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<v Phillip Adams>Here we are on a brisk Sunday morning in the city of churches in the appropriately ecclesiastic

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<v Phillip Adams>for Nathan Hall to hear a prophet for the 21st century. James Ephraim Lovelock was born in 1919,

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<v Phillip Adams>the son of Tom and Nellie. What I'd like to do, at least for a few minutes,

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<v Phillip Adams>is to go through your early life a bit, James, to see where you came from.

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<v Phillip Adams>I understand that your father used to take you for long walks and teach you to observe clearly.

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<v James Lovelock>That's right. He was a countryman. He was born in 1872, which is a heck of a long time ago,

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<v James Lovelock>in Berkshire, the county in southern England. They had a terribly rough life because his father

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<v James Lovelock>died when they were young, and there were no welfare systems in those days, and his mother

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<v James Lovelock>had to go through a lot of things. He was a very good man. He was a very good man. He was a very

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<v James Lovelock>good father. He was a good father. He was a good father. He was a good father.

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<v James Lovelock>He had 13 children to bring up. He was the oldest of them, so he had to take on kind of

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<v James Lovelock>responsibility, and that meant finding food to keep them all going, and he was a bit too good

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<v James Lovelock>at it because he got caught by a local gamekeeper poaching, and spent six months in Reading jail

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<v James Lovelock>doing hard labour when he was small. He also had no education at all, so that he couldn't read

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<v James Lovelock>or write.

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<v James Lovelock>And it was a very good thing for him.

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<v James Lovelock>And in spite of that, he ran away to London after getting out of prison

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<v James Lovelock>and got a job in the high-tech industry of those days, which was the gasworks.

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<v James Lovelock>And it so happened that the chap who owned it, a chemist called Dr. Roger Livesey,

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<v James Lovelock>saw that my dad was a bit above average

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<v James Lovelock>and sent him immediately to Battersea Polytechnic to learn reading and writing.

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<v James Lovelock>And so he was all right, but he had this wonderful countryman's knowledge of ecology.

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<v James Lovelock>He knew the tracks of all the animals, the names of all the wildflowers,

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<v James Lovelock>and it was a complete joy to go for walks with him in the country.

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<v James Lovelock>And I think my feeling about the natural world grew up from that.

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<v Phillip Adams>I understand that you and your wife have similar walks to this day.

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<v James Lovelock>We do indeed.

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<v James Lovelock>Most days when we're home, we walk five miles,

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<v James Lovelock>and climb about 400 or 500 feet doing it,

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<v James Lovelock>and do it at about three and a half miles an hour.

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<v Phillip Adams>James, you and I both remember childhoods where horsepower meant horses.

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<v James Lovelock>Indeed. Worse than that, there was an occasion when I ran a milk round from a local farm.

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<v James Lovelock>The first time I did it, I asked the farmer,

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<v James Lovelock>how will I know where to go?

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<v James Lovelock>He said, oh, you don't have to worry, the horse knows.

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<v James Lovelock>And sure enough, it did.

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<v James Lovelock>It stopped at every house, and I just ladled the amount of milk up to the churn for the customers.

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<v James Lovelock>And when the round was finished, the horse just went off back, back.

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<v James Lovelock>So, in a sense, one of my first jobs was to be an assistant to a horse.

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<v Phillip Adams>We're also talking about a time, of course, which was pre-electric.

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<v James Lovelock>Mm-hmm.

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<v James Lovelock>It was.

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<v James Lovelock>Indeed.

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<v James Lovelock>Not only pre-electric, there was no radio.

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<v James Lovelock>Television hadn't even been thought of.

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<v James Lovelock>And most houses were lit either with oil lamps or, if you were fairly rich, with gas.

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<v James Lovelock>And that was it.

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<v James Lovelock>But you never felt deprived as a result of that.

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<v Phillip Adams>Everything changes and nothing changes.

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<v Phillip Adams>We live at a time of crashing conflict between religious fundamentalisms.

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<v Phillip Adams>But you recall a childhood.

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<v Phillip Adams>Where superstition was incredibly powerful.

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<v James Lovelock>Oh, it was.

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<v James Lovelock>It was amazing, especially in the countryside.

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<v James Lovelock>People really believed in ghosts, and they wouldn't go out to certain places at night and things like that.

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<v James Lovelock>And everybody, when they walked around, when, for example, if they spilt some salt at lunch, they would always throw it over their shoulder.

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<v James Lovelock>Heaven knows why.

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<v James Lovelock>You mustn't cross your knives.

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<v James Lovelock>There are an amazing number of superstitions.

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<v James Lovelock>And I remember when I first became a scientist, it required a terrific act of will to sort of say, but this is ridiculous.

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<v James Lovelock>You've got to stop doing this.

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<v James Lovelock>And no more touching wood or anything.

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<v Phillip Adams>We're talking in a building haunted by the ghost of Kimber Nathan, so.

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<v Phillip Adams>Well, I.

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<v Phillip Adams>The, it's odd to me that, well, we're describing an extraordinary lifetime, aren't we, from

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<v Phillip Adams>a world of, you know, the ghost of Kimber Nathan.

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<v Phillip Adams>Well, it,

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<v James Lovelock>have no hardly a breath of truth in them. People believe things about nuclear waste

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<v James Lovelock>and what not which is so untrue, it's almost unbelievable. I will give you an idea of the

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<v James Lovelock>extent of exaggeration. We were given a pamphlet outside one of the halls we talked at the

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<v James Lovelock>town hall the other night and it showed a map of Australia on the front page and a huge

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<v James Lovelock>cooling tower which was about 500 miles in diameter stuck in the middle of it and so

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<v James Lovelock>high it stuck right up out into space and some noxious something coming out of the top

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<v James Lovelock>of it. Well of course no cooling tower is that big but it's a measure of the exaggeration

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<v James Lovelock>and of course cooling towers as any engineer would tell you are things you have at all

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<v James Lovelock>power stations to improve the efficiency of the turbines. There's not there's not

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<v James Lovelock>nothing to do with the radioactivity of the whatever nuclear plant there is that's producing

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<v Phillip Adams>the steam. Sir MacFarlane Burnett who was an Australian Nobel laureate used to warn

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<v Phillip Adams>me and others against nuclear power on the basis his first argument against it and this

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<v Phillip Adams>is going back to the late 60s or early 70s was terrorist attack. He envisaged quite

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<v Phillip Adams>often the possibility of airlines being hijacked and flown into nuclear power stations. What

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<v Phillip Adams>would happen if that happened? There was an attempt as you know in the US in the 70s.

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<v James Lovelock>Well this has been calculated quite often the thickness of the concrete shield around

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<v James Lovelock>most nuclear power stations except some of the ones in Russia which are not really it's

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<v James Lovelock>not quite the same as the Western world. They are so thick that the plane would just be

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<v James Lovelock>disintegrated on hitting and everybody in it would be killed but that would be the only

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<v Phillip Adams>damage done. Chernobyl, Three Mile Island. Well Three Mile Island was a joke. Not a soul

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<v James Lovelock>was even slightly hurt. There was some expensive damage to be sure but the containment vessel

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<v James Lovelock>this concrete shield held it all back. That's what they're there for. Your independence

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<v Phillip Adams>of mind of course means that you and I think the

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<v Phillip Adams>age gives you a great freedom in saying things. You're not at all concerned about making

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<v James Lovelock>people cross are you? Oh I am. I don't want to make you cross to start with.

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<v James Lovelock>You couldn't James. Incidentally I briefly worked with Sir

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<v James Lovelock>Macfarlane Burnett in the 1940s when I was working in virology at a strange hospital.

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<v James Lovelock>It was a hospital called Harvard Hospital in southern England.

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<v Phillip Adams>He was a dear man. Let's go back to your origins because I find them fascinating. When

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<v Phillip Adams>did you have your epiphany that made you realise you wanted to be a scientist?

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<v James Lovelock>Oh when I was about four years old. My beloved father who I've already described had the

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<v James Lovelock>wisdom to give me from Christmas.

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<v James Lovelock>I remember I had a box on my fourth Christmas full of bits of wire and batteries and bells

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<v James Lovelock>and other electrical little bits and ends. He said there you are, play with that, that

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<v James Lovelock>will give you some fun. And it did. I thought it was by far the best present I'd had.

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<v Phillip Adams>I hate to think what would have happened if she'd given you dolls.

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<v James Lovelock>Or an atomic kit. But no, I got puzzled because I couldn't see why I was doing this. I was

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<v James Lovelock>thinking why you needed two wires to send electricity along whereas you could send water

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<v James Lovelock>or gas along just one pipe. And I kept asking people and nobody could give me a satisfactory

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<v James Lovelock>answer and it dawned on me I'd have to find out for myself. And that's a fair way of starting

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<v James Lovelock>as a scientist I reckon.

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<v Phillip Adams>But your family couldn't afford to give you a tertiary education. How did you, what happens

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<v Phillip Adams>next?

