the country. The rural urban disparities between the wealthy parts of

500
00:24:47.980 --> 00:24:53.540
<v Robin Jeffrey>wealthy cities and the poor parts of the poor countryside. And the ever more obvious and biting

501
00:24:53.540 --> 00:24:54.660
<v Robin Jeffrey>class disparities. And the ever more obvious and biting class disparities. And the ever more

502
00:24:54.660 --> 00:25:00.500
<v Robin Jeffrey>obvious and biting class disparities. What's grown up in response, in part, to these things

503
00:25:00.500 --> 00:25:08.720
<v Robin Jeffrey>has been a so-called Maoist movement. The red circles you see on the map are areas of insurgency

504
00:25:08.720 --> 00:25:16.060
<v Robin Jeffrey>where there are what are often called Maoist or Naxalite revolts going on. These are, as you can

505
00:25:16.060 --> 00:25:20.320
<v Robin Jeffrey>see from the little map on the left, which is a physical map, these are often in the hilly,

506
00:25:20.460 --> 00:25:24.580
<v Robin Jeffrey>tribal inhabited areas of India. The tribal people of India, who are not

507
00:25:24.580 --> 00:25:31.880
<v Robin Jeffrey>seen as untouchables, they live in isolation in the hills and in the more remote areas, they've been

508
00:25:31.880 --> 00:25:37.360
<v Robin Jeffrey>perhaps the most marginalized of all. And in areas in which they're relatively prevalent, there's

509
00:25:37.360 --> 00:25:41.900
<v Robin Jeffrey>growing up an insurgency against the police, against the paramilitary, against government.

510
00:25:42.060 --> 00:25:47.640
<v Robin Jeffrey>And as you can see, it extends across areas of Uttar Pradesh, Mayavati state, and through the

511
00:25:47.640 --> 00:25:54.560
<v Robin Jeffrey>areas of eastern central India, encompassed by those red circles. They're an example of a kind of

512
00:25:55.780 --> 00:26:02.400
<v Robin Jeffrey>contest, political contest, perhaps even armed contest, that governments in India will have to face

513
00:26:02.400 --> 00:26:08.240
<v Robin Jeffrey>as these disparities widen in the course of the next 10 or 15 years as economic growth, driven by

514
00:26:08.240 --> 00:26:15.760
<v Robin Jeffrey>modern global capitalism, accelerates. These similar sorts of contests are to be seen in the cities,

515
00:26:15.840 --> 00:26:20.780
<v Robin Jeffrey>where governments attempt to clear the poor off land in order to foster economic capitalist

516
00:26:20.780 --> 00:26:24.560
<v Robin Jeffrey>investment and development. This has happened in Calcutta, notably this year.

517
00:26:24.580 --> 00:26:30.800
<v Robin Jeffrey>Where a communist government has shot down protesters in order to clear them off land wanted by big

518
00:26:30.800 --> 00:26:37.100
<v Robin Jeffrey>industrialists for major industrial projects that will lead to employment, growth, and hopefully to an

519
00:26:37.100 --> 00:26:42.040
<v Robin Jeffrey>increase in standards of living. Didn't for the people who protested and who were shot down in the

520
00:26:42.040 --> 00:26:52.620
<v Robin Jeffrey>police moving of the protesters on. The outcome of this, as I was suggesting with the Arundhati Roy side,

521
00:26:55.520 --> 00:27:24.560
<v Robin Jeffrey>is that the government has been able to do a lot of work to get rid of the

522
00:27:09.380 --> 00:27:10.640
<v Robin Jeffrey>!

523
00:27:24.580 --> 00:27:32.640
<v Robin Jeffrey>allowing for Arundhati's kind of overstatement. I mean, Arundhati is never slow to come up with a big vivid metaphor.

