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<v Wilson da Silva>Without further ado, let's let Greg Bourne take the stage.

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<v Wilson da Silva>Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome Greg Bourne.

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<v Greg Bourne>Thanks, Winston. That was probably the most showy welcome to an election that I've ever had, to be quite honest.

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<v Greg Bourne>Great, so thanks very much. And do use my chair and relax.

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<v Greg Bourne>Okay, ladies and gentlemen, I'm delighted to be here in Adelaide to talk at this Festival of Ideas.

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<v Greg Bourne>I've been to a few other writers' festivals, but never actually spoken at one, so this is going to be fun.

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<v Greg Bourne>The title of the talk is Society and Environment, a Focus on the Future.

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<v Greg Bourne>And when I was given that title, it also had a question mark at the end of it.

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<v Greg Bourne>And I believe that what we could have done is we could have just put an exclamation mark at the end,

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<v Greg Bourne>and that would have been the answer, Focus on the Future.

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<v Greg Bourne>We could all then just go on to lunch, and that would have been quite nice.

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<v Greg Bourne>But anyway, I decided that I'd actually talk a bit longer, so for 27 minutes.

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<v Greg Bourne>And I'm going to cover a number of topics.

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<v Greg Bourne>They are the state of the planet, language and sustainability, an idea whose idea, I believe, has come,

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<v Greg Bourne>economics and society, social change, and then finally a little bit about climate change and a concerned society.

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<v Greg Bourne>But let me start with the state of the planet.

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<v Greg Bourne>Well, first, WWF's mission is to stop the degradation of the planet

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<v Greg Bourne>and to find ways in which,

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<v Greg Bourne>man can live in harmony with nature.

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<v Greg Bourne>So, when I looked at the Millennium Assessment Report, which came out in March this year,

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<v Greg Bourne>and looked at the state of the planet, you think,

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<v Greg Bourne>oh, God, we're not doing very well.

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<v Greg Bourne>In fact, it's not just WWF that's not doing very well, it's all of us, all six billion of us.

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<v Greg Bourne>The Millennium Development Assessment Goals, sorry, the Millennium Development Goals

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<v Greg Bourne>were endorsed in September of 2000.

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<v Greg Bourne>And it's at the United Nations.

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<v Greg Bourne>They set these eight goals.

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<v Greg Bourne>They set the goals of reducing poverty, reducing hunger, child and maternal mortality,

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<v Greg Bourne>ensuring education for all, controlling and managing disease, tackling gender disparity,

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<v Greg Bourne>ensuring sustainable development, and then pursuing global partnerships.

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<v Greg Bourne>And so, between 2001 and now, an assessment was made of the ecology of the planet.

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<v Greg Bourne>Scientists from all over the world, and they have come up with this report.

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<v Greg Bourne>You can download it from the website.

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<v Greg Bourne>There were four main findings.

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<v Greg Bourne>And I'm going to paraphrase.

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<v Greg Bourne>And the first one says, over the past 50 years, humans have changed ecosystems more rapidly

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<v Greg Bourne>and extensively than in any comparable period in human history.

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<v Greg Bourne>The changes have contributed to substantial well-being, but have been at enormous costs.

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<v Greg Bourne>The degradation of the ecosystem services could grow significantly worse in the first half of this century.

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<v Greg Bourne>And, you know, we're not going to be able to do that.

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<v Greg Bourne>We're going to have to be a real barrier to achieving the Millennium Development Goals.

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<v Greg Bourne>And the challenge of reversing the degradation of ecosystems whilst meeting increasing demands for their services

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<v Greg Bourne>involves significant changes in politics, in policy, and practices that are not currently underway.

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<v Greg Bourne>But I'm going to expand more on the first finding, which is over the past 50 years,

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<v Greg Bourne>humans have changed ecosystems more rapidly and extensively than any other time in human history.

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<v Greg Bourne>More land was converted to cropland since 1945 than the whole of the 18th and 19th centuries combined.

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<v Greg Bourne>Approximately 20% of the world's coral reefs have been degraded, and another 20% more are expected to degrade in the next few decades.

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<v Greg Bourne>The amount of water impounded behind dams has quadrupled since 1960, and now there is roughly six times more water behind dams than there is in rivers.

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<v Greg Bourne>Since 1960, flows of nitrogen to the environment have doubled, and flows of phosphorus have tripled.

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<v Greg Bourne>And since 1750, the carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere has increased by 30%.

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<v Greg Bourne>And I'll talk a little bit more about global warming right at the end.

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<v Greg Bourne>And then in bold print at the bottom of this first finding is, humans are fundamentally and to a significant extent irreversibly changing the diversity of life on Earth.

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<v Greg Bourne>And most of these changes represent a loss of biodiversity.

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<v Greg Bourne>So what's to be done? The theme of this conference.

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<v Greg Bourne>Well, we first must focus on the future.

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<v Greg Bourne>But what I want to do now is talk a little bit about a slow and sure cultural shift towards sustainability that I think is going on.

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<v Greg Bourne>And I'm going to talk about language.

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<v Greg Bourne>Some time ago, I became interested in language and how it shapes the way we are in our relationship with society.

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<v Greg Bourne>And it was George Bernard Shaw who said,

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<v Greg Bourne>The Americans and English were two people divided by a common language.

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<v Greg Bourne>It's a bit frightening.

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<v Greg Bourne>And so language to me has become very important.

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<v Greg Bourne>When I was in BP, people used to say, you know, how do they understand the language that goes on in head office?

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<v Greg Bourne>And I said, you have to learn to read between the lines, even when there's only one line.

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<v Greg Bourne>And, but the key thing is, there are some real subtleties and nuances in language,

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<v Greg Bourne>which I will bring out in a minute.

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<v Greg Bourne>We've all had this experience of talking at cross purposes with each other.

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<v Greg Bourne>And some people we just don't seem to be able to communicate with at all.

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<v Greg Bourne>And so when we're looking at this world of sustainability where we're holistically trying to think about the environment,

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<v Greg Bourne>society and economics at the same time, it's no wonder we actually sort of trip up and fall over ourselves.

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<v Greg Bourne>So I want you to imagine for a moment three different people.

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<v Greg Bourne>Firstly, the businessman.

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<v Greg Bourne>Who did a degree in economics and marketing, founded his own company, took over a few on his way forward to making a lot of cash.

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<v Greg Bourne>And he is really on a big growth trajectory.

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<v Greg Bourne>You take another person in the same room and he's a bearded ecologist.

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<v Greg Bourne>He has many a company scalp under his belt, lived in the forests.

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<v Greg Bourne>You know, completely different person from the first.

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<v Greg Bourne>And then think of the person who is a social worker who maybe studied psychology and has walked in some of the shadowy parts of our cities.

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<v Greg Bourne>You put these three people in the room and you ask do they have a common language.

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<v Greg Bourne>Well, I think the answer is no.

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<v Greg Bourne>Not in the sense that I mean.

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<v Greg Bourne>They don't understand the nuances that each is talking about.

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<v Greg Bourne>They don't understand the worlds that they're coming from.

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<v Greg Bourne>And yet they're trying to talk about something which may be rather important.

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<v Greg Bourne>And that's sustainability.

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<v Greg Bourne>I'm a fan of Richard Rorty who is a contemporary American philosopher.

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<v Greg Bourne>And in his book, Contingency, Irony and Solidarity, he talks about the contingency of language.

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<v Greg Bourne>And how the development of new words and their common usage leads to societal change.

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<v Greg Bourne>He says, Europe did not decide to accept the idiom of romantic poetry or socialist politics or Galilean mechanics.

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<v Greg Bourne>That sort of shift was no more an act of will than it was a result of argument.