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<v James Lovelock>Well that was great good fortune, you see. Had I been, I'd have been in the hospital

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<v James Lovelock>in the son of a rich family, I'd have gone to university like everybody else would have

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<v James Lovelock>done in the circumstances. As it was I got a job with a firm, as a laboratory assistant

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<v James Lovelock>with a firm of consultants in London. And that was the most wonderful apprenticeship

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<v James Lovelock>for a scientist. They were a strange bunch. They would tackle any problem as long as it

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<v James Lovelock>had to do with the photographic industry. All the way from gelatin manufacturing to

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<v James Lovelock>the synthesis of colour dyes that went into photographs. And for a youngster just leaving

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<v James Lovelock>school to be thrown in at the deep end and given problems, there you are solve it, was

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<v James Lovelock>just wonderful. And, but they were also had terrific discipline. I was constantly told

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<v James Lovelock>when you do measurements and get results they must be accurate. People, people's jobs depend

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<v James Lovelock>on the right answers. Their lives even may depend on them.

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<v James Lovelock>So never fudge anything. Now this is the opposite of a student who is told by the

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<v James Lovelock>professor or the invigilator, don't worry too much about getting the right answer as

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<v James Lovelock>long as you understand the method. And I think that is the wrong way of training scientists.

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<v Phillip Adams>It got you into trouble in them though, didn't it? When you were at Manchester, your accuracy

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<v Phillip Adams>of measurement, had you accused of cheating?

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<v James Lovelock>Yeah. Well, yes. I got lucky in a sense because worldwide, I was told that I was going to

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<v James Lovelock>take it. And it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it

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<v James Lovelock>was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it

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<v James Lovelock>was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it

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<v James Lovelock>was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it

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<v James Lovelock>was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it

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<v James Lovelock>was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it was, it

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<v James Lovelock>society, so he was no slouch. But a month after I'd gone in, I was called to see him

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<v James Lovelock>and he said, Lovelock, why the hell have you been cheating? We've let you in under, you

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<v James Lovelock>know, easy conditions and there you go and spoil your chances by cheating. I said, what

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<v James Lovelock>do you mean cheating? He said, students do not get the right answer to analytical. He

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<v James Lovelock>said, you must have looked up the answer in the book in the laboratory. And it took me

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<v James Lovelock>at least ten minutes to explain to him that the problem that I'd solved was something

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<v James Lovelock>I could almost do in my sleep. And we both kind of felt, well, there's something a bit

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<v James Lovelock>odd about teaching.

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<v Phillip Adams>James, you were exempt from military service, of course, as a student, but you decided to

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<v Phillip Adams>register as a conchie, as a conscientious objector. Take us through your thought processes

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<v Phillip Adams>there.

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<v James Lovelock>Well, my mother was a Quaker and I'd been brought up in that face, more or less, right

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<v James Lovelock>to the point.

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<v James Lovelock>I was brought up from a youngster and if you were a Quaker, it was almost a matter of duty

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<v James Lovelock>and honor to become a conscientious objector. So I didn't have much option and I became

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<v James Lovelock>one. But it wasn't long after the war was going that I realized it was a ridiculous

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<v James Lovelock>stand and I couldn't maintain it. I mean, lives were being lost by merchant seamen bringing

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<v James Lovelock>in the food I ate.

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<v James Lovelock>I was being forced to do things that I didn't want to do. I was being forced to do things

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<v James Lovelock>that I didn't want to do. I was being defended by brave young men in fighter aircraft. That

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<v James Lovelock>whole thing was absurd. So I resigned. But you have to understand that if you've been

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<v James Lovelock>brought up with a certain kind of thing you've got to do, it's the right and honorable thing,

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<v James Lovelock>you tend to do it without thinking too hard.

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<v Phillip Adams>Given your Quaker background and also the comparative poverty of your background, you

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<v Phillip Adams>were a socialist when young.

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<v James Lovelock>Mm-hmm.

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<v Phillip Adams>But you went through a political transformation during the Thatcher years. You became a political

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<v Phillip Adams>and social conservative.

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<v James Lovelock>To an extent, yes. Although I certainly didn't support, I would not vote conservative and

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<v James Lovelock>I disagree with an awful lot. But I had an immense admiration for Margaret Thatcher.

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<v James Lovelock>She was a scientist, don't forget, one of the only prime ministers we've ever had that

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<v James Lovelock>was a congressman.

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<v James Lovelock>She was a competent scientist. And this, of course, endeared her to me. She also was a

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<v James Lovelock>great fan of Gaia. She tried to get her cabinet to read my first book. I don't think she succeeded.

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<v James Lovelock>And a great supporter, too. So it was a kind of ambivalent thing. I violently disagreed

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<v James Lovelock>with her views on the health service, for example. But I never got a chance to discuss

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<v James Lovelock>it with her.

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<v James Lovelock>Mm-hmm.

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<v James Lovelock>Mm-hmm.

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<v James Lovelock>Mm-hmm.

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<v James Lovelock>And so the conversation invariably was about the environment.

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<v Phillip Adams>I've got bad news for you. You're in a country where our prime minister is not a scientist

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<v Phillip Adams>and is not a fan of Gaia and is pretty much a steadfast denier on climate change, but

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<v Phillip Adams>we won't get political.

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<v Phillip Adams>In 1957, your gift for being absolutely accurate in measurement blossoms in an

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<v Phillip Adams>international context.

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<v Phillip Adams>I think there is no question about that.

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<v Phillip Adams>But there is an invention called the electron capture detector, the ECD. This has been

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<v Phillip Adams>an incredibly important tool, hasn't it, for all of us?

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<v James Lovelock>I guess so. Yes. Some say it was the thing that did more than anything to start the green

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<v James Lovelock>movement. I'm not really – it's not for me to make a judgment on that. I think that's

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<v James Lovelock>the history. But it certainly – I've seen it associated with it. It certainly did a

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<v James Lovelock>lot to first –

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<v James Lovelock>gives support to Rachel Carson's great work.

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<v James Lovelock>She, of course, if you remember rightly,

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<v James Lovelock>wrote a book, Silent Spring,

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<v James Lovelock>that stated that the unwise, widespread use

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<v James Lovelock>of agricultural chemicals,

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<v James Lovelock>particularly DDT and dildrin and whatnot,

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<v James Lovelock>were killing off birds.

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<v James Lovelock>And the name of her book, Silent Spring,

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<v James Lovelock>of course, envisaged a spring

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<v James Lovelock>where there was no more birdsong

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<v James Lovelock>because they were all dead from pesticide poisoning.

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<v James Lovelock>She was right, of course.

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<v James Lovelock>Nowadays, the spring is more or less silent

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<v James Lovelock>in much of Europe, perhaps in Australia too,

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<v James Lovelock>I don't know, but certainly in Europe,

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<v James Lovelock>but not just from pesticide poisoning.

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<v James Lovelock>I'm afraid farmers regard all forms of wildlife

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<v James Lovelock>other than their livestock, pets, and family,

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<v James Lovelock>in that order,

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<v James Lovelock>as malign and to be destroyed.

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<v James Lovelock>And they'll do it.

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<v James Lovelock>By all means.

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<v James Lovelock>any means if you stop them using pesticides they'll do it by any means

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<v Phillip Adams>they can. As a lifelong admirer of Carson I'm fascinated to observe there's a huge

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<v Phillip Adams>renewed attack on her and her work the argument being that whilst DDT was bad

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<v Phillip Adams>for birds it was rather good in preventing malaria. Oh that's so unfair

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<v James Lovelock>Rachel Carson concentrated on birds but as soon as city people read her book

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<v James Lovelock>they suddenly forgot the birds and sorted themselves and then some idiot

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<v James Lovelock>academics suggested that DDT was a carcinogen. I believe it is a slight

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<v James Lovelock>carcinogen to rats or something like that but I know of no case of human

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<v James Lovelock>cancer coming from its use but what they did was to ban it heedlessly because

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<v James Lovelock>they were frightened of it.

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<v James Lovelock>It's a very bad thing.

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<v James Lovelock>It's rather similar to the anti-nuclear story. Things get banned out of fear, out of

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<v James Lovelock>superstition, not out of good sense. Actually it is the most wonderful

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<v James Lovelock>insecticide to use in places like Africa to destroy malarial mosquitoes and it

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<v James Lovelock>doesn't need to be used at levels that affect the rest of wildlife and isn't.

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<v James Lovelock>It's so bad that the ban on DDT is responsible for something like 2 million

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<v James Lovelock>deaths a year.

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<v James Lovelock>For malaria to say nothing of 200 millions whose lives are blighted by the

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<v James Lovelock>disease. All of that was unnecessary but don't blame Rachel Carson. It was the

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<v James Lovelock>city urban people of green persuasion that were responsible for that. Not that

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<v James Lovelock>great pioneer.

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<v Phillip Adams>I think that a lot of the attack comes from the neocons who are in some strange

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<v Phillip Adams>way connected to the Bush war on science.

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<v Phillip Adams>But let's go back to the book.

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<v Phillip Adams>Back to your wonderful gadget, the ECD. Its first practical use was to detect pesticide

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<v Phillip Adams>residues in foodstuffs. You start using it in other ways yourself. Tell us the story

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<v Phillip Adams>about how the ECD played such a central role in the ozone layer crisis.

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<v James Lovelock>Oh goodness. Well, of course it's a strange device. For the most part it only detects

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<v James Lovelock>things which are very poisonous or carcinogenic. Nothing else. And at the same time it's probably

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<v James Lovelock>the most sensitive simple chemical indicator you've got. It'll detect much less than a

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<v James Lovelock>part per trillion. That's a part per million million. So small that it's infinitesimal.