524
00:27:32.900 --> 00:27:42.360
<v Robin Jeffrey>She's the fastest big vivid metaphor, you know, north of the Gadavari, I think. Even allowing for that, I think we've

525
00:27:42.360 --> 00:27:49.960
<v Robin Jeffrey>reached a turning point in India that will be seen in the future as a marker this year, 2007. It'll be a year in which we

526
00:27:49.960 --> 00:27:54.560
<v Robin Jeffrey>begin to see whether the Indian state can cope with the expectations that have soared in the past year.

527
00:27:54.560 --> 00:28:01.000
<v Robin Jeffrey>The past 15 years. Expectations that have been driven in part by a communications revolution. That communications

528
00:28:01.000 --> 00:28:12.380
<v Robin Jeffrey>revolution today, there are more than... India has about 250... 220 million households. About 1.1 billion people.

529
00:28:12.600 --> 00:28:19.880
<v Robin Jeffrey>About 220 million households. A hundred million of them now have television sets. So almost half the population of

530
00:28:19.880 --> 00:28:24.440
<v Robin Jeffrey>India comes home every night to a place where there's a TV. And you can bet your boots the other

531
00:28:24.440 --> 00:28:29.260
<v Robin Jeffrey>half, if they don't have one, will be kind of dropping in on the neighbors when the good shows are coming on. That's the

532
00:28:29.260 --> 00:28:35.940
<v Robin Jeffrey>way we did it in Canada long ago when we didn't have TV. What I'm saying is that these pictures of disparity, which once

533
00:28:35.940 --> 00:28:42.640
<v Robin Jeffrey>were not nearly so vivid in people's minds because they didn't have ways of having access to them, those pictures of

534
00:28:42.640 --> 00:28:47.800
<v Robin Jeffrey>disparity are now there every night in television. They're also there in the newspapers. Newspaper penetration in India

535
00:28:47.800 --> 00:28:52.200
<v Robin Jeffrey>has trebled in the last 20 years. So newspapers are there as well.

536
00:28:52.700 --> 00:28:53.180
<v Robin Jeffrey>The...

537
00:28:53.180 --> 00:29:02.640
<v Robin Jeffrey>What this adds up to is a challenge, particularly for Mayavati and her government in Uttar Pradesh. A lot hinges now on

538
00:29:02.640 --> 00:29:11.980
<v Robin Jeffrey>whether the new elite, the new alliance style of politics that Mayavati and her BSP party represent, whether that kind of

539
00:29:11.980 --> 00:29:20.040
<v Robin Jeffrey>politics can do anything more than be symbolic. She's been very successful up till now in being symbolic for low status people.

540
00:29:20.220 --> 00:29:22.800
<v Robin Jeffrey>For low status people to be proud and to be able to say,

541
00:29:23.180 --> 00:29:27.920
<v Robin Jeffrey>that woman is one of us and she has made it. Boy, that makes me feel good. That makes you feel good

542
00:29:27.920 --> 00:29:34.140
<v Robin Jeffrey>for only so long. Can she do something more than that? If this style of politics can't, then maybe

543
00:29:34.140 --> 00:29:38.960
<v Robin Jeffrey>the Maoists in the countryside and the religious fanatics, which I haven't touched on here, but

544
00:29:38.960 --> 00:29:45.720
<v Robin Jeffrey>there's a goodly chunk of them in India, of many different religious persuasions. If Mayavati's

545
00:29:45.720 --> 00:29:51.520
<v Robin Jeffrey>style of legislative politics can't produce material results for the people who have put

546
00:29:51.520 --> 00:29:55.760
<v Robin Jeffrey>their hopes and their aspirations into that party, if they can't, then the Maoists in the countryside,

547
00:29:56.000 --> 00:30:01.580
<v Robin Jeffrey>the religious fanatics in the city, may convince a lot of people that conversion to global style

548
00:30:01.580 --> 00:30:06.740
<v Robin Jeffrey>economic change was just as fraudulent as the story the British were telling the Indian army

549
00:30:06.740 --> 00:30:15.180
<v Robin Jeffrey>in the 1850s. And that India, in Mayavati, or in Arundhati Roy's words, is indeed eating its own

550
00:30:15.180 --> 00:30:20.240
<v Robin Jeffrey>limbs. And the limbs won't tolerate that, it seems to me. So those are the sorts of questions I think

551
00:30:20.240 --> 00:30:21.500
<v Robin Jeffrey>that we need to look for.