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<v Greg Bourne>Europe gradually lost the habit of using certain words and gradually acquired the habit of using others.

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<v Greg Bourne>And Rorty argues that changing languages and vocabularies are really powerful indicators of social change.

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<v Greg Bourne>And he says, changing languages and other social practices may produce human beings of a sort that have never before existed.

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<v Greg Bourne>That's really powerful.

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<v Greg Bourne>Human beings of a sort that have never before existed.

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<v Greg Bourne>And yet, I believe that's what we are actually going to have to do.

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<v Greg Bourne>And it's a shift that we're heading into.

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<v Greg Bourne>We need to turn no further than the word environmentalist to see what I mean about changing languages.

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<v Greg Bourne>For about a hundred years, it meant one who believes in the primary influence of the environment on the development of a personal group.

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<v Greg Bourne>As opposed to, and hereditists.

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<v Greg Bourne>So it was sort of the nature versus nurture debate.

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<v Greg Bourne>And it wasn't until the early 1970s that the word is used to describe a person who believes in protecting the environment.

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<v Greg Bourne>And I do remember at university when sort of the word environmentalist was just beginning to come in.

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<v Greg Bourne>So it's a new word.

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<v Greg Bourne>But with any bringing in of new ideas, there's always a backlash.

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<v Greg Bourne>And the backlash is also in language.

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<v Greg Bourne>So,

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<v Greg Bourne>this usually comes in terms of the pejorative adjective.

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<v Greg Bourne>So, we know about environmentalists, but we also know about tree-hugging environmentalists.

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<v Greg Bourne>And when you look at the pejorative adjective for people who are working in the social field,

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<v Greg Bourne>sort of people who are rather more liberal, they're usually known as bleeding-hearted liberals.

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<v Greg Bourne>And for me, who was a businessman for many, many years, you know, you are normally known as a fat cat capitalist.

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<v Greg Bourne>So, whichever way, you know, as the new word comes in,

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<v Greg Bourne>people react to it.

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<v Greg Bourne>They don't necessarily like it.

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<v Greg Bourne>But I think we're comfortable using the word environmentalist now.

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<v Greg Bourne>It's been around for 30 years and a lot of business people would say that they are environmentalists as well.

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<v Greg Bourne>Sustainability in the way we currently understand it is still more recent.

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<v Greg Bourne>The first occurrence according to the Oxford English Dictionary is in 1980 in the Journal of the Royal Society of the Arts,

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<v Greg Bourne>where they talk about sustainability is the management of both individual wild species,

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<v Greg Bourne>and ecosystems, and it's critical to human welfare.

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<v Greg Bourne>So that's the first time it's used in the way we begin to think about it now.

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<v Greg Bourne>And sustainable development, again in the way we think about it,

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<v Greg Bourne>is best known from its definition of development that meets the needs of the present

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<v Greg Bourne>without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their needs.

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<v Greg Bourne>And that came out in the, from the conference, Our Common Future, by Gro Harlem Brundtland.

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<v Greg Bourne>So that's 1987.

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<v Greg Bourne>The concept of ecological development,

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<v Greg Bourne>ecological sustainability goes back a bit further,

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<v Greg Bourne>and the idea of sustainable development,

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<v Greg Bourne>they're basically in and around the sort of the 80s and 90s.

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<v Greg Bourne>They are new. They are really new concepts to us.

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<v Greg Bourne>As society tries to seek the real definition of sustainability or the truth,

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<v Greg Bourne>for me it's useful to go back to Richard Rorty's book,

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<v Greg Bourne>and he quotes Nietzsche as saying that truth is just a mobile army of metaphors.

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<v Greg Bourne>So it's always changing. A mobile army of metaphors.

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<v Greg Bourne>So as we seek the meaning of sustainability,

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<v Greg Bourne>to me it's therefore something about observations, discourse, actions,

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<v Greg Bourne>actions together and understanding the consequences of those things,

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<v Greg Bourne>beginning to bear witness on change of things that are unsustainable

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<v Greg Bourne>and bear witness on changes that things are sustainable,

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<v Greg Bourne>and then slowly but surely being able to converse with other people

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<v Greg Bourne>and converting them to the idea of sustainability.

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<v Greg Bourne>And sustainability is an important part of sustainability.

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<v Greg Bourne>So we're in the midst of a language and vocabulary change,

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<v Greg Bourne>and in order to understand that language,

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<v Greg Bourne>we really do need to understand people in a different way.

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<v Greg Bourne>I was talking to CSIRO last year,

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<v Greg Bourne>and they had been asking me,

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<v Greg Bourne>how do you communicate the science of ecosystems

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<v Greg Bourne>or the science of biodiversity?

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<v Greg Bourne>And I said, well, one thing you don't do is sort of put on a white coat,

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<v Greg Bourne>stand in front of a television camera,

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<v Greg Bourne>and start talking science.

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<v Greg Bourne>It doesn't work. It just does not work.

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<v Greg Bourne>I don't know what your magazine's like, by the way.

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<v Greg Bourne>But you don't do it with a white coat.

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<v Greg Bourne>And so I was talking to them about, you know,

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<v Greg Bourne>what were all the issues that faced Australia,

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<v Greg Bourne>and I was sort of given books on what the issues were.

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<v Greg Bourne>So I penned a few lines and sort of a little bit of a poem.

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<v Greg Bourne>And it says,

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<v Greg Bourne>Feral pests and imported weeds,

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<v Greg Bourne>rivers stressed and water needs,

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<v Greg Bourne>air quality and health in cities.

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<v Greg Bourne>Global warming and climate change,

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<v Greg Bourne>increased loss of biodiversity range,

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<v Greg Bourne>land degradation and soil salinity,

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<v Greg Bourne>ecosystem breakdown, such a pity.

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<v Greg Bourne>The first letters of those seven lines spell fragile.

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<v Greg Bourne>And the whole idea was to say,

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<v Greg Bourne>look, if you can come out with any way of communicating what is important,

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<v Greg Bourne>it doesn't matter about the science.

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<v Greg Bourne>You know, the science can be behind lots and lots of good fundamental science,

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<v Greg Bourne>but you have to be able to communicate it.

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<v Greg Bourne>And so whether we listen to the words of people like Dorothea McKellar

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<v Greg Bourne>or Tim Flannery or Hugh Mackay

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<v Greg Bourne>or a host of other poets and scientists and commentators,

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<v Greg Bourne>they all talk about the fragility of our land.

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<v Greg Bourne>Communicating the case for change is quite difficult.

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<v Greg Bourne>And the OECD asked this question,

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<v Greg Bourne>how do we make distress in the future relevant to the present?

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<v Greg Bourne>And I actually find that's not a very good question.

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<v Greg Bourne>Mainly because we all put off tomorrow anyway.

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<v Greg Bourne>You know, no one wants to think about this long run problem stuff.

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<v Greg Bourne>And also, you know, if you're bringing bad news all the time,

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<v Greg Bourne>then how do you get people to do anything?

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<v Greg Bourne>There's a sort of collective impotence that goes on

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<v Greg Bourne>if you bring bad news all the time.

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<v Greg Bourne>So to me, a more empowering question is,

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<v Greg Bourne>how do we build a future which is bright and prosperous

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<v Greg Bourne>and which man lives in harmony with nature?

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<v Greg Bourne>That's a much, much more empowering question.

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<v Greg Bourne>And it's these sorts of questions that we ask

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<v Greg Bourne>that actually begin to allow people to change and embrace change

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<v Greg Bourne>and begin to look forward.

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<v Greg Bourne>So what's to be done?

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<v Greg Bourne>Well, again, we've got to focus on the future.

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<v Greg Bourne>But we've also got to wrestle with economics.