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<v James Lovelock>And because of that you can pick up traces of the ECD.

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<v James Lovelock>Well it's it

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<v James Lovelock>those skies got dimmer and dimmer and mistier and mistier

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<v James Lovelock>until the haze was so thick you couldn't see sometimes

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<v James Lovelock>much further than about 200 or 300 yards.

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<v James Lovelock>Now, I thought it looked and smelt like the Los Angeles smog,

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<v James Lovelock>but when I asked experts in Britain, the meteorologists,

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<v James Lovelock>they said, oh, no, it must be something coming out of the ground.

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<v James Lovelock>Couldn't possibly be Los Angeles smog here.

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<v James Lovelock>We don't have bright enough sunshine,

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<v James Lovelock>and there's not enough cars to produce it.

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<v James Lovelock>But I felt convinced, nevertheless, that that's what it was.

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<v James Lovelock>So I wondered, how can I prove it?

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<v James Lovelock>It wouldn't be any use picking up smog compounds like ozone

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<v James Lovelock>and sulfur dioxide and things like that in the air,

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<v James Lovelock>but it suddenly dawned on me, wherever there's cities and people,

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<v James Lovelock>there's CFCs being given off,

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<v James Lovelock>but never are they given.

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<v James Lovelock>They're not given off by nature.

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<v James Lovelock>They're not a natural compound at all.

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<v James Lovelock>Sulfur dioxide and ozone are natural, so there's always confusion.

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<v James Lovelock>So I started measuring the CFCs and soon found that they could go up

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<v James Lovelock>to five times as much in the air when there was the haze as they were

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<v James Lovelock>when it was clear air coming from the Atlantic.

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<v James Lovelock>And that proved that the smog was indeed coming from industrial regions

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<v James Lovelock>and was smog.

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<v James Lovelock>And that was followed.

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<v James Lovelock>And now there's no doubt about it.

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<v James Lovelock>It's part of the haze that, strangely enough,

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<v James Lovelock>now keeps the Earth a lot cooler than it would otherwise be

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<v James Lovelock>because it reflects sunlight back to space.

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<v Phillip Adams>The attack on the ozone hole gives one cause for a tiny piece of optimism

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<v Phillip Adams>in relation to climate change,

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<v Phillip Adams>because it was a case where there was an international effort

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<v Phillip Adams>to do something about it.

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<v James Lovelock>Indeed it was.

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<v James Lovelock>Yes.

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<v James Lovelock>And I should add that looking at the CFCs in the air as smog indicators

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<v James Lovelock>made me wonder where the constant level in the clean air was coming from.

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<v James Lovelock>Was it accumulating in the air of the world?

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<v James Lovelock>Because they're so unreactive, there wasn't much anywhere for them to go.

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<v James Lovelock>So I thought, what fun it would be to go on a ship to Antarctica and back

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<v James Lovelock>and measure them all the way, which is what I did.

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<v James Lovelock>And sure enough, they're present in the air.

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<v James Lovelock>They're all the way right through around the world.

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<v James Lovelock>And that paper that I wrote about it in Nature in 1972

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<v James Lovelock>was what kicked off the CFC ozone affair.

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<v James Lovelock>I made my biggest blunder in that because I said in the paper

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<v James Lovelock>that these things represent no conceivable danger whatsoever.

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<v James Lovelock>They're so non-toxic.

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<v James Lovelock>But, of course, I hadn't realized then that when they got into,

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<v James Lovelock>the upper atmosphere, that they split under solar ultraviolet light

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<v James Lovelock>and gave off chlorine that destroyed the ozone.

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<v Phillip Adams>You're picked up by NASA.

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<v Phillip Adams>NASA asks you to start seeing if you can work out a way

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<v Phillip Adams>of analyzing extraterrestrial atmospheres.

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<v Phillip Adams>You find a methodology of doing so.

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<v Phillip Adams>And in a strange way, this leads into Gaia.

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<v James Lovelock>Yes.

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<v James Lovelock>That was a long time ago, Philip.

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<v James Lovelock>I was invited to NASA in 1961 when they were only three years old.

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<v Phillip Adams>Exactly.

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<v James Lovelock>Yes, and it was no great organization.

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<v James Lovelock>It was just a lot of caravans stuck on a hillside in California.

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<v James Lovelock>And the people working there were not, strangely,

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<v James Lovelock>hot-shot scientists so much as model makers and clock makers

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<v James Lovelock>and people like that, strange people.

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<v James Lovelock>And they were...

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<v James Lovelock>They were exquisitely good at designing the wonderful instruments

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<v James Lovelock>that went on spacecraft.

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<v James Lovelock>And they needed me because I was a producer of sensitive instruments.

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<v James Lovelock>And they wanted me to devise things for them that would measure the soil

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<v James Lovelock>and atmospheres of Mars and the moon.

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<v James Lovelock>And that was my job.

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<v James Lovelock>But I'm always a curious, nosy sort of scientist.

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<v James Lovelock>And I got talking to the biologists there, and I was utterly astonished.

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<v James Lovelock>They wanted to find life on Mars by just looking for the bacteria

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<v James Lovelock>that grew in the soil there.

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<v James Lovelock>And I said, well, how the hell do you know there are any bacteria there?

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<v James Lovelock>It might be a form of life different from anything we've ever seen.

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<v James Lovelock>And their attitude after a while got very cross and said, well, you,

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<v James Lovelock>clever bugger, you suggest something better.

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<v James Lovelock>And that put me on the spot, and the only thing I could think of was to say, well,

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<v James Lovelock>if you want to find life on Mars, you have to find life on Mars.

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<v James Lovelock>If you want to find life on a planet, look for a reduction of entropy,

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<v James Lovelock>which doesn't help at all.

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<v James Lovelock>Doesn't help anybody.

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<v James Lovelock>And I was called to see the boss of JPL the next day.

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<v James Lovelock>And he said, what are you doing upsetting our biologists?

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<v James Lovelock>NASA's hired them at great expense, and they're very miserable because you've been

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<v James Lovelock>talking some nonsense about measuring entropy on Mars.

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<v James Lovelock>So he said, what do you mean by it?

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<v James Lovelock>How would you detect life that way?

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<v James Lovelock>And I said, well,

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<v James Lovelock>I need some time to think about it.

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<v James Lovelock>He said, you tell Friday if you don't have enough.

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<v James Lovelock>So that was Tuesday.

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<v James Lovelock>On Thursday night, it suddenly dawned on me.

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<v James Lovelock>Yes, you can find an entropy reduction on a planet by just measuring the composition.

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<v James Lovelock>That's the chemical composition of its atmosphere.

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<v Phillip Adams>Obvious and simple.

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<v James Lovelock>Well, it actually isn't so complicated.

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<v James Lovelock>If the planet's dead,

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<v James Lovelock>the gases in the atmosphere will all be have reacted with one another to the point where they can't react anymore.

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<v James Lovelock>They'll be at what's called chemical equilibrium.

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<v James Lovelock>But if there's life on the planet, it's got to use the atmosphere as a source of raw materials,

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<v James Lovelock>just like life here does.

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<v James Lovelock>And it's going to use it as a place to deposit its waste products,

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<v James Lovelock>just as we do.

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<v James Lovelock>And this will change the atmosphere, make it

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<v James Lovelock>recognizably different from... And of course the control planet,

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<v James Lovelock>was the Earth.

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<v James Lovelock>Does it fit?

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<v James Lovelock>Yeah, sure. It absolutely sings out that it's a live planet.

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<v James Lovelock>You've got oxygen mixed with methane.

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<v James Lovelock>Now that's the kind of mixture, if the composition's wrong, will blow up in a big bang.

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<v James Lovelock>Fortunately, it's regulated. It stays at levels which are quite safe.

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<v James Lovelock>But it requires that they're reacting together, because they react in the stratosphere

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<v James Lovelock>when sunlight is coming in.

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<v James Lovelock>When sunlight falls on the Earth.

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<v James Lovelock>And that means there must be a source and a sink for them.

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<v James Lovelock>There must be something making them, and the sink is the reaction, of course.

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<v James Lovelock>And you can easily calculate what that is. And it means huge quantities for the Earth.

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<v James Lovelock>There's no way that that could happen on a dead planet.

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<v James Lovelock>So NASA accepted that and got quite excited.

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<v James Lovelock>And they still have it in mind to use it to find life on planets way out beyond the solar system.

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<v Phillip Adams>We're not dealing with a Eureka moment for Gaia, are we?

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<v Phillip Adams>No, no, no.

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<v Phillip Adams>We're dealing with a thought process.

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<v James Lovelock>On life detection, yeah.

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<v James Lovelock>The Eureka moment came when an astronomer came into the office I was in

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<v James Lovelock>with a great sheet of data on the actual atmosphere of Mars and Venus.

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<v James Lovelock>And these were so close to chemical equilibrium that I knew I was on the right tracks,

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<v James Lovelock>because by then we were pretty much in the same boat.

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<v James Lovelock>I was pretty sure that they were dead planets.

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<v James Lovelock>And when you compared it with the Earth, it was then that this idea that life was regulating the atmosphere came to me.

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<v James Lovelock>That was very much the Eureka moment.

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<v Phillip Adams>When I first read you on Gaia, and when we first talked about it quite a few years ago,

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<v Phillip Adams>I was concerned that its metaphoric majesty had become too...