552
00:30:22.200 --> 00:30:26.100
<v Robin Jeffrey>Answers to in the next 10 or 15 years. Thank you very much.

553
00:30:55.600 --> 00:31:01.620
<v Robin Jeffrey>It's a wonderful question, and it's the great paradox of India. I guess I would have to say,

554
00:31:01.680 --> 00:31:07.600
<v Robin Jeffrey>more than anything else, it's the flexibility that the Indian state has been able to achieve.

555
00:31:07.800 --> 00:31:13.020
<v Robin Jeffrey>Partly there's something, there is a common cultural story that Indians know. Whether you

556
00:31:13.020 --> 00:31:19.280
<v Robin Jeffrey>live in Kanyakumari or up in the hills in Kashmir, you do have a certain sense of an Indian geographic

557
00:31:19.280 --> 00:31:21.500
<v Robin Jeffrey>entity. Though unlike China, you don't have a certain sense of an Indian geographic entity.

558
00:31:21.520 --> 00:31:26.900
<v Robin Jeffrey>You don't have much sense of a political entity. But what India has had over the last 100 years is a

559
00:31:26.900 --> 00:31:33.080
<v Robin Jeffrey>common state system. The British colonial state began to move Indians around. The Indian National

560
00:31:33.080 --> 00:31:38.860
<v Robin Jeffrey>Congress in 1885 was a coming together of people from all over the country. The last 60 years,

561
00:31:39.020 --> 00:31:46.160
<v Robin Jeffrey>the Indian state has held 14 national general elections. It now operates newspapers in,

562
00:31:46.860 --> 00:31:51.500
<v Robin Jeffrey>well, in all 22 official languages, printed in 10 or 12 different languages.

563
00:31:56.060 --> 00:32:13.240
<v Robin Jeffrey>It's the oldest nation to have the oldest national cricket

564
00:32:13.240 --> 00:32:18.800
<v Robin Jeffrey>except on its masthead it has, in English, the National Daily in Malayalam.

565
00:32:19.060 --> 00:32:20.740
<v Robin Jeffrey>And that's its kind of message.

566
00:32:20.880 --> 00:32:26.360
<v Robin Jeffrey>These newspapers are a hinge between the region and people's own language,

567
00:32:26.740 --> 00:32:29.220
<v Robin Jeffrey>what's really valuable to them, and the Indian nation.

568
00:32:29.420 --> 00:32:32.940
<v Robin Jeffrey>And then very often the people who are reading the newspaper have a cousin in the army,

569
00:32:33.120 --> 00:32:36.400
<v Robin Jeffrey>a brother in the railways who happens to be serving in Calcutta.

570
00:32:36.740 --> 00:32:38.560
<v Robin Jeffrey>If you're running a business in Calcutta,

571
00:32:38.620 --> 00:32:41.600
<v Robin Jeffrey>you're probably accessing some of the products from Tamil Nadu.

572
00:32:41.600 --> 00:32:44.140
<v Robin Jeffrey>So there's an economic binding together.

573
00:32:44.300 --> 00:32:46.140
<v Robin Jeffrey>There's a state binding together.

574
00:32:46.400 --> 00:32:51.480
<v Robin Jeffrey>And then there's a national storytelling that's been going on now at least since 1947.

575
00:32:51.600 --> 00:32:54.620
<v Robin Jeffrey>And, of course, beyond that, Gandhi was telling a national story

576
00:32:54.620 --> 00:32:58.680
<v Robin Jeffrey>for 20 years leading up to the independence.