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<v Greg Bourne>So we're going to move into economics now

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<v Greg Bourne>and do so because a lot of writers, commentators and thought leaders

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<v Greg Bourne>have talked about the interconnectedness of ideas.

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<v Greg Bourne>Social ideas, environmental ideas, economic ideas.

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<v Greg Bourne>And strange that this group may seem,

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<v Greg Bourne>I'm going to talk about some economists, environmentalists

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<v Greg Bourne>and feminist commentators as well as some social commentators.

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<v Greg Bourne>And the thing they have in common is they alert us to the gaps in our own thinking.

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<v Greg Bourne>And they try and bring about ways to make us think about what's going on

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<v Greg Bourne>as a conjunction rather than a conflict

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<v Greg Bourne>with society.

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<v Greg Bourne>So economists.

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<v Greg Bourne>70 years ago, Arthur Pigou, one of the early economists,

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<v Greg Bourne>identified that social losses caused by business activity

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<v Greg Bourne>cannot readily be brought into relation with the measuring rod of money.

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<v Greg Bourne>And many economists, many, many economists have tried to find out

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<v Greg Bourne>what is the value of a sea otter?

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<v Greg Bourne>What is the value of traffic congestion?

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<v Greg Bourne>And some have even dared try and find out

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<v Greg Bourne>what is the value of a wife?

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<v Greg Bourne>Very, very, very courageous economists.

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<v Greg Bourne>Carl Kapp over 50 years ago,

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<v Greg Bourne>preempting the current resurgence of interconnectedness

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<v Greg Bourne>expressed through concepts such as corporate citizenship,

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<v Greg Bourne>warned,

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<v Greg Bourne>it is reasonable to assume that the social costs of private enterprise

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<v Greg Bourne>are likely to increase in importance and magnitude

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<v Greg Bourne>the more society becomes aware of and learns to appreciate non-monetary values.

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<v Greg Bourne>And I believe society has become aware of this.

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<v Greg Bourne>And I believe we are becoming more and more aware

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<v Greg Bourne>of non-monetary values all the time.

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<v Greg Bourne>Environmentalists.

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<v Greg Bourne>Paul Hawken and Amory Lovins have also stressed the difficulty

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<v Greg Bourne>of putting a monetary value on natural capital,

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<v Greg Bourne>such as ecosystem services, clean air, and so on.

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<v Greg Bourne>But they do recognize that zero is not the right answer.

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<v Greg Bourne>According to Daniel Bell, the prominent sociologist,

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<v Greg Bourne>the economy finds direction not by the price mechanism,

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<v Greg Bourne>but by the value system of culture in which the economy is embedded.

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<v Greg Bourne>So again, this mix of economy and culture,

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<v Greg Bourne>economy and society.

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<v Greg Bourne>And feminist commentators, Ann Summers and Marilyn Waring,

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<v Greg Bourne>both stressed that only those activities assigned a monetary value

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<v Greg Bourne>are currently valued by society as worthwhile.

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<v Greg Bourne>And they cite how often that work relegated to women,

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<v Greg Bourne>such as parenting and housework,

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<v Greg Bourne>has been systematically devalued and undervalued

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<v Greg Bourne>because they don't appear on a balance sheet.

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<v Greg Bourne>Or a profit and loss account.

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<v Greg Bourne>So these thinkers, to me, are all pointing to a world

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<v Greg Bourne>which is connecting in a holistic way,

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<v Greg Bourne>society, the environment, and the economy.

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<v Greg Bourne>To my mind, the paradigm that we're striving for

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<v Greg Bourne>is one which I call sensible development.

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<v Greg Bourne>And the reason I do so is because

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<v Greg Bourne>the two words, sensible and development,

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<v Greg Bourne>are very, very seldom paired,

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<v Greg Bourne>and so it sounds odd to the ear.

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<v Greg Bourne>But there are two things that we really do want.

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<v Greg Bourne>Sensibility and development.

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<v Greg Bourne>And to me, sensible development is one in which

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<v Greg Bourne>any development that activity goes forward

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<v Greg Bourne>creates a surplus in each of the three dimensions,

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<v Greg Bourne>the environment, society, and the economy.

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<v Greg Bourne>So we want social progress,

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<v Greg Bourne>and that's the surplus generated

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<v Greg Bourne>when we practice sensible development.

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<v Greg Bourne>We actually want net environmental benefit

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<v Greg Bourne>out of any development that goes forward.

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<v Greg Bourne>And of course, we do want profit,

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<v Greg Bourne>which is the surplus and the surrogate

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<v Greg Bourne>for economic value added.

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<v Greg Bourne>We want all three.

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<v Greg Bourne>But let's also recognize that when we talk about

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<v Greg Bourne>sustainable development,

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<v Greg Bourne>seldom do decision makers think of it.

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<v Greg Bourne>It's too far off.

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<v Greg Bourne>It's 20 years or 50 years hence.

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<v Greg Bourne>It's something that we will know that we either have done

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<v Greg Bourne>or not done in 50 years' time.

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<v Greg Bourne>It doesn't actually help them and inform them

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<v Greg Bourne>in the day-to-day decision making.

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<v Greg Bourne>So I'd like them to actually start thinking

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<v Greg Bourne>about sensible development.

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<v Greg Bourne>So anything you do has to create a surplus

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<v Greg Bourne>in those three dimensions.

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<v Greg Bourne>Now to do that, we have to do some social change,

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<v Greg Bourne>I believe.

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<v Greg Bourne>And how does it come about?

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<v Greg Bourne>I mentioned earlier that sustainability

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<v Greg Bourne>is a word whose time perhaps has come.

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<v Greg Bourne>And I know that when I came back here in 99,

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<v Greg Bourne>the S word was hardly about.

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<v Greg Bourne>But by now, we do have in South Australia,

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<v Greg Bourne>but Western Australia and Victoria,

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<v Greg Bourne>state sustainability strategies.

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<v Greg Bourne>In New South Wales, there's the Department of Energy,

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<v Greg Bourne>Utility and Sustainability,

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<v Greg Bourne>Victoria Department of Environment and Sustainability.

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<v Greg Bourne>And to my mind, when governments start putting these words

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<v Greg Bourne>in titles of departments, things are moving on.

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<v Greg Bourne>But perhaps it's an idea whose time has come.

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<v Greg Bourne>And many people have heard the quote

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<v Greg Bourne>that nothing is more powerful than an idea whose time has come

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<v Greg Bourne>and quoted as from Victor Hugo.

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<v Greg Bourne>He actually says, and it comes from his book,

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<v Greg Bourne>The History of the Crime,

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<v Greg Bourne>one resists the invasion of armies,

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<v Greg Bourne>but not the invasion of ideas.

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<v Greg Bourne>And in the long run, I'm sure he's right.

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<v Greg Bourne>And I do believe, coming back to Rorty,

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<v Greg Bourne>that changing languages and other social practices

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<v Greg Bourne>may produce human beings of a sort

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<v Greg Bourne>that have never before existed.

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<v Greg Bourne>However, with the invasion of ideas

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<v Greg Bourne>comes an army of the reactionaries.

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<v Greg Bourne>And in all change processes, there are the progressives,

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<v Greg Bourne>the undecided and the reactionaries.

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<v Greg Bourne>And very often, it's the progressives who have something to gain

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<v Greg Bourne>and the reactionaries something to lose.

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<v Greg Bourne>And the middle ground are oblivious of what's going on.

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<v Greg Bourne>They're not even in the conversation.

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<v Greg Bourne>And just as in Britain, the Luddites actually knew

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<v Greg Bourne>that the whole of Britain would benefit from this.