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<v Phillip Adams>too...

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<v Phillip Adams>Well, that the New Age had embraced it rather eagerly,

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<v Phillip Adams>to the point that I'm sure you must have been embarrassed by your disciples.

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<v James Lovelock>I was, yeah. Who wouldn't?

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<v James Lovelock>But on the other hand, at first...

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<v James Lovelock>Perhaps I should... Let me go into it a bit.

385
00:28:55.360 --> 00:28:59.100
<v James Lovelock>When I first put the idea forward, scientists quite liked it.

386
00:29:00.580 --> 00:29:05.080
<v James Lovelock>I gave a lecture on it to the space scientists in 1968,

387
00:29:05.080 --> 00:29:09.020
<v James Lovelock>and everybody was very happy with the idea, thought it was a good one.

388
00:29:09.460 --> 00:29:13.980
<v James Lovelock>And then later, I gave it to climate scientists in 1971.

389
00:29:14.420 --> 00:29:15.660
<v James Lovelock>They liked it too.

390
00:29:15.960 --> 00:29:19.080
<v James Lovelock>And it wasn't until somewhere in the mid-70s,

391
00:29:19.780 --> 00:29:23.660
<v James Lovelock>the biologists suddenly got the whole notion wrong.

392
00:29:23.940 --> 00:29:26.180
<v James Lovelock>They thought it was an attack on Darwin.

393
00:29:26.500 --> 00:29:31.720
<v James Lovelock>And of course, as you well know, biologists regard Darwin as next to the Holy Ghost.

394
00:29:31.980 --> 00:29:35.060
<v James Lovelock>I mean, if anything, anybody says anything bad about Darwin,

395
00:29:35.060 --> 00:29:37.420
<v James Lovelock>then you're for it.

396
00:29:37.560 --> 00:29:39.140
<v James Lovelock>So I was for it.

397
00:29:39.540 --> 00:29:43.900
<v James Lovelock>But it was all a mistake, because I'm as much for Darwin as they are.

398
00:29:44.220 --> 00:29:46.760
<v James Lovelock>And it's not contrary to Darwin.

399
00:29:46.860 --> 00:29:48.940
<v James Lovelock>It's merely an extension of Darwin.

400
00:29:49.180 --> 00:29:52.680
<v James Lovelock>And I think it's most unfair on Darwin

401
00:29:52.680 --> 00:29:56.400
<v James Lovelock>that nobody sort of looks back on his history

402
00:29:56.400 --> 00:29:59.320
<v James Lovelock>and sees that when he came up with the theory of evolution,

403
00:29:59.780 --> 00:30:05.040
<v James Lovelock>the general paradigm was that the Earth was absolutely perfect.

404
00:30:05.060 --> 00:30:07.520
<v James Lovelock>The environment didn't change.

405
00:30:07.720 --> 00:30:09.380
<v James Lovelock>It repeated itself continuously.

406
00:30:09.900 --> 00:30:12.440
<v James Lovelock>It's called uniformitarianism in geology.

407
00:30:13.000 --> 00:30:17.180
<v James Lovelock>And therefore, organisms merely had to adapt to what was there.

408
00:30:17.360 --> 00:30:18.560
<v James Lovelock>And that was it.

409
00:30:18.820 --> 00:30:23.760
<v James Lovelock>Had that not been so, geologists had been a bit more broad-minded.

410
00:30:23.820 --> 00:30:29.020
<v James Lovelock>Darwin, I'm sure, would have seen that organisms can change their environment

411
00:30:29.020 --> 00:30:30.880
<v James Lovelock>as well as adapting to it.

412
00:30:31.080 --> 00:30:32.960
<v James Lovelock>Damn it all, we're changing ours.

413
00:30:33.040 --> 00:30:34.520
<v James Lovelock>Look what's happening.

414
00:30:34.700 --> 00:30:35.040
<v James Lovelock>Right.

415
00:30:35.060 --> 00:30:37.760
<v James Lovelock>And this is part of evolution.

416
00:30:38.120 --> 00:30:39.240
<v James Lovelock>It will change.

417
00:30:39.420 --> 00:30:42.560
<v James Lovelock>And organisms that foul the environment go extinct.

418
00:30:43.320 --> 00:30:46.520
<v Phillip Adams>As I came to understand what you were on about,

419
00:30:46.640 --> 00:30:51.320
<v Phillip Adams>I realized that it wasn't in any way a spiritual concept.

420
00:30:51.440 --> 00:30:57.580
<v Phillip Adams>It was a tough, robust, and in fact, quite a hard-hearted view.

421
00:30:58.060 --> 00:31:02.020
<v Phillip Adams>You know, Gaia was not particularly concerned with human beings.

422
00:31:02.200 --> 00:31:04.020
<v Phillip Adams>In fact, not concerned with them at all.

423
00:31:04.020 --> 00:31:05.340
<v James Lovelock>I'm not sure about that.

424
00:31:07.960 --> 00:31:12.340
<v James Lovelock>Well, I was going to put this bit at the end as a kind of cheerful closure.

425
00:31:12.700 --> 00:31:16.380
<v James Lovelock>But since you fed it to me now, I better go into it.

426
00:31:16.820 --> 00:31:21.220
<v James Lovelock>Look, you see, life on our planet, the great system,

427
00:31:21.440 --> 00:31:25.600
<v James Lovelock>that thing I call Gaia, has been around for nearly four billion years.

428
00:31:26.280 --> 00:31:29.760
<v James Lovelock>That's a third of the age of the universe, would you believe it?

429
00:31:30.120 --> 00:31:33.100
<v James Lovelock>Now, it's taken that system.

430
00:31:33.100 --> 00:31:36.860
<v James Lovelock>Let's call her her for a change because Gaia was a Greek goddess.

431
00:31:37.080 --> 00:31:42.800
<v James Lovelock>It's taken her that long to evolve a creature that can think.

432
00:31:43.220 --> 00:31:48.780
<v James Lovelock>And not only think, but communicate amongst themselves.

433
00:31:49.180 --> 00:31:53.680
<v James Lovelock>And for the very first time, she's been able to see herself from space

434
00:31:53.680 --> 00:31:57.920
<v James Lovelock>and see what an incredible, beautiful planet she is

435
00:31:57.920 --> 00:32:01.480
<v James Lovelock>compared with the dead sisters, Mars and Venus.

436
00:32:01.480 --> 00:32:07.420
<v James Lovelock>And if you think that she's neutral about us, you may be very wrong.

437
00:32:07.720 --> 00:32:12.240
<v Phillip Adams>Okay, I know that you have a friendly relationship with Dawkins.

438
00:32:12.540 --> 00:32:12.900
<v Phillip Adams>Yeah.

439
00:32:13.120 --> 00:32:19.800
<v Phillip Adams>And I don't think you would accept the label of atheist, would you?

440
00:32:19.980 --> 00:32:22.180
<v James Lovelock>No. I'm an agnostic.

441
00:32:22.180 --> 00:32:23.620
<v Phillip Adams>What is your theology?

442
00:32:24.100 --> 00:32:27.240
<v James Lovelock>I'm an agnostic. I'm a scientist.

443
00:32:27.340 --> 00:32:30.180
<v James Lovelock>I can't be certain about anything.

444
00:32:30.180 --> 00:32:36.600
<v James Lovelock>And I think the atheist position, that's a pure atheist, is impossible.

445
00:32:37.100 --> 00:32:39.460
<v James Lovelock>Because you're certain there is no God.

446
00:32:39.640 --> 00:32:42.440
<v James Lovelock>How can I, as a scientist, say that?

447
00:32:42.580 --> 00:32:46.980
<v James Lovelock>I think the existence of God is very improbable.

448
00:32:47.100 --> 00:32:50.860
<v James Lovelock>But it's one hypothesis amongst many about the universe.

449
00:32:51.180 --> 00:32:54.000
<v Phillip Adams>Well, Dawkins takes that view that it's highly improbable.

450
00:32:54.000 --> 00:32:57.580
<v James Lovelock>He does now, but he used to be what I call a card-carrying atheist.

451
00:32:58.040 --> 00:32:59.740
<v James Lovelock>No way is this.

452
00:33:00.180 --> 00:33:01.640
<v James Lovelock>Is there any religion?

453
00:33:01.640 --> 00:33:08.180
<v Phillip Adams>To what extent is your Quaker background still an influence in your life?

454
00:33:08.460 --> 00:33:15.520
<v James Lovelock>Well, you see, the Quaker church is very happy with agnosticism and science.

455
00:33:15.920 --> 00:33:21.460
<v James Lovelock>Because God, if there is a God, is a still small voice within.

456
00:33:21.780 --> 00:33:24.020
<v James Lovelock>In other words, it's within your mind.

457
00:33:24.040 --> 00:33:25.580
<v James Lovelock>It's part of your own concepts.

458
00:33:25.900 --> 00:33:29.700
<v James Lovelock>It's your conscience that tells you what you should be doing or something.

459
00:33:29.700 --> 00:33:37.860
<v James Lovelock>None of Quakerism is really concerned with a theological God out there somewhere in the universe.

460
00:33:39.520 --> 00:33:42.920
<v Phillip Adams>Out the back you had a sheet of notes.