577
00:32:59.060 --> 00:33:04.020
<v Robin Jeffrey>So there are a number of both spiritual and material things that hold the place together.

578
00:33:04.180 --> 00:33:08.340
<v Robin Jeffrey>But most of all, I think it's the Indian Federation, because India is a federation.

579
00:33:08.440 --> 00:33:11.200
<v Robin Jeffrey>The states have significant powers.

580
00:33:11.200 --> 00:33:13.060
<v Robin Jeffrey>They run things in their own languages.

581
00:33:13.200 --> 00:33:16.500
<v Robin Jeffrey>The point I was making the other night was it always so strikes me

582
00:33:16.500 --> 00:33:20.960
<v Robin Jeffrey>when you cross from one Indian state to another, the policeman's headgear is different.

583
00:33:21.180 --> 00:33:25.100
<v Robin Jeffrey>The police in Kerala have a different topi from the police in Tamil Nadu.

584
00:33:25.240 --> 00:33:28.000
<v Robin Jeffrey>And you just know you've moved into another state when you do that.

585
00:33:28.120 --> 00:33:32.480
<v Robin Jeffrey>Now, it's a trivial thing, but it does, I think, give local people the feeling

586
00:33:32.480 --> 00:33:34.600
<v Robin Jeffrey>that they're in control of local things.

587
00:33:35.000 --> 00:33:37.780
<v Robin Jeffrey>And nevertheless, they're proud of the Indian connection

588
00:33:37.780 --> 00:33:40.640
<v Robin Jeffrey>because often they've got relatives who are part of that connection.

589
00:33:41.200 --> 00:33:45.900
<v Robin Jeffrey>So it's a long-winded but unsatisfactory way to try to deal with a good question.

590
00:33:49.080 --> 00:33:52.720
<v Speaker 3>You've almost followed on from what's just been said.

591
00:33:53.660 --> 00:33:57.780
<v Speaker 3>You spoke mostly about the situation in Butta Pradesh.

592
00:33:58.220 --> 00:34:04.480
<v Speaker 3>But I want to know whether that was similar to, or whether you could say any meaningful,

593
00:34:04.700 --> 00:34:09.520
<v Speaker 3>in brief time, about the situation in southern India by Kerala.

594
00:34:09.600 --> 00:34:11.180
<v Speaker 3>Because it seems to me that that's a very important question.

595
00:34:11.200 --> 00:34:14.660
<v Speaker 3>Is, in fact, what you said before, is a fairly different sort of country.

596
00:34:14.800 --> 00:34:19.180
<v Robin Jeffrey>Indeed. Indeed. And I mean, it's that variety that's so striking about the place.

597
00:34:19.540 --> 00:34:22.440
<v Robin Jeffrey>I mean, Kerala is a good example.

598
00:34:22.560 --> 00:34:24.680
<v Robin Jeffrey>Kerala is the one down on the very lower left-hand corner,

599
00:34:24.760 --> 00:34:27.420
<v Robin Jeffrey>the little purple cord at the bottom of the map.

600
00:34:28.220 --> 00:34:32.000
<v Robin Jeffrey>Kerala, of course, has had communist governments on and off now since 1957.

601
00:34:32.600 --> 00:34:35.700
<v Robin Jeffrey>It's got, still has the best social statistics in India.

602
00:34:35.840 --> 00:34:40.140
<v Robin Jeffrey>It's the only state in India where the sex ratio favors women and not men.

603
00:34:41.200 --> 00:34:44.960
<v Robin Jeffrey>In this country, sex ratio is badly skewed in favor of men over women.

604
00:34:45.620 --> 00:34:46.940
<v Robin Jeffrey>So Kerala is very different.

605
00:34:47.040 --> 00:34:49.540
<v Robin Jeffrey>Kerala, on the other hand, is not one of the economic developers.

606
00:34:49.820 --> 00:34:51.280
<v Robin Jeffrey>Kerala is stagnant economically.