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<v Greg Bourne>They knew from the introduction of weaving technology,

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<v Greg Bourne>but they personally would lose.

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<v Greg Bourne>There are many in this country that know that

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<v Greg Bourne>if we adopt sustainability in a powerful way,

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<v Greg Bourne>they will lose, even though society as a whole

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<v Greg Bourne>and Australia as a whole will gain.

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<v Greg Bourne>So I see three barriers to change.

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<v Greg Bourne>And they are structural, political and behavioural.

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<v Greg Bourne>In the first one, we have to recognise,

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<v Greg Bourne>especially in the world of sort of

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<v Greg Bourne>the current economic paradigm,

335
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<v Greg Bourne>that there are many negative externalities

336
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<v Greg Bourne>that come out of some of our industrial practices

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<v Greg Bourne>and farming practices.

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<v Greg Bourne>But the activity benefits a few

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<v Greg Bourne>and the disbenefit is transferred across the whole of society.

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<v Greg Bourne>So those few people,

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<v Greg Bourne>be they farmers, small business folk, large businesses or industries

342
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<v Greg Bourne>or even communities, react against change

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<v Greg Bourne>because they could perceive loss in value

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<v Greg Bourne>or perhaps loss in jobs.

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<v Greg Bourne>However, we who might profess ourselves as the progressives

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<v Greg Bourne>must also recognise that we too have derived enormous benefit,

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<v Greg Bourne>even if it has been disaggregated benefit,

348
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<v Greg Bourne>from those same businesses, industries and farms.

349
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<v Greg Bourne>We have gained a huge amount from the farming practices

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<v Greg Bourne>of 150 years or 200 years.

351
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<v Greg Bourne>But we as a society reap the disbenefit.

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<v Greg Bourne>Change therefore requires structural and sectoral adjustment

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<v Greg Bourne>and I believe that if we are going to change and move forward,

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<v Greg Bourne>we have to find ways in which those people who perceive

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<v Greg Bourne>that they will lose out of the change,

356
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<v Greg Bourne>we have to find ways in which they can win.

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<v Greg Bourne>We have to facilitate structural adjustment.

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<v Greg Bourne>It's not just a matter of saying stop this and start that.

359
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<v Greg Bourne>You actually have to facilitate change.

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<v Greg Bourne>The second barrier is political

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<v Greg Bourne>and it comes with the nature and type of democracy

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<v Greg Bourne>that we have.

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<v Greg Bourne>The pace of change in society, in our democracy I believe,

364
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<v Greg Bourne>is directly related to the speed at which societal consensus

365
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<v Greg Bourne>is built up.

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<v Greg Bourne>And that in turn depends on the function of the understanding

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<v Greg Bourne>of the issues and how those issues relate to the individual.

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<v Greg Bourne>What does it do to me really is the thing that matters.

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<v Greg Bourne>And then eventually perhaps what is my voting intention

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<v Greg Bourne>depending on those issues.

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<v Greg Bourne>However, unfortunately,

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<v Greg Bourne>I think the rate determining step of societal change

373
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<v Greg Bourne>is often expressed through the marginal seat.

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<v Greg Bourne>Unless there is a clear majority,

375
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<v Greg Bourne>seldom do our political leaders have the determination to lead change.

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<v Greg Bourne>And several times politicians have said to me,

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<v Greg Bourne>convince the public and then I'll have the courage to lead.

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<v Greg Bourne>It's a bit of a worry.

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<v Greg Bourne>Change therefore requires moving the middle ground.

380
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<v Greg Bourne>Those who have not yet decided,

381
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<v Greg Bourne>and those who do not yet understand the issues

382
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<v Greg Bourne>and the importance of them as individuals.

383
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<v Greg Bourne>And therefore again communicating ideas becomes of critical importance.

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<v Greg Bourne>The third barrier I believe to change is behaviour.

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<v Greg Bourne>Now I'm particularly thinking about the temporal dimension

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<v Greg Bourne>and I'm going to stray into Shakespeare

387
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<v Greg Bourne>and read you part of Act 2, Scene 3,

388
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<v Greg Bourne>sorry, Act 2, Scene 5 of Shakespeare's As You Like It.

389
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<v Greg Bourne>All right.

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<v Greg Bourne>All the world's a stage

391
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<v Greg Bourne>and all the men and women merely players.

392
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<v Greg Bourne>They have their exits and their entrances.

393
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<v Greg Bourne>And one man in his time plays many parts,

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<v Greg Bourne>his act being seven ages.

395
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<v Greg Bourne>The first, the infant,

396
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<v Greg Bourne>mewling and puking in his nurse's arms.

397
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<v Greg Bourne>And then the whining schoolboy

398
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<v Greg Bourne>with his satchel and shining morning face

399
00:23:53.240 --> 00:23:55.600
<v Greg Bourne>creeping like snail, unwilling to school.

400
00:23:56.500 --> 00:23:58.640
<v Greg Bourne>And then the lover, sighing like furnace

401
00:23:58.640 --> 00:24:01.060
<v Greg Bourne>with a woeful ballad made to his mistress's brow.

402
00:24:01.060 --> 00:24:04.860
<v Greg Bourne>Then the soldier, full of strange oaths

403
00:24:04.860 --> 00:24:06.000
<v Greg Bourne>and bearded like the pard,

404
00:24:06.140 --> 00:24:08.980
<v Greg Bourne>jealous in honour, sudden and quick in quarrel,

405
00:24:09.080 --> 00:24:12.200
<v Greg Bourne>seeking the bubble reputation even in the cannon's mouth.

406
00:24:13.340 --> 00:24:16.420
<v Greg Bourne>And then the justice in fair round belly

407
00:24:16.420 --> 00:24:18.080
<v Greg Bourne>with good cape onlined,

408
00:24:18.220 --> 00:24:21.200
<v Greg Bourne>with eyes severe and beard of formal cut,

409
00:24:21.260 --> 00:24:23.120
<v Greg Bourne>full of wise saws and modern instances

410
00:24:23.120 --> 00:24:24.760
<v Greg Bourne>and so he plays his part.

411
00:24:25.900 --> 00:24:29.420
<v Greg Bourne>The sixth age shifts into the lean and slippered pantaloon

412
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<v Greg Bourne>with spectacles on the back,

413
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<v Greg Bourne>a little nose and pouch on side.

414
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<v Greg Bourne>His youthful hose well saved

415
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<v Greg Bourne>a well too wide for his shrunk shank

416
00:24:36.760 --> 00:24:40.160
<v Greg Bourne>and his manly voice turning again towards childish treble,

417
00:24:40.400 --> 00:24:42.380
<v Greg Bourne>pipes and whistles in his sound.

418
00:24:42.980 --> 00:24:46.380
<v Greg Bourne>The last scene of all that ends this strange eventful history

419
00:24:46.380 --> 00:24:49.260
<v Greg Bourne>is second childishness and mere oblivion,

420
00:24:49.380 --> 00:24:52.860
<v Greg Bourne>sans teeth, sans eyes, sans taste, sans everything.

421
00:24:53.920 --> 00:24:57.040
<v Greg Bourne>Or as Bill Cosby puts it, much more quickly,

422
00:24:58.580 --> 00:25:00.000
<v Greg Bourne>preschooler, Pepsi generation,

423
00:25:00.000 --> 00:25:03.680
<v Greg Bourne>baby boomer, midlifer, empty nester,

424
00:25:03.840 --> 00:25:06.080
<v Greg Bourne>senior citizen and organ donor.

425
00:25:08.560 --> 00:25:11.760
<v Greg Bourne>So 400 years ago Shakespeare talked about

426
00:25:11.760 --> 00:25:15.340
<v Greg Bourne>the features of mankind entering and exiting life.