461
00:33:43.940 --> 00:33:47.880
<v Phillip Adams>And I want to get you to pull them out with this question,

462
00:33:48.040 --> 00:33:51.200
<v Phillip Adams>as we approach the end of our conversation.

463
00:33:51.980 --> 00:33:59.680
<v Phillip Adams>What are your current or indeed perhaps final thoughts on the issue of Gaia and climate change?

464
00:34:01.740 --> 00:34:03.120
<v James Lovelock>Gaia and climate change.

465
00:34:03.260 --> 00:34:10.120
<v James Lovelock>Well, my final thought was going to be the one about the planet being pleased with us for having shown how good she is.

466
00:34:10.220 --> 00:34:18.720
<v James Lovelock>No, but my thoughts about Gaia and climate change are fairly important, I think.

467
00:34:19.100 --> 00:34:28.600
<v James Lovelock>You see, most of us base our fears on climate change on the advice given by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change,

468
00:34:28.600 --> 00:34:34.520
<v James Lovelock>which represents about 1,200, I believe it is, of the world's best scientists

469
00:34:34.520 --> 00:34:38.660
<v James Lovelock>who strongly agree on the facts of climate change.

470
00:34:38.880 --> 00:34:41.640
<v James Lovelock>And they published their report in February this year.

471
00:34:41.860 --> 00:34:48.060
<v James Lovelock>And I strongly advise you, if you haven't seen it, to at least get a hold of a digest of it and look at it.

472
00:34:48.140 --> 00:34:49.620
<v James Lovelock>It's a fearsome report.

473
00:34:50.140 --> 00:34:53.680
<v James Lovelock>And it shows all of the predictions.

474
00:34:54.200 --> 00:34:58.580
<v James Lovelock>And if you look at what it predicts by 2050,

475
00:34:58.580 --> 00:35:03.360
<v James Lovelock>which is not all that far ahead, 33 years,

476
00:35:03.760 --> 00:35:07.520
<v James Lovelock>it suggests that by 2040 in Europe,

477
00:35:07.740 --> 00:35:13.500
<v James Lovelock>the temperatures every summer will be as hot as the summer of 2003

478
00:35:13.500 --> 00:35:16.960
<v James Lovelock>that will be recognized by anyone in Australia

479
00:35:17.580 --> 00:35:23.120
<v James Lovelock>because the temperatures for June, July and August were all between 40 and 50.

480
00:35:23.280 --> 00:35:26.740
<v James Lovelock>It stayed there and it was total drought during that period.

481
00:35:26.740 --> 00:35:32.100
<v James Lovelock>Now, if that happens, people may get used to it

482
00:35:32.100 --> 00:35:34.540
<v James Lovelock>because people do live under those conditions,

483
00:35:34.760 --> 00:35:36.060
<v James Lovelock>but the plants won't.

484
00:35:36.080 --> 00:35:40.120
<v James Lovelock>So Europe will become very like Australia, scrub and desert.

485
00:35:40.620 --> 00:35:45.000
<v James Lovelock>How are they going to feed 450 millions on scrub and desert?

486
00:35:45.260 --> 00:35:46.740
<v James Lovelock>And it won't just be Europe.

487
00:35:46.920 --> 00:35:52.700
<v James Lovelock>The same thing will be happening to China, North America, parts of Africa and South America.

488
00:35:53.140 --> 00:35:55.220
<v James Lovelock>So how is the world going to feed

489
00:35:55.220 --> 00:35:56.720
<v James Lovelock>six and a half billion people

490
00:35:56.740 --> 00:35:56.980
<v James Lovelock>and how are they going to feed seven and eight billions?

491
00:35:57.060 --> 00:35:58.020
<v James Lovelock>Well, there will be more then.

492
00:35:58.140 --> 00:36:02.040
<v James Lovelock>There will probably be seven to eight billions on scrub and desert.

493
00:36:02.680 --> 00:36:07.520
<v James Lovelock>And that's why it's a really worrying and serious report.

494
00:36:08.740 --> 00:36:14.100
<v James Lovelock>The very latest observations of what the climate is doing

495
00:36:14.100 --> 00:36:17.380
<v James Lovelock>from the best scientists also around the world,

496
00:36:17.520 --> 00:36:20.780
<v James Lovelock>but observations are real, they're not modern predictions,

497
00:36:21.320 --> 00:36:24.480
<v James Lovelock>show that all three indicators,

498
00:36:24.480 --> 00:36:28.880
<v James Lovelock>that's temperature, sea level and carbon dioxide,

499
00:36:29.520 --> 00:36:35.520
<v James Lovelock>are at a worse state now than even the gloomiest of the IPCC predictions.

500
00:36:36.120 --> 00:36:42.080
<v James Lovelock>So the planet seems to be on course to something a lot worse than the IPCC suggests.

501
00:36:42.740 --> 00:36:45.780
<v James Lovelock>Now, this is where Gaia comes in with a ray of hope.

502
00:36:46.400 --> 00:36:52.900
<v James Lovelock>And you see, the IPCC models are purely geophysical.

503
00:36:52.900 --> 00:36:56.620
<v James Lovelock>They don't include the biology of the planet.

504
00:36:56.760 --> 00:36:58.000
<v James Lovelock>They're non-Gaia models.

505
00:36:58.980 --> 00:37:03.300
<v James Lovelock>All those geophysicists acknowledge Gaia, but they don't yet,

506
00:37:03.540 --> 00:37:04.680
<v James Lovelock>they don't know how.

507
00:37:04.860 --> 00:37:06.900
<v James Lovelock>It's not negligence or obstinacy.

508
00:37:07.720 --> 00:37:10.000
<v James Lovelock>They don't know how to put it in their models.

509
00:37:10.320 --> 00:37:14.180
<v James Lovelock>So they give a rather worse picture than would happen

510
00:37:14.180 --> 00:37:17.900
<v James Lovelock>if you include the effects of life on the planet.

511
00:37:18.140 --> 00:37:22.880
<v James Lovelock>When you do, what you find is that instead of rising indefinitely,

512
00:37:22.900 --> 00:37:28.400
<v James Lovelock>the temperature levels off at somewhere about five degrees hotter than it is now.

513
00:37:28.680 --> 00:37:31.880
<v James Lovelock>That's bad enough, and there'll still be the scrub and desert,

514
00:37:32.200 --> 00:37:34.560
<v James Lovelock>but it's not just a runaway to nothing.

515
00:37:35.960 --> 00:37:41.780
<v James Lovelock>And the Earth has been in that state many times before in its past history.

516
00:37:42.060 --> 00:37:45.060
<v James Lovelock>There were no great extinctions when that happened.

517
00:37:45.320 --> 00:37:49.700
<v James Lovelock>Life was able to move to the polar regions and carry on

518
00:37:49.700 --> 00:37:51.820
<v James Lovelock>and wait until it cooled off again,

519
00:37:51.820 --> 00:37:53.180
<v James Lovelock>and then move back.

520
00:37:53.520 --> 00:37:56.120
<v James Lovelock>That happened 55 million years ago.

521
00:37:56.240 --> 00:37:58.280
<v James Lovelock>We've got good records of it.

522
00:37:58.460 --> 00:38:01.760
<v James Lovelock>It's going to be a rough, incredibly difficult world,

523
00:38:01.860 --> 00:38:03.780
<v James Lovelock>and there won't be that many survivors.

524
00:38:04.380 --> 00:38:10.420
<v James Lovelock>I'll be very surprised if as many as 20% of us now on the planet

525
00:38:10.420 --> 00:38:13.900
<v James Lovelock>survive at 2,100.

526
00:38:14.580 --> 00:38:17.800
<v James Lovelock>But we will survive, and we will carry on,

527
00:38:17.920 --> 00:38:21.800
<v James Lovelock>and let's hope that we'll have learned something.

528
00:38:21.820 --> 00:38:23.140
<v James Lovelock>We've learned a big lesson from it.

529
00:38:23.320 --> 00:38:25.340
<v Phillip Adams>But typically of you, James,

530
00:38:25.440 --> 00:38:29.360
<v Phillip Adams>you also have worked out a couple of rather large ideas

531
00:38:29.360 --> 00:38:33.320
<v Phillip Adams>which might help Gaia get us over the hurdle.

532
00:38:33.980 --> 00:38:35.300
<v James Lovelock>Well, that's visionary.

533
00:38:35.680 --> 00:38:39.960
<v James Lovelock>But you see, when people talk about saving the planet,

534
00:38:40.040 --> 00:38:44.120
<v James Lovelock>carbon trading, renewable energy, sustainable development,

535
00:38:44.420 --> 00:38:46.680
<v James Lovelock>I think it's just blowing in the wind.

536
00:38:46.800 --> 00:38:51.040
<v James Lovelock>I don't think any of that will make the slightest difference to climate change.

537
00:38:52.360 --> 00:38:57.100
<v James Lovelock>For example, if you could stop all fossil fuel burning tomorrow,

538
00:38:57.400 --> 00:39:00.400
<v James Lovelock>everywhere in the world, every ounce of coal,

539
00:39:00.540 --> 00:39:04.480
<v James Lovelock>every cc of petrol was not to be burned.

540
00:39:04.600 --> 00:39:06.380
<v James Lovelock>It was a hanging matter if you burned it.

541
00:39:06.600 --> 00:39:08.020
<v James Lovelock>What do you suppose would happen?