607
00:34:51.740 --> 00:34:57.720
<v Robin Jeffrey>And the Kerala social model is sustained by remittances from Kerala people working overseas,

608
00:34:57.840 --> 00:34:59.000
<v Robin Jeffrey>sending their money back home.

609
00:34:59.240 --> 00:35:02.800
<v Robin Jeffrey>That's what keeps the thing going and has managed to maintain the social model.

610
00:35:02.960 --> 00:35:10.260
<v Robin Jeffrey>The dynamic states in the south are Karnataka, Bangalore is the capital, India's computer center,

611
00:35:11.200 --> 00:35:17.120
<v Robin Jeffrey>Tamil Nadu, to a certain extent, Andhra Pradesh, but particularly Karnataka and Tamil Nadu.

612
00:35:17.240 --> 00:35:18.520
<v Robin Jeffrey>And they're seen as big growth states.

613
00:35:18.660 --> 00:35:23.160
<v Robin Jeffrey>They would be growing the last five years at probably 12% a year on GDP.

614
00:35:24.420 --> 00:35:27.640
<v Robin Jeffrey>Having said that, the disparities continue to widen.

615
00:35:27.820 --> 00:35:31.980
<v Robin Jeffrey>But every Indian state, they talk now about the Kanpur line.

616
00:35:32.520 --> 00:35:38.000
<v Robin Jeffrey>Kanpur is up there in Uttar Pradesh, just south of Lucknow on the map.

617
00:35:38.000 --> 00:35:44.740
<v Robin Jeffrey>And if you draw a line from Kanpur down to Chennai, say, and take that eastern side,

618
00:35:44.960 --> 00:35:52.600
<v Robin Jeffrey>that eastern side of India is seen to be the area where economic growth would be maybe 5% or 6% in the last five years.

619
00:35:52.940 --> 00:35:56.660
<v Robin Jeffrey>West of that line, economic growth would probably be 12% or 15%.

620
00:35:56.660 --> 00:35:57.880
<v Robin Jeffrey>You know, there's real disparities.

621
00:35:58.080 --> 00:36:04.260
<v Robin Jeffrey>And of course, it coincides with these areas of insurgency that are increasingly troubling the government of India.

622
00:36:04.660 --> 00:36:06.220
<v Robin Jeffrey>So huge regional variation.

623
00:36:08.000 --> 00:36:13.480
<v Speaker 4>Of the things that Donald Baird did, of the things that Britain left behind in India,

624
00:36:13.560 --> 00:36:17.060
<v Speaker 4>perhaps one of the more significant has been cricket.

625
00:36:19.080 --> 00:36:28.220
<v Speaker 4>Is cricket exerting too big a control now of the people of India and laying itself open to...

626
00:36:29.000 --> 00:36:35.160
<v Robin Jeffrey>Well, you were sitting next to India's leading cricket historian, Ram Guha, who's had to go to something else.

627
00:36:35.620 --> 00:36:37.540
<v Robin Jeffrey>Ram and I were talking about this the other night.

628
00:36:38.000 --> 00:36:42.980
<v Robin Jeffrey>And yeah, I mean, cricket is, I think, in many ways an unwholesome influence at the moment

629
00:36:42.980 --> 00:36:47.120
<v Robin Jeffrey>in that there's an awful lot of gambling and an awful lot of money flowing around cricket.

630
00:36:47.400 --> 00:36:51.100
<v Robin Jeffrey>They're now, I'm told, betting on every ball in a one-dayer.

631
00:36:51.200 --> 00:36:53.100
<v Robin Jeffrey>Not on every over, but on every ball.

632
00:36:54.020 --> 00:36:58.840
<v Robin Jeffrey>And it's almost like playing penny stocks at the stock exchange, gambling on cricket.

633
00:36:58.980 --> 00:37:00.580
<v Robin Jeffrey>Not particularly savoury.