427
00:25:16.180 --> 00:25:19.780
<v Greg Bourne>If I had to guess at the time perspectives of those seven ages

428
00:25:19.780 --> 00:25:21.960
<v Greg Bourne>in today's Australian consumer society,

429
00:25:23.000 --> 00:25:23.880
<v Greg Bourne>I'd put it like this.

430
00:25:24.040 --> 00:25:26.880
<v Greg Bourne>The child thinks about as far as his next birthday,

431
00:25:27.020 --> 00:25:28.880
<v Greg Bourne>the adolescent the next party,

432
00:25:28.880 --> 00:25:31.060
<v Greg Bourne>the young adult the next vacation,

433
00:25:31.400 --> 00:25:36.000
<v Greg Bourne>the parent the next home, school term or bill,

434
00:25:36.640 --> 00:25:38.900
<v Greg Bourne>the empty nester the next experience,

435
00:25:39.240 --> 00:25:41.080
<v Greg Bourne>the mature adult the next generation

436
00:25:41.080 --> 00:25:43.020
<v Greg Bourne>and the frail maybe it is the next breath.

437
00:25:44.160 --> 00:25:49.100
<v Greg Bourne>But by and large, we do live in the here and now.

438
00:25:49.220 --> 00:25:51.100
<v Greg Bourne>We really do live in the here and now.

439
00:25:51.460 --> 00:25:53.420
<v Greg Bourne>And we've been doing so for millennia.

440
00:25:53.860 --> 00:25:57.200
<v Greg Bourne>And only a very, very few have either had the fortune

441
00:25:57.200 --> 00:25:58.860
<v Greg Bourne>or foresight or privilege to live in the here and now.

442
00:25:58.880 --> 00:26:02.640
<v Greg Bourne>And to look into the future and then act as stewards

443
00:26:02.640 --> 00:26:05.000
<v Greg Bourne>in the present for those who follow.

444
00:26:05.600 --> 00:26:06.580
<v Greg Bourne>Very, very few.

445
00:26:07.460 --> 00:26:09.080
<v Greg Bourne>In our Western consumer society,

446
00:26:09.300 --> 00:26:10.960
<v Greg Bourne>we're preoccupied with the present.

447
00:26:11.060 --> 00:26:13.480
<v Greg Bourne>We're preoccupied with instant gratification.

448
00:26:13.820 --> 00:26:16.520
<v Greg Bourne>We seem to be working harder and longer.

449
00:26:16.580 --> 00:26:19.100
<v Greg Bourne>We don't seem to have time to stop to smell the roses,

450
00:26:19.220 --> 00:26:20.440
<v Greg Bourne>let alone plant one.

451
00:26:21.560 --> 00:26:23.480
<v Greg Bourne>Most of us are described as time poor.

452
00:26:23.820 --> 00:26:26.460
<v Greg Bourne>And whether that's because we work from 8 till 8,

453
00:26:26.500 --> 00:26:27.700
<v Greg Bourne>as many business folk do,

454
00:26:27.700 --> 00:26:28.720
<v Greg Bourne>or 6 till late,

455
00:26:28.820 --> 00:26:31.800
<v Greg Bourne>as most working mothers and non-working mothers do,

456
00:26:31.940 --> 00:26:34.640
<v Greg Bourne>we don't seem to have time to think about the future,

457
00:26:34.780 --> 00:26:35.820
<v Greg Bourne>let alone steward it.

458
00:26:36.860 --> 00:26:38.400
<v Greg Bourne>For most of us, therefore,

459
00:26:38.700 --> 00:26:41.100
<v Greg Bourne>the here and now is much, much more relevant

460
00:26:41.100 --> 00:26:43.020
<v Greg Bourne>than the when and if.

461
00:26:43.340 --> 00:26:45.960
<v Greg Bourne>And I believe that this is a really significant barrier

462
00:26:46.700 --> 00:26:49.120
<v Greg Bourne>to us adopting the idea of sustainability.

463
00:26:50.920 --> 00:26:52.000
<v Greg Bourne>So what is to be done?

464
00:26:52.160 --> 00:26:53.520
<v Greg Bourne>Well, we have to focus on the future.

465
00:26:53.860 --> 00:26:56.720
<v Greg Bourne>And we now, I believe, however,

466
00:26:56.720 --> 00:26:57.820
<v Greg Bourne>have choices.

467
00:26:58.000 --> 00:27:00.740
<v Greg Bourne>We know so much more about the past

468
00:27:00.740 --> 00:27:04.420
<v Greg Bourne>and have a greater and much more predictive possibilities

469
00:27:04.420 --> 00:27:06.900
<v Greg Bourne>from our science with regard to the future.

470
00:27:08.440 --> 00:27:11.220
<v Greg Bourne>So I want to take you back to the beginnings of the talk again

471
00:27:13.100 --> 00:27:15.660
<v Greg Bourne>and reread finding number one

472
00:27:15.660 --> 00:27:17.200
<v Greg Bourne>of the ecosystem assessment report.

473
00:27:18.300 --> 00:27:19.700
<v Greg Bourne>Over the past 50 years,

474
00:27:19.740 --> 00:27:22.640
<v Greg Bourne>humans have changed ecosystems more rapidly and extensively

475
00:27:22.640 --> 00:27:25.940
<v Greg Bourne>than in any comparable period of time in human history.

476
00:27:26.460 --> 00:27:28.960
<v Greg Bourne>Largely to meet rapidly growing demands for food,

477
00:27:29.100 --> 00:27:31.520
<v Greg Bourne>fresh water, timber, fiber and fuel.

478
00:27:31.920 --> 00:27:35.300
<v Greg Bourne>This has resulted in a substantial and largely irreversible loss

479
00:27:35.300 --> 00:27:37.920
<v Greg Bourne>in the biodiversity of life on Earth.

480
00:27:38.960 --> 00:27:39.940
<v Greg Bourne>So we know this.

481
00:27:40.240 --> 00:27:43.020
<v Greg Bourne>So the question now is what are we going to do about it?

482
00:27:44.040 --> 00:27:47.600
<v Greg Bourne>We need a society that is concerned with the state of the planet

483
00:27:47.600 --> 00:27:49.200
<v Greg Bourne>and concerned enough to act.

484
00:27:49.860 --> 00:27:52.880
<v Greg Bourne>You know, we, all of us, need to know what is our own footprint.

485
00:27:53.640 --> 00:27:55.920
<v Greg Bourne>We need to know, are we proud of the fact that we are

486
00:27:55.940 --> 00:27:56.820
<v Greg Bourne>proud of what we are doing today

487
00:27:56.820 --> 00:27:59.200
<v Greg Bourne>and are we proud of what we are leaving behind?

488
00:28:01.240 --> 00:28:04.800
<v Greg Bourne>Worldwide, I believe, there is a growing movement, unfortunately,

489
00:28:04.960 --> 00:28:06.120
<v Greg Bourne>towards individualism.

490
00:28:06.580 --> 00:28:08.740
<v Greg Bourne>But to achieve sustainable development,

491
00:28:09.280 --> 00:28:10.940
<v Greg Bourne>there is a need to act collectively.

492
00:28:11.180 --> 00:28:14.600
<v Greg Bourne>And the paradox is that we need to act

493
00:28:14.600 --> 00:28:19.260
<v Greg Bourne>and we must act collectively in order to protect individuality.

494
00:28:20.920 --> 00:28:23.460
<v Greg Bourne>Essentially, to make a real difference with environmental protection

495
00:28:23.460 --> 00:28:25.920
<v Greg Bourne>or social progress, individuals need to take a step back

496
00:28:25.940 --> 00:28:28.180
<v Greg Bourne>and take responsibility for the collective.