542
00:39:08.420 --> 00:39:09.660
<v James Lovelock>It wouldn't get cooler.

543
00:39:09.840 --> 00:39:11.300
<v James Lovelock>It wouldn't stay the same.

544
00:39:11.460 --> 00:39:13.340
<v James Lovelock>It would rapidly get hotter.

545
00:39:13.700 --> 00:39:16.800
<v James Lovelock>And because of that haze I mentioned some time ago,

546
00:39:16.960 --> 00:39:20.500
<v James Lovelock>that haze only lasts in the atmosphere about two months.

547
00:39:20.520 --> 00:39:21.020
<v James Lovelock>But it's not going to last.

548
00:39:21.040 --> 00:39:24.380
<v James Lovelock>Turn off all combustion and there's no source for it.

549
00:39:24.480 --> 00:39:25.740
<v James Lovelock>So it falls out.

550
00:39:25.940 --> 00:39:29.620
<v James Lovelock>And then the full force of the greenhouse heat comes on.

551
00:39:30.260 --> 00:39:32.740
<v James Lovelock>It's not just that much hotter,

552
00:39:32.880 --> 00:39:34.600
<v James Lovelock>because when it gets hotter,

553
00:39:34.680 --> 00:39:38.040
<v James Lovelock>the Earth itself will start to pour forth carbon dioxide

554
00:39:38.040 --> 00:39:41.220
<v James Lovelock>instead of taking it in as it's doing now.

555
00:39:41.440 --> 00:39:42.260
<v James Lovelock>The reason?

556
00:39:42.380 --> 00:39:46.120
<v James Lovelock>Because natural ecosystems will go to scrub and desert.

557
00:39:46.360 --> 00:39:49.860
<v James Lovelock>And they'll no longer be doing their job of regulating climate.

558
00:39:49.860 --> 00:39:52.600
<v James Lovelock>So things will get much worse.

559
00:39:52.760 --> 00:39:56.060
<v James Lovelock>And any halfway point, like Kyoto, is no better.

560
00:39:56.200 --> 00:39:59.260
<v James Lovelock>It just delays the end result.

561
00:39:59.860 --> 00:40:01.440
<v James Lovelock>So what can we do?

562
00:40:02.060 --> 00:40:03.360
<v James Lovelock>Well, the only thing I...

563
00:40:03.360 --> 00:40:04.860
<v James Lovelock>There's two things we can do.

564
00:40:05.020 --> 00:40:07.880
<v James Lovelock>And the Americans will be the first to do this, I think.

565
00:40:08.080 --> 00:40:12.600
<v James Lovelock>One is a temporary cure by putting up sunshades in space,

566
00:40:13.960 --> 00:40:15.080
<v James Lovelock>stopping sunshine.

567
00:40:15.340 --> 00:40:19.020
<v James Lovelock>The other one, which is equally good and probably easier,

568
00:40:19.020 --> 00:40:21.780
<v James Lovelock>is to get the airlines to put an aerosol,

569
00:40:21.840 --> 00:40:25.580
<v James Lovelock>to find particles in the stratosphere as they go about their flights.

570
00:40:25.820 --> 00:40:27.180
<v James Lovelock>That's not a bad idea.

571
00:40:27.660 --> 00:40:30.420
<v Phillip Adams>This is to add to global dimming, in effect.

572
00:40:30.620 --> 00:40:31.600
<v James Lovelock>Global dimming, that's right.

573
00:40:32.600 --> 00:40:35.700
<v James Lovelock>Pinatubo volcano did it in 1991.

574
00:40:36.060 --> 00:40:38.700
<v James Lovelock>And there's three years relief from global warming.

575
00:40:38.920 --> 00:40:42.780
<v James Lovelock>And so we know how much stuff to put up there to do it.

576
00:40:42.880 --> 00:40:45.780
<v James Lovelock>And it's quite feasible for airlines to do it.

577
00:40:45.960 --> 00:40:47.900
<v James Lovelock>So that's a possibility.

578
00:40:47.900 --> 00:40:49.340
<v James Lovelock>And the one I think will follow.

579
00:40:49.540 --> 00:40:52.060
<v James Lovelock>But it won't work as a long-term cure.

580
00:40:52.300 --> 00:40:55.640
<v James Lovelock>It's a bit like going on dialysis when your kidneys fail.

581
00:40:55.900 --> 00:40:59.520
<v James Lovelock>Nobody would refuse dialysis because death's the alternative.

582
00:40:59.940 --> 00:41:02.380
<v James Lovelock>But you don't expect it to be a long-term cure.

583
00:41:02.900 --> 00:41:08.780
<v James Lovelock>So we need something more drastic if we're going to help the Earth to cure itself.

584
00:41:10.400 --> 00:41:15.100
<v James Lovelock>Always regard as foolish pride the idea that we can save it.

585
00:41:16.060 --> 00:41:17.880
<v James Lovelock>It's got to be the planet's own.

586
00:41:17.880 --> 00:41:18.420
<v James Lovelock>It's saving itself.

587
00:41:19.080 --> 00:41:25.460
<v James Lovelock>And the only way we can do that is by taking its largest ecosystem, which is the ocean,

588
00:41:25.800 --> 00:41:28.660
<v James Lovelock>its 70% of the Earth's surface,

589
00:41:28.960 --> 00:41:34.020
<v James Lovelock>and turning it from its current positive feedback on climate,

590
00:41:34.180 --> 00:41:38.180
<v James Lovelock>that's to say the hotter it gets, the hotter it gets, a vicious circle,

591
00:41:38.460 --> 00:41:44.440
<v James Lovelock>turning it back to its normal regulatory mode of opposing climate change

592
00:41:44.440 --> 00:41:46.460
<v James Lovelock>and helping to cool the planet.

593
00:41:46.460 --> 00:41:48.040
<v James Lovelock>How can we do it?

594
00:41:48.320 --> 00:41:54.140
<v James Lovelock>Well, the reason it's in a bad state and unhealthy is that as the Earth warms,

595
00:41:54.140 --> 00:42:01.080
<v James Lovelock>the top layer of water grows so warm that it's stable and floats above the cooler waters below.

596
00:42:01.400 --> 00:42:03.920
<v James Lovelock>And the cooler waters below are full of nutrients.

597
00:42:04.060 --> 00:42:10.780
<v James Lovelock>But that top layer, all the nutrients are used up by the algae in it so that it becomes a desert.

598
00:42:11.020 --> 00:42:15.620
<v James Lovelock>And that's why the top layer of the sea is so clear and blue nowadays.

599
00:42:15.620 --> 00:42:18.960
<v James Lovelock>You think it looks beautiful, but it isn't.

600
00:42:18.980 --> 00:42:20.440
<v James Lovelock>It's just an ocean desert.

601
00:42:20.920 --> 00:42:25.680
<v James Lovelock>Now, if we can get the water from below up into the top layer and mix in,

602
00:42:25.860 --> 00:42:31.640
<v James Lovelock>then the algae will grow again and do their job of helping us cool the planet.

603
00:42:31.920 --> 00:42:33.600
<v James Lovelock>It will be a monstrous operation.

604
00:42:33.940 --> 00:42:39.740
<v James Lovelock>You'll need vast numbers of pipes, about 100 meters long and 10 meters in diameter,

605
00:42:39.980 --> 00:42:42.080
<v James Lovelock>with a flat valve at the bottom.

606
00:42:42.340 --> 00:42:44.360
<v James Lovelock>And what they would do would,

607
00:42:44.520 --> 00:42:45.600
<v James Lovelock>as the waves of the ocean flow,

608
00:42:45.620 --> 00:42:46.500
<v James Lovelock>the waves go over.

609
00:42:46.900 --> 00:42:48.840
<v James Lovelock>Every time a wave goes over,

610
00:42:49.620 --> 00:42:53.360
<v James Lovelock>cool water from below will be pumped up and mix in with the top layer.

611
00:42:53.600 --> 00:42:56.560
<v James Lovelock>And hopefully that will do the job.

612
00:42:56.820 --> 00:42:58.500
<v James Lovelock>But as I say, it's visionary.

613
00:42:58.760 --> 00:43:00.780
<v James Lovelock>And I think of it and mention it,

614
00:43:00.920 --> 00:43:05.020
<v James Lovelock>not so much because I feel confident it will work.

615
00:43:05.100 --> 00:43:05.940
<v James Lovelock>I don't.

616
00:43:06.080 --> 00:43:10.180
<v James Lovelock>But it will stimulate someone to think of a better idea.

617
00:43:10.800 --> 00:43:12.700
<v James Lovelock>But based on this principle,

618
00:43:12.940 --> 00:43:15.360
<v James Lovelock>help the Earth to save itself.

619
00:43:16.460 --> 00:43:20.120
<v Phillip Adams>James, one of the other guests here at the Festival of Ideas,

620
00:43:20.180 --> 00:43:21.120
<v Phillip Adams>Rabbi John Levy,

621
00:43:21.220 --> 00:43:24.780
<v Phillip Adams>is being chased around the Festival by a Holocaust denier

622
00:43:24.780 --> 00:43:28.680
<v Phillip Adams>who stands up and makes an impassioned statement

623
00:43:28.680 --> 00:43:31.920
<v Phillip Adams>every time the poor rabbi gets to the lectern.