634
00:37:00.600 --> 00:37:02.900
<v Robin Jeffrey>The Indian cricket boards are the wealthy...

635
00:37:02.900 --> 00:37:05.040
<v Robin Jeffrey>I'm told the wealthiest cricket boards in the world.

636
00:37:05.040 --> 00:37:08.000
<v Robin Jeffrey>To gain control of them is a big political struggle.

637
00:37:08.180 --> 00:37:09.780
<v Robin Jeffrey>They're all led by leading politicians.

638
00:37:10.220 --> 00:37:14.440
<v Robin Jeffrey>So cricket's very much woven into Indian life now.

639
00:37:14.520 --> 00:37:15.680
<v Robin Jeffrey>Just as it is in Pakistan.

640
00:37:15.880 --> 00:37:20.940
<v Robin Jeffrey>We're told that Imran Khan is kind of negotiating to do a deal in Pakistan

641
00:37:20.940 --> 00:37:26.900
<v Robin Jeffrey>to become a very influential leader of a Pakistan government after Musharraf.

642
00:37:27.100 --> 00:37:28.840
<v Robin Jeffrey>Partly trading on his cricket reputation.

643
00:37:29.500 --> 00:37:32.020
<v Robin Jeffrey>So, yeah, cricket is big.

644
00:37:32.280 --> 00:37:33.820
<v Robin Jeffrey>And of course, it's big as entertainment.

645
00:37:33.820 --> 00:37:35.660
<v Robin Jeffrey>It's been driven by the media revolution.

646
00:37:36.000 --> 00:37:40.120
<v Robin Jeffrey>Media needed attractive software to show to people.

647
00:37:40.300 --> 00:37:42.980
<v Robin Jeffrey>And cricket was available and a passion.

648
00:37:43.180 --> 00:37:44.900
<v Robin Jeffrey>And the media have driven cricket hugely.

649
00:37:45.120 --> 00:37:46.320
<v Robin Jeffrey>Cricket TV shows.

650
00:37:46.600 --> 00:37:49.580
<v Robin Jeffrey>Every channel worth its name has to have a cricket TV show.

651
00:37:50.840 --> 00:37:52.960
<v Speaker 5>I think we've got time for one more question.

652
00:37:54.840 --> 00:37:57.740
<v Speaker 5>I've just come back from India about three months ago.

653
00:37:58.020 --> 00:38:00.460
<v Speaker 5>First there, over 40 years ago.

654
00:38:00.540 --> 00:38:02.940
<v Speaker 5>I've been a real lover there of the country.

655
00:38:02.940 --> 00:38:04.760
<v Speaker 5>Two things I want to comment on.

656
00:38:04.800 --> 00:38:05.760
<v Speaker 5>I've seen a lot of change.

657
00:38:05.980 --> 00:38:11.000
<v Speaker 5>And one is that it seems to be full speed ahead with the IMF and the World Bank.

658
00:38:11.220 --> 00:38:14.240
<v Speaker 5>And I read the newspaper almost every day there.

659
00:38:14.340 --> 00:38:18.900
<v Speaker 5>I'm not lucky in the papers, but I hardly ever read anything about environmental consequences.

660
00:38:20.320 --> 00:38:27.000
<v Speaker 5>And the other thing I want to comment, I spent some time with a social justice, Swami Agnivesh in Delhi.

661
00:38:28.020 --> 00:38:32.740
<v Speaker 5>And he's told me about within 20 kilometres of New Delhi,

662
00:38:32.740 --> 00:38:38.040
<v Speaker 5>there are Dalits working in the stone quarries and the brick mills.

663
00:38:38.360 --> 00:38:41.280
<v Speaker 5>And so this is who forms the Delhi.

664
00:38:41.620 --> 00:38:45.880
<v Speaker 5>So it's sort of like, like you said, this is sort of the rising rich.

665
00:38:46.020 --> 00:38:47.280
<v Speaker 5>Same in Bombay, mostly.