497
00:28:28.480 --> 00:28:30.940
<v Greg Bourne>We need to have the collective in our value set.

498
00:28:32.420 --> 00:28:36.080
<v Greg Bourne>To change values and attitudes is very difficult.

499
00:28:36.680 --> 00:28:38.380
<v Greg Bourne>The change takes a long time.

500
00:28:38.480 --> 00:28:40.540
<v Greg Bourne>And I believe that we have to be prodded,

501
00:28:40.740 --> 00:28:42.760
<v Greg Bourne>and usually by governments and by regulation,

502
00:28:43.000 --> 00:28:44.120
<v Greg Bourne>but by peers and others,

503
00:28:44.740 --> 00:28:47.620
<v Greg Bourne>into doing things differently each and every day.

504
00:28:47.720 --> 00:28:51.300
<v Greg Bourne>Slowly but surely, those things become natural to us.

505
00:28:51.340 --> 00:28:52.780
<v Greg Bourne>They become habits for us.

506
00:28:52.920 --> 00:28:55.920
<v Greg Bourne>And slowly but surely, they seep into our animals.

507
00:28:55.940 --> 00:28:56.960
<v Greg Bourne>And they become attitudes and value set.

508
00:28:59.040 --> 00:29:00.940
<v Greg Bourne>We need to do this fairly quickly, I believe,

509
00:29:01.100 --> 00:29:04.480
<v Greg Bourne>because the state of which the planet is in is not very good

510
00:29:04.480 --> 00:29:05.660
<v Greg Bourne>and it is going backwards.

511
00:29:05.900 --> 00:29:09.900
<v Greg Bourne>And with climate change coming along, accelerating those changes,

512
00:29:10.440 --> 00:29:12.960
<v Greg Bourne>I and many others are very concerned.

513
00:29:13.100 --> 00:29:14.860
<v Greg Bourne>And we do need to work very differently.

514
00:29:15.760 --> 00:29:20.760
<v Greg Bourne>So I'm going to end by talking a little bit about climate change.

515
00:29:20.900 --> 00:29:24.840
<v Greg Bourne>And I'm going to talk from a speech which I gave

516
00:29:24.840 --> 00:29:27.600
<v Greg Bourne>on February the 16th of this year,

517
00:29:27.720 --> 00:29:30.180
<v Greg Bourne>which was the day the Kyoto Protocol came into force.

518
00:29:34.280 --> 00:29:36.740
<v Greg Bourne>So this February the 16th, to me,

519
00:29:36.760 --> 00:29:39.460
<v Greg Bourne>was just one signpost on a journey of change,

520
00:29:39.600 --> 00:29:41.140
<v Greg Bourne>and it's going to last a very, very long time.

521
00:29:42.780 --> 00:29:46.020
<v Greg Bourne>The global warming and climate change journey could see humankind

522
00:29:46.840 --> 00:29:50.620
<v Greg Bourne>having to adapt to an environment changing at a faster rate

523
00:29:50.620 --> 00:29:54.080
<v Greg Bourne>than has ever before been experienced by people.

524
00:29:55.060 --> 00:29:58.380
<v Greg Bourne>At a rate which is likely to lead to mass extinctions of species,

525
00:29:59.300 --> 00:30:00.780
<v Greg Bourne>all the journey could be different.

526
00:30:02.160 --> 00:30:05.060
<v Greg Bourne>Previous rapid changes in the environment over history,

527
00:30:05.280 --> 00:30:07.140
<v Greg Bourne>and there have been many, many, many,

528
00:30:07.220 --> 00:30:11.160
<v Greg Bourne>but previous rapid changes over the history of human civilization

529
00:30:11.160 --> 00:30:16.060
<v Greg Bourne>were experienced by people who only knew that the gods had willed it.

530
00:30:16.560 --> 00:30:19.880
<v Greg Bourne>And they tried to understand what they could do,

531
00:30:19.980 --> 00:30:22.460
<v Greg Bourne>and they tried to adapt as best they could.

532
00:30:22.460 --> 00:30:28.600
<v Greg Bourne>We, by contrast, have choice because we have this vast knowledge now of the past

533
00:30:28.600 --> 00:30:34.540
<v Greg Bourne>and pretty good predictive capabilities with regard to the future.

534
00:30:36.300 --> 00:30:41.900
<v Greg Bourne>On the 16th of February 2005, it marked a time when representatives

535
00:30:41.900 --> 00:30:45.660
<v Greg Bourne>of 141 countries which had ratified the Kyoto Protocol,

536
00:30:45.940 --> 00:30:50.780
<v Greg Bourne>representing 5.3 billion people, or 83% of the world's population,

537
00:30:51.180 --> 00:30:52.440
<v Greg Bourne>looking into the future,

538
00:30:52.460 --> 00:30:56.600
<v Greg Bourne>agreed to take one small step for mankind.

539
00:30:57.680 --> 00:31:01.720
<v Greg Bourne>And where it takes us, we don't yet know, and it will take a long time.

540
00:31:02.320 --> 00:31:03.840
<v Greg Bourne>But there seem to be two pathways.

541
00:31:04.140 --> 00:31:07.360
<v Greg Bourne>The first one might be called the selfish road,

542
00:31:07.480 --> 00:31:10.520
<v Greg Bourne>and the second pathway, the pathway of the selfless.

543
00:31:11.020 --> 00:31:14.360
<v Greg Bourne>The selfish road is one in which we all go our own way,

544
00:31:14.460 --> 00:31:18.360
<v Greg Bourne>not caring about what happens in other countries to other peoples.

545
00:31:19.160 --> 00:31:21.500
<v Greg Bourne>It's the world in which politicians proudly say

546
00:31:21.500 --> 00:31:25.040
<v Greg Bourne>that we have no interest in other countries, only interests.

547
00:31:25.900 --> 00:31:29.720
<v Greg Bourne>It's the world of collateral damage, it's the world of the tragedy of the commons,

548
00:31:29.800 --> 00:31:32.100
<v Greg Bourne>and it's a world in which we mine nature.

549
00:31:33.700 --> 00:31:35.740
<v Greg Bourne>Sadly, in fact, it's the way we have always been.

550
00:31:37.320 --> 00:31:41.800
<v Greg Bourne>It could also mark the beginning of a different road, a different pathway,

551
00:31:42.260 --> 00:31:43.900
<v Greg Bourne>and the pathway of the selfless.

552
00:31:44.000 --> 00:31:48.420
<v Greg Bourne>The road could be marked by behaviours which invest outside of self,

553
00:31:48.500 --> 00:31:51.240
<v Greg Bourne>a road where there are no such things as externality,

554
00:31:51.500 --> 00:31:54.540
<v Greg Bourne>in economics, rather we just think of sensible development,

555
00:31:55.240 --> 00:31:58.420
<v Greg Bourne>yielding a surplus in each of the three main dimensions of sustainability.

556
00:31:59.000 --> 00:32:01.840
<v Greg Bourne>A world in which we delight in the diversity of society.

557
00:32:02.520 --> 00:32:04.980
<v Greg Bourne>A world of stewardship and custodianship,

558
00:32:05.000 --> 00:32:07.780
<v Greg Bourne>in which we strive to work in harmony with nature.

559
00:32:09.100 --> 00:32:12.800
<v Greg Bourne>First, we have to learn how to adapt our lifestyles

560
00:32:12.800 --> 00:32:14.420
<v Greg Bourne>to the changing climatic conditions.

561
00:32:15.020 --> 00:32:19.320
<v Greg Bourne>The trajectory is already set, but I believe it's still constrainable if we do act.