624
00:43:32.600 --> 00:43:37.500
<v Phillip Adams>You have not been attacked by climate change deniers here,

625
00:43:37.560 --> 00:43:39.440
<v Phillip Adams>but as you know, there's still a lot of them.

626
00:43:39.520 --> 00:43:42.620
<v Phillip Adams>And some of them claim to be scientists.

627
00:43:42.860 --> 00:43:45.000
<v Phillip Adams>How do you deal with them?

628
00:43:45.000 --> 00:43:46.540
<v Phillip Adams>What do you say to them?

629
00:43:46.940 --> 00:43:48.820
<v James Lovelock>Well, I'm very cross with them.

630
00:43:48.940 --> 00:43:52.480
<v James Lovelock>They represent the most tiny minority of scientists,

631
00:43:52.580 --> 00:43:56.200
<v James Lovelock>just as the Holocaust deniers represent a tiny minority

632
00:43:57.000 --> 00:43:58.740
<v James Lovelock>of ordinary folk around.

633
00:43:59.200 --> 00:44:02.300
<v James Lovelock>And they're given enormous prominence,

634
00:44:03.000 --> 00:44:06.520
<v James Lovelock>mainly, I think, by what you might call vested interests.

635
00:44:07.080 --> 00:44:10.640
<v James Lovelock>It's very natural for large oil and coal companies

636
00:44:10.640 --> 00:44:14.600
<v James Lovelock>not to want to hear too much about climate change.

637
00:44:14.600 --> 00:44:18.060
<v James Lovelock>Because it's bound to affect their profits and their industry.

638
00:44:18.280 --> 00:44:20.260
<v James Lovelock>And they naturally react.

639
00:44:20.720 --> 00:44:25.940
<v James Lovelock>And I suspect that many of the strong climate deniers

640
00:44:25.940 --> 00:44:28.860
<v James Lovelock>are not speaking purely for themselves.

641
00:44:30.000 --> 00:44:32.960
<v James Lovelock>There's bound to be one or two genuine souls

642
00:44:32.960 --> 00:44:34.500
<v James Lovelock>who really believe.

643
00:44:34.620 --> 00:44:38.040
<v James Lovelock>I think Dr. Lindson of MIT is one such

644
00:44:38.040 --> 00:44:40.840
<v James Lovelock>who believes there are alternate theories.

645
00:44:41.160 --> 00:44:44.460
<v James Lovelock>But as a scientist, the evidence is so contrary.

646
00:44:44.600 --> 00:44:48.120
<v James Lovelock>That it's quite absurd to hang on to them.

647
00:44:48.320 --> 00:44:50.460
<v James Lovelock>In science, it isn't a debate.

648
00:44:50.560 --> 00:44:52.100
<v James Lovelock>It's not like human affairs.

649
00:44:52.460 --> 00:44:54.860
<v James Lovelock>The final arbitrary is always nature itself.

650
00:44:55.260 --> 00:44:57.800
<v James Lovelock>And that always tells you who is right or wrong.

651
00:44:58.540 --> 00:45:00.980
<v James Lovelock>It's not a matter of debate between people.

652
00:45:01.260 --> 00:45:05.140
<v James Lovelock>So I don't think we have to take climate deniers very seriously.

653
00:45:06.580 --> 00:45:11.780
<v Phillip Adams>James, you still work every day in your little laboratory, don't you?

654
00:45:12.140 --> 00:45:14.060
<v James Lovelock>Well, nowadays I get...

655
00:45:14.600 --> 00:45:17.200
<v James Lovelock>I spend most of the year coming to things like this.

656
00:45:18.140 --> 00:45:20.160
<v James Lovelock>But you wanted to come, James.

657
00:45:20.340 --> 00:45:23.460
<v James Lovelock>I know, because you were so persuasive, Philip.

658
00:45:23.720 --> 00:45:28.160
<v James Lovelock>But no, I get far too little time to work.

659
00:45:28.380 --> 00:45:31.820
<v James Lovelock>But we are going to write another book shortly

660
00:45:31.820 --> 00:45:37.000
<v James Lovelock>and try and put down the things we've discussed today.

661
00:45:37.160 --> 00:45:38.620
<v James Lovelock>How maybe to treat it.

662
00:45:38.820 --> 00:45:42.420
<v Phillip Adams>Your curiosity is by no means diminished

663
00:45:42.420 --> 00:45:44.040
<v Phillip Adams>with the passing of time, isn't it?

664
00:45:44.600 --> 00:45:44.700
<v James Lovelock>No.

665
00:45:44.840 --> 00:45:46.260
<v James Lovelock>If you don't keep an interest

666
00:45:46.260 --> 00:45:48.400
<v James Lovelock>and have something to look forward to,

667
00:45:48.580 --> 00:45:51.500
<v James Lovelock>well, I mean, I think your body decides to turn off.

668
00:45:53.360 --> 00:45:57.480
<v Phillip Adams>What projects are you working on at the moment, may I ask?

669
00:45:57.700 --> 00:45:59.440
<v James Lovelock>Well, these pipes that I mentioned.

670
00:45:59.760 --> 00:46:00.320
<v James Lovelock>That's one.

671
00:46:00.540 --> 00:46:05.440
<v Phillip Adams>But you're always juggling projects like Chinese jug that does plates.

672
00:46:06.060 --> 00:46:08.380
<v James Lovelock>That's a big enough one to keep anybody busy.

673
00:46:09.760 --> 00:46:11.560
<v Phillip Adams>And you've enjoyed coming to Adelaide?

674
00:46:11.620 --> 00:46:13.900
<v Phillip Adams>I think you wanted to say something about that.

675
00:46:13.900 --> 00:46:18.740
<v James Lovelock>Oh, well, I'm so grateful to you for inviting me here.

676
00:46:18.880 --> 00:46:23.140
<v James Lovelock>It was such a rare thing to have an invitation in a radio,

677
00:46:23.300 --> 00:46:24.700
<v James Lovelock>live radio programme.

678
00:46:25.040 --> 00:46:26.500
<v James Lovelock>I've never happened before.

679
00:46:26.560 --> 00:46:29.580
<v Phillip Adams>I did so on instructions, you see.

680
00:46:29.960 --> 00:46:30.460
<v Phillip Adams>Well, maybe.

681
00:46:30.740 --> 00:46:39.220
<v James Lovelock>But I'm very grateful to the committee of the festival for inviting me.

682
00:46:39.380 --> 00:46:41.140
<v James Lovelock>It's been a wonderful experience.

683
00:46:41.140 --> 00:46:47.540
<v James Lovelock>And both Sandy and I, my wife, have really been treated royally here.

684
00:46:47.860 --> 00:46:49.440
<v Phillip Adams>Well, we're very glad you came.

685
00:46:49.660 --> 00:46:51.580
<v Phillip Adams>Thank you for lending him to us, Sandy.

686
00:46:52.180 --> 00:46:55.900
<v Phillip Adams>Ladies and gentlemen, an extraordinary fellow, James Ludlow.

687
00:47:16.640 --> 00:47:20.060
<v Phillip Adams>Well, you may be a controversial old bugger, but they still like you.

688
00:47:20.700 --> 00:47:25.180
<v Phillip Adams>Ladies and gentlemen, he will be signing books next door.

689
00:47:25.580 --> 00:47:31.500
<v Phillip Adams>And so he's got to have went his way to there to flog a few thousand more copies.

690
00:47:33.740 --> 00:47:34.220
<v Phillip Adams>Sorry?

691
00:47:35.340 --> 00:47:36.880
<v Phillip Adams>We need five more minutes.

692
00:47:37.140 --> 00:47:37.980
<v Phillip Adams>Dear, oh, dear.

693
00:47:38.140 --> 00:47:39.880
<v Phillip Adams>Ladies and gentlemen, don't rush out.

694
00:47:39.880 --> 00:47:42.180
<v Phillip Adams>My producer says I've come out short.

695
00:47:42.580 --> 00:47:46.360
<v Phillip Adams>So we're going to have to do another bit.

696
00:47:46.760 --> 00:47:48.040
<v Phillip Adams>OK, that's fine.

697
00:47:48.160 --> 00:47:49.880
<v Phillip Adams>There's lots of bits here I wanted to talk about.

698
00:47:50.120 --> 00:47:50.560
<v Phillip Adams>OK.

699
00:47:52.480 --> 00:47:58.240
<v Phillip Adams>James, you have been showered in accolades and prizes and honours.

700
00:47:58.320 --> 00:48:04.040
<v Phillip Adams>You've had, you know, the house must be impossible to move around with all the statuettes

701
00:48:04.040 --> 00:48:06.900
<v Phillip Adams>and Sandy must dust them constantly.

702
00:48:07.180 --> 00:48:09.860
<v Phillip Adams>I believe Her Majesty gave you away.

703
00:48:09.880 --> 00:48:10.220
<v Phillip Adams>I think I got the last one recently.

704
00:48:11.300 --> 00:48:14.760
<v James Lovelock>Yes, that was the Companion of Honour Award.

705
00:48:15.080 --> 00:48:19.240
<v James Lovelock>Yes, that was very pleasant because you get ten minutes talking with her.

706
00:48:19.580 --> 00:48:20.820
<v James Lovelock>Do you now?

707
00:48:20.860 --> 00:48:21.280
<v James Lovelock>Yes.

708
00:48:21.280 --> 00:48:21.900
<v James Lovelock>Do you now?