666
00:38:48.420 --> 00:38:52.060
<v Speaker 5>And, you know, he's had death threats from members of government.

667
00:38:52.180 --> 00:38:56.560
<v Speaker 5>He's served times in the Dhirugandi prisons, just like they had in the British.

668
00:38:57.320 --> 00:38:58.720
<v Speaker 5>The conscience reasons.

669
00:38:59.200 --> 00:39:01.660
<v Speaker 5>And he learned a lot from the social justice.

670
00:39:02.780 --> 00:39:07.460
<v Speaker 5>Catholics in Central and South America, they had a saying that really rang true.

671
00:39:08.060 --> 00:39:12.480
<v Speaker 5>You give the poor bread, they call you a saint.

672
00:39:12.560 --> 00:39:15.780
<v Speaker 5>But if you ask why the poor have no bread, they call you a communist.

673
00:39:16.520 --> 00:39:20.320
<v Speaker 5>And he was, by the way, a Marxist-Gamian.

674
00:39:22.340 --> 00:39:24.100
<v Robin Jeffrey>Yeah, I mean, Agnivesh.

675
00:39:24.140 --> 00:39:25.500
<v Speaker 5>There's no problem with those two.

676
00:39:26.120 --> 00:39:27.320
<v Robin Jeffrey>Just two things.

677
00:39:27.440 --> 00:39:30.300
<v Robin Jeffrey>I mean, what you're saying is absolutely spot on.

678
00:39:30.300 --> 00:39:39.240
<v Robin Jeffrey>The walls that are built around some of these gated communities are probably quarried by the sorts of folk you're talking about and brought there to do it.

679
00:39:39.340 --> 00:39:42.380
<v Robin Jeffrey>You know, that's the dreadful part of it, I think.

680
00:39:42.620 --> 00:39:47.380
<v Robin Jeffrey>The other thing with someone like Agnivesh, it's a contrast with China.

681
00:39:47.520 --> 00:39:49.020
<v Robin Jeffrey>You couldn't imagine an Agnivesh.

682
00:39:49.160 --> 00:39:50.060
<v Robin Jeffrey>And Agnivesh isn't alone.

683
00:39:50.300 --> 00:39:52.660
<v Robin Jeffrey>There are lots of other social activists like him.

684
00:39:53.180 --> 00:39:55.340
<v Robin Jeffrey>That's both the upside and the downside of India.

685
00:39:55.400 --> 00:40:00.280
<v Robin Jeffrey>That people like this can try to speak and work for folk who are less well-off.

686
00:40:00.280 --> 00:40:01.780
<v Robin Jeffrey>With less leverage in government.

687
00:40:02.100 --> 00:40:09.460
<v Robin Jeffrey>At the same time, the forces of capitalism will say, well, the Agniveshs, the Medha-Patkars of this world are blocking development.

688
00:40:09.740 --> 00:40:10.940
<v Robin Jeffrey>These people are such a nuisance.

689
00:40:11.120 --> 00:40:16.840
<v Robin Jeffrey>If only we could get rid of them, we could really get on with the task of creating wealth that will eventually trickle down.

690
00:40:17.000 --> 00:40:19.760
<v Robin Jeffrey>In China, they would be, I think, swept aside.

691
00:40:19.900 --> 00:40:22.060
<v Robin Jeffrey>In India, they aren't swept aside.

692
00:40:22.380 --> 00:40:26.380
<v Robin Jeffrey>There's a legal system that many of them are very apt or able to work.

693
00:40:26.580 --> 00:40:28.440
<v Robin Jeffrey>Agnivesh would be a classic example of that.

694
00:40:28.820 --> 00:40:30.260
<v Rick Hosking>I think we've come to the point.

695
00:40:30.280 --> 00:40:30.980
<v Rick Hosking>We've come to the end of the session.

696
00:40:31.160 --> 00:40:33.120
<v Rick Hosking>So please join me in thanking Bob.