562
00:32:20.360 --> 00:32:21.480
<v Greg Bourne>Secondly, we have to learn how to adapt our lifestyles to the changing climatic conditions.

563
00:32:21.500 --> 00:32:24.740
<v Greg Bourne>Thirdly, we have to build whatever resilience we can into our ecosystems and habitats

564
00:32:25.500 --> 00:32:27.900
<v Greg Bourne>in order to protect our unique flora and fauna

565
00:32:27.900 --> 00:32:30.500
<v Greg Bourne>and the productivity of nature upon which we all depend.

566
00:32:31.400 --> 00:32:34.200
<v Greg Bourne>And most importantly, we must learn to focus on the future

567
00:32:34.200 --> 00:32:37.060
<v Greg Bourne>in order to steward the presence for those who follow,

568
00:32:37.220 --> 00:32:42.580
<v Greg Bourne>our children, our grandchildren, and all of the generations of humankind that come after us.

569
00:32:42.720 --> 00:32:44.440
<v Greg Bourne>It is possible. Thank you.

570
00:32:55.560 --> 00:32:58.920
<v Wilson da Silva>Ladies and gentlemen, that was beautifully summed up.

571
00:32:59.020 --> 00:33:03.080
<v Wilson da Silva>And I think we, I can imagine there's a whole bunch of people who want to ask questions.

572
00:33:03.540 --> 00:33:06.300
<v Wilson da Silva>I'll be doing the Oprah Winfrey thing and approaching you.

573
00:33:06.360 --> 00:33:10.240
<v Wilson da Silva>If I can't reach you, could you shout it out and then I'll repeat it so everyone else can hear it

574
00:33:10.240 --> 00:33:13.060
<v Wilson da Silva>and then we approach Greg.

575
00:33:13.140 --> 00:33:14.880
<v Wilson da Silva>So, are there any questions?

576
00:33:15.740 --> 00:33:18.560
<v Wilson da Silva>We have Madam here. Yes. Proceed.

577
00:33:19.480 --> 00:33:21.100
<v Audience>Thank you very much for your lecture.

578
00:33:21.500 --> 00:33:24.480
<v Audience>I think you've raised some very important points.

579
00:33:24.640 --> 00:33:28.940
<v Audience>But I wonder if you would enlarge more on your idea of surplus,

580
00:33:29.060 --> 00:33:33.200
<v Audience>my thoughts with regard to the environment.

581
00:33:33.360 --> 00:33:39.660
<v Audience>Does that mean a huge increase in the kangaroo population, for example?

582
00:33:39.680 --> 00:33:46.100
<v Audience>What does a surplus really mean and what's the reality in terms of balance in that regard?

583
00:33:46.220 --> 00:33:49.860
<v Audience>Because I think they're really almost impossible.

584
00:33:51.800 --> 00:33:59.520
<v Greg Bourne>The way we at WWF and I think about net environmental benefit in this particular case of surplus

585
00:33:59.520 --> 00:34:06.840
<v Greg Bourne>is that if you have to take a piece of land out of its natural environment for whatever reason,

586
00:34:06.960 --> 00:34:11.140
<v Greg Bourne>whether you're changing it into farmland or whether you're changing it into factory land

587
00:34:11.140 --> 00:34:18.040
<v Greg Bourne>or you're changing it into a suburb, how do you make sure that there is a net environmental benefit?

588
00:34:18.040 --> 00:34:24.880
<v Greg Bourne>In that particular case, really the surplus comes about by protecting or covenanting some other land nearby,

589
00:34:25.100 --> 00:34:29.340
<v Greg Bourne>maybe contiguous, maybe of the same sort of balance of species.

590
00:34:29.740 --> 00:34:38.880
<v Greg Bourne>So, certainly behind all of the environmental work is a huge pile of science with regard to how you do get the balance of biodiversity.

591
00:34:39.440 --> 00:34:47.320
<v Greg Bourne>But the reason I use the word surplus particularly is because in economics people talk about the surplus generated by economic activity.

592
00:34:47.320 --> 00:34:50.100
<v Greg Bourne>As being profit or economic value added.

593
00:34:50.300 --> 00:34:52.480
<v Greg Bourne>And everything else is just dismissed as an externality.

594
00:34:52.660 --> 00:34:53.760
<v Greg Bourne>It's just too hard to handle.

595
00:34:54.040 --> 00:34:58.140
<v Greg Bourne>So how do you think of social progress and how do you think of a net environmental benefit?

596
00:34:59.340 --> 00:35:05.460
<v Wilson da Silva>Yes, David Suzuki once said that calling clean air and water an externality as if it's something outside of it is,

597
00:35:05.480 --> 00:35:09.040
<v Wilson da Silva>you might as well, the economy and the economic model might as well be describing Mars

598
00:35:09.740 --> 00:35:11.700
<v Wilson da Silva>because it has no relationship to reality on Earth.

599
00:35:11.940 --> 00:35:13.140
<v Wilson da Silva>Now, do we have another question?

600
00:35:14.260 --> 00:35:15.580
<v Wilson da Silva>Sir, I'll take one from this.

601
00:35:15.660 --> 00:35:17.300
<v Wilson da Silva>And then, sir, I'll have a question.

602
00:35:17.320 --> 00:35:19.460
<v Wilson da Silva>You'll have to shout out and then I'll take yours.

603
00:35:19.860 --> 00:35:21.660
<v Wilson da Silva>And I'm going to hold on to the mic now.

604
00:35:21.780 --> 00:35:25.220
<v Wilson da Silva>I notice Oprah does this because she doesn't trust anyone to take it away.

605
00:35:27.760 --> 00:35:38.720
<v Audience>Up until now, the surplus you talked about has largely come from the fact that we have been using fossil fuels and exploiting labour.

606
00:35:39.560 --> 00:35:47.100
<v Audience>In a world where we live within our annual solar budget,

607
00:35:48.140 --> 00:35:51.740
<v Audience>where do you think that surplus is going to come from?

608
00:35:53.020 --> 00:36:01.320
<v Greg Bourne>I'm absolutely sure that where it mostly comes from is moving ourselves from highly inefficient practices,

609
00:36:01.560 --> 00:36:08.040
<v Greg Bourne>whether they be farming practices or manufacturing practices, to much more efficient ones.

610
00:36:08.160 --> 00:36:10.260
<v Greg Bourne>So that's one of the first transformations that occur.

611
00:36:10.460 --> 00:36:14.880
<v Greg Bourne>We will move into, I believe, what is termed a dematerialised society,

612
00:36:14.880 --> 00:36:17.480
<v Greg Bourne>where we do a lot of things with a lot less.

613
00:36:18.300 --> 00:36:21.180
<v Greg Bourne>We don't actually have to move our lifestyles backwards, I believe.

614
00:36:22.080 --> 00:36:30.180
<v Greg Bourne>And in terms of energy, we will be using a lot more solar, a lot more wind, and biomass, and sustainably driven.

615
00:36:30.440 --> 00:36:36.020
<v Greg Bourne>So in the economic surplus sense, we will be still doing profitable things.

616
00:36:36.620 --> 00:36:43.660
<v Greg Bourne>In the social sense, I do believe societies will make progress, or if not, we do have some problems.

617
00:36:43.660 --> 00:36:49.460
<v Greg Bourne>And I do believe that in the environmental sense, it is possible to repair the land,

618
00:36:49.780 --> 00:36:51.300
<v Greg Bourne>but over a long period of time.

619
00:36:51.380 --> 00:36:55.120
<v Greg Bourne>It's not something that's going to be done over 20, 30, 40 years.

620
00:36:55.300 --> 00:36:58.700
<v Greg Bourne>For Australia, we've had 200 years of digging it up,

621
00:36:58.780 --> 00:37:03.060
<v Greg Bourne>and it's going to take us a couple of 300 years to make it a bit better.