709
00:48:22.780 --> 00:48:24.640
<v James Lovelock>And she's a remarkable lady.

710
00:48:25.040 --> 00:48:30.980
<v James Lovelock>I can't, unfortunately, from protocol, say, tell you the nature of our conversation.

711
00:48:31.320 --> 00:48:33.020
<v James Lovelock>Oh, there's only a couple of us here, James.

712
00:48:34.640 --> 00:48:37.400
<v James Lovelock>But let me say, she was not in disagreement.

713
00:48:38.360 --> 00:48:38.920
<v Phillip Adams>I'm not in disagreement.

714
00:48:39.300 --> 00:48:39.860
<v Phillip Adams>I'm not in disagreement.

715
00:48:39.860 --> 00:48:40.780
<v Phillip Adams>Really?

716
00:48:42.880 --> 00:48:44.420
<v James Lovelock>About a lot of things.

717
00:48:44.600 --> 00:48:44.840
<v Phillip Adams>Yeah.

718
00:48:45.960 --> 00:48:47.820
<v Phillip Adams>How do you react to honours?

719
00:48:47.820 --> 00:48:49.840
<v Phillip Adams>Do you find them pleasant?

720
00:48:50.440 --> 00:48:51.000
<v Phillip Adams>Embarrassing?

721
00:48:51.000 --> 00:48:51.660
<v Phillip Adams>I think...

722
00:48:51.660 --> 00:48:52.560
<v Phillip Adams>Surplus to requirements?

723
00:48:53.040 --> 00:48:53.420
<v James Lovelock>No.

724
00:48:53.580 --> 00:48:54.160
<v James Lovelock>I think it's...

725
00:48:54.160 --> 00:48:56.580
<v James Lovelock>I'm very much a monarchist.

726
00:48:56.880 --> 00:49:04.360
<v James Lovelock>I think it's a very good idea really because the alternatives having some politician in

727
00:49:04.360 --> 00:49:08.760
<v James Lovelock>charge is almost odious when you think of it.

728
00:49:09.860 --> 00:49:11.700
<v James Lovelock>I don't think that's fair, James.

729
00:49:11.860 --> 00:49:13.540
<v James Lovelock>There are rare exceptions.

730
00:49:14.460 --> 00:49:17.660
<v Phillip Adams>We could be fortunate enough to have a President Bush.

731
00:49:17.700 --> 00:49:18.400
<v Phillip Adams>I can't say.

732
00:49:20.560 --> 00:49:24.560
<v James Lovelock>Well, no, I think a monarchy is an excellent idea.

733
00:49:24.900 --> 00:49:29.840
<v James Lovelock>And the constitutional monarchy, in most countries it still exists,

734
00:49:29.900 --> 00:49:35.420
<v James Lovelock>has grown up as a very comfortable institution for the nation.

735
00:49:35.420 --> 00:49:41.060
<v James Lovelock>And it always means that some bastard can't get to the top.

736
00:49:42.080 --> 00:49:44.360
<v James Lovelock>The place is already taken.

737
00:49:44.600 --> 00:49:45.960
<v James Lovelock>And this is wonderful.

738
00:49:46.440 --> 00:49:51.320
<v James Lovelock>So I think any honours that they just spread around, well, why not?

739
00:49:53.900 --> 00:49:57.580
<v Phillip Adams>The gong you've just got, is that equivalent to a knighthood?

740
00:49:57.960 --> 00:49:59.500
<v James Lovelock>No, it's above it, actually.

741
00:49:59.640 --> 00:50:00.680
<v James Lovelock>It's above a knighthood.

742
00:50:02.640 --> 00:50:04.780
<v James Lovelock>I'm glad they didn't give me a knighthood,

743
00:50:04.780 --> 00:50:05.400
<v James Lovelock>because a knighthood...

744
00:50:05.420 --> 00:50:06.940
<v James Lovelock>A knighthood's for a leader of men,

745
00:50:08.200 --> 00:50:11.400
<v James Lovelock>some distinguished person who's built up an organisation

746
00:50:11.400 --> 00:50:13.400
<v James Lovelock>or done something really good.

747
00:50:13.520 --> 00:50:16.720
<v James Lovelock>Nowadays they're often sports figures, but it's just the same.

748
00:50:16.840 --> 00:50:19.940
<v James Lovelock>It's somebody who's leading a team or something,

749
00:50:20.120 --> 00:50:23.600
<v James Lovelock>whereas companion of honour is for an oddball like me,

750
00:50:23.680 --> 00:50:27.280
<v James Lovelock>somebody who's worked on their own and achieved things.

751
00:50:27.560 --> 00:50:28.920
<v James Lovelock>And that's a nice distinction.

752
00:50:29.740 --> 00:50:35.120
<v Phillip Adams>James, it's not enough to convert me to becoming a monarchist,

753
00:50:35.120 --> 00:50:35.380
<v Phillip Adams>but...

754
00:50:35.420 --> 00:50:40.460
<v Phillip Adams>Let us briefly examine the appalling performance of Bush on science.

755
00:50:40.680 --> 00:50:41.440
<v Phillip Adams>We've done quite a lot of...

756
00:50:41.440 --> 00:50:42.300
<v James Lovelock>Well, he's not a monarch.

757
00:50:42.560 --> 00:50:45.860
<v Phillip Adams>No, no, but he behaves like an absolute monarch,

758
00:50:45.940 --> 00:50:49.860
<v Phillip Adams>and he's certainly terribly opposed to most scientific activities.

759
00:50:49.920 --> 00:50:53.700
<v Phillip Adams>His line on, say, stem cell research has been abysmal.

760
00:50:53.800 --> 00:50:57.540
<v Phillip Adams>His denial of climate change, of course, notorious.

761
00:50:59.240 --> 00:51:00.140
<v James Lovelock>Oh, well.

762
00:51:01.520 --> 00:51:02.580
<v James Lovelock>But he won't...

763
00:51:02.580 --> 00:51:05.100
<v James Lovelock>Fortunately, under the American Constitution,

764
00:51:05.420 --> 00:51:07.160
<v James Lovelock>he won't be there very much longer.

765
00:51:07.300 --> 00:51:09.020
<v James Lovelock>You have a chance of a change.

766
00:51:09.420 --> 00:51:09.920
<v Phillip Adams>Yes.

767
00:51:10.100 --> 00:51:12.200
<v Phillip Adams>So you're calm about that?

768
00:51:12.560 --> 00:51:13.180
<v James Lovelock>I'm calm.

769
00:51:13.300 --> 00:51:14.480
<v Phillip Adams>Have you talked to Gore?

770
00:51:14.720 --> 00:51:17.900
<v Phillip Adams>Have you had social intercourse with Big Al?

771
00:51:18.680 --> 00:51:19.840
<v James Lovelock>Sorry, which one?

772
00:51:20.060 --> 00:51:20.500
<v Phillip Adams>Al Gore.

773
00:51:21.220 --> 00:51:22.700
<v James Lovelock>Strangely, no, I haven't.

774
00:51:23.780 --> 00:51:25.340
<v James Lovelock>Just by accident.

775
00:51:27.480 --> 00:51:28.460
<v James Lovelock>What's his name?

776
00:51:28.560 --> 00:51:34.020
<v James Lovelock>Sir Richard Branson had this wonderful idea of offering a prize of $25 million

777
00:51:34.020 --> 00:51:35.400
<v James Lovelock>to a British government.

778
00:51:35.400 --> 00:51:39.800
<v James Lovelock>I don't know anybody who can come up with a really realistic solution to climate change.

779
00:51:40.160 --> 00:51:44.040
<v James Lovelock>He was very wise, because he cut me out of it with my pipe

780
00:51:44.040 --> 00:51:46.840
<v James Lovelock>by making me a judge on the panel.

781
00:51:55.100 --> 00:51:57.220
<v James Lovelock>Now, a fellow judge is Al Gore,

782
00:51:57.460 --> 00:52:00.500
<v James Lovelock>and another one is your Tim Flannery,

783
00:52:00.680 --> 00:52:05.300
<v James Lovelock>who I think has done so much to alert the world to the dangers coming.

784
00:52:05.400 --> 00:52:07.320
<v Phillip Adams>You'll be seeing Tim when you go to Sydney.

785
00:52:07.320 --> 00:52:08.320
<v James Lovelock>That's right, yes.

786
00:52:09.100 --> 00:52:13.040
<v James Lovelock>So that's why I haven't yet seen Al Gore, but I'm bound to.

787
00:52:14.740 --> 00:52:19.840
<v Phillip Adams>I hope that he'll be a late entrant in the presidential race.

788
00:52:19.900 --> 00:52:21.760
<v Phillip Adams>There's still a very strong suspicion.

789
00:52:22.280 --> 00:52:26.440
<v James Lovelock>Well, I think there's no doubt that he will have the right attitude on climate change.

790
00:52:26.540 --> 00:52:26.900
<v Phillip Adams>Yes.

791
00:52:27.520 --> 00:52:28.980
<v Phillip Adams>James, thank you.

792
00:52:29.360 --> 00:52:30.300
<v James Lovelock>Thank you, Philip.

793
00:52:30.600 --> 00:52:31.360
<v James Lovelock>Thank you.

794
00:52:39.880 --> 00:52:40.960
<v James Lovelock>Thank you.