622
00:37:04.240 --> 00:37:05.360
<v Speaker 5>Sir, do you have a question?

623
00:37:05.580 --> 00:37:06.120
<v Speaker 5>Thank you, yes.

624
00:37:07.700 --> 00:37:11.660
<v Speaker 5>You've talked about the need for change, the focus on the future.

625
00:37:12.420 --> 00:37:13.640
<v Speaker 5>One big play.

626
00:37:13.640 --> 00:37:16.340
<v Speaker 5>One big player in all this, of course, is the oil industry from which you've come.

627
00:37:17.520 --> 00:37:23.580
<v Speaker 5>Could you comment on what you see as the impact of the peaking and decline of oil,

628
00:37:23.720 --> 00:37:29.140
<v Speaker 5>and the cross-impact of this at various ways, maybe the cultural, the economic cross-impact, etc.,

629
00:37:29.140 --> 00:37:30.100
<v Speaker 5>on what you're talking about?

630
00:37:30.760 --> 00:37:31.200
<v Greg Bourne>Sure.

631
00:37:33.200 --> 00:37:37.100
<v Greg Bourne>People have often asked me, you know, when will oil run out?

632
00:37:37.180 --> 00:37:40.880
<v Greg Bourne>And there's a trite answer, and the trite answer is it will never run out.

633
00:37:40.940 --> 00:37:42.120
<v Greg Bourne>It will just become more expensive.

634
00:37:42.720 --> 00:37:43.620
<v Greg Bourne>And you do have to think about that.

635
00:37:43.620 --> 00:37:46.040
<v Greg Bourne>You do very definitely see the reaction.

636
00:37:46.140 --> 00:37:48.680
<v Greg Bourne>You're seeing the reaction now, actually, with people in the States,

637
00:37:48.780 --> 00:37:50.720
<v Greg Bourne>particularly beginning to buy smaller cars.

638
00:37:52.020 --> 00:37:55.640
<v Greg Bourne>And we can move off fossil fuels, I have no doubt about it.

639
00:37:55.820 --> 00:37:58.600
<v Greg Bourne>They'll still be around for a very, very long time.

640
00:37:59.360 --> 00:38:04.420
<v Greg Bourne>I think we will see a lot more coal and some carbon sequestration done.

641
00:38:04.600 --> 00:38:08.240
<v Greg Bourne>We'll see many, many different ways of trying to supply our energy needs.

642
00:38:09.800 --> 00:38:13.600
<v Greg Bourne>But to do that requires an enormous amount of energy.

643
00:38:13.600 --> 00:38:15.620
<v Greg Bourne>And that's a paradigm shift in the industrial world.

644
00:38:16.000 --> 00:38:19.360
<v Greg Bourne>And at the moment, there is not yet the will.

645
00:38:19.560 --> 00:38:24.440
<v Greg Bourne>We might see something come out of Glen Eagles, the G8 summit,

646
00:38:24.600 --> 00:38:26.720
<v Greg Bourne>but I doubt if we'll see much come out from America.

647
00:38:26.980 --> 00:38:34.620
<v Greg Bourne>But that big paradigm shift on energy use is fundamentally a huge shift for our societies.

648
00:38:35.080 --> 00:38:37.040
<v Greg Bourne>I am absolutely sure it can be done.

649
00:38:37.460 --> 00:38:42.700
<v Greg Bourne>You know, if you actually just look at yourself, I know that Barbara Hardy is in the room,

650
00:38:42.700 --> 00:38:45.120
<v Greg Bourne>and she has a Prius and I have a Prius.

651
00:38:45.220 --> 00:38:46.620
<v Greg Bourne>And immediately we bought that.

652
00:38:46.700 --> 00:38:48.500
<v Greg Bourne>Another person has a Prius.

653
00:38:48.620 --> 00:38:54.900
<v Greg Bourne>We immediately halved our driving footprint with regard to CO2 emissions.

654
00:38:55.520 --> 00:38:57.600
<v Greg Bourne>Things can be done by individuals.

655
00:38:57.620 --> 00:38:59.160
<v Greg Bourne>They can be done by small businesses.

656
00:38:59.380 --> 00:39:06.060
<v Greg Bourne>But we do need a complete paradigm shift to actually take the whole energy system away from where it currently is,

657
00:39:06.160 --> 00:39:07.460
<v Greg Bourne>which is an unsustainable position.

658
00:39:08.040 --> 00:39:08.780
<v Greg Bourne>Thank you.

659
00:39:08.800 --> 00:39:09.620
<v Greg Bourne>Thank you.

660
00:39:09.620 --> 00:39:10.220
<v Greg Bourne>Thank you.

661
00:39:13.700 --> 00:39:18.740
<v Audience>What are we going to do about the unfair processes, the top-down processes,

662
00:39:18.940 --> 00:39:22.060
<v Audience>the disempowering processes like lectures?

663
00:39:22.500 --> 00:39:26.760
<v Audience>And when are we going to get around to more stakeholder-centred processes,

664
00:39:27.480 --> 00:39:29.220
<v Audience>develop new languages in that area?

665
00:39:30.780 --> 00:39:34.340
<v Greg Bourne>Could you explain a little bit more what you're thinking about, please?

666
00:39:37.700 --> 00:39:40.920
<v Audience>Well, this is a top-down, elitist structure.

667
00:39:41.700 --> 00:39:43.160
<v Audience>It's not bottom-up.

668
00:39:43.200 --> 00:39:45.100
<v Audience>It's not empowering.

669
00:39:46.420 --> 00:39:47.920
<v Audience>We're dependent upon you.

670
00:39:48.020 --> 00:39:50.320
<v Audience>We're not encouraged to do much.

671
00:39:54.160 --> 00:39:57.500
<v Greg Bourne>Well, I'm glad you think it's a top-down, elitist lecture.

672
00:39:57.660 --> 00:40:03.660
<v Greg Bourne>I actually thought it was one which was trying to get across to as many people as possible lots of different ideas.

673
00:40:04.460 --> 00:40:07.460
<v Greg Bourne>I think working from the bottom-up is critical.

674
00:40:07.620 --> 00:40:10.900
<v Greg Bourne>But it's about conversations in society that matter.

675
00:40:10.900 --> 00:40:21.740
<v Greg Bourne>I was at a conference not so long ago when someone said that this particular audience, you know,

676
00:40:21.760 --> 00:40:27.560
<v Greg Bourne>were a self-selected group who were very intelligent, very well educated.

677
00:40:28.520 --> 00:40:35.000
<v Greg Bourne>But he said, did you realise that out there in lawnmower land, most other people don't give a damn?

678
00:40:35.240 --> 00:40:36.520
<v Greg Bourne>They really don't give a damn.

679
00:40:36.920 --> 00:40:40.520
<v Greg Bourne>So then the question is, how do you grow these important conversations?

680
00:40:40.520 --> 00:40:43.360
<v Greg Bourne>How do you grow these conversations out there in the community?

681
00:40:43.580 --> 00:40:48.800
<v Greg Bourne>And it's only when the overall community values sustainability that we'll move forward.

682
00:40:48.940 --> 00:40:56.100
<v Greg Bourne>Because if they don't value it, they won't persuade their elected politicians, and the elected politicians will not do anything about it.

683
00:40:56.360 --> 00:41:00.580
<v Greg Bourne>So to my mind, this is about growing a very, very important conversation.

684
00:41:00.900 --> 00:41:06.040
<v Greg Bourne>And I think everyone in this room has a responsibility to do so in whatever way they can.

685
00:41:06.200 --> 00:41:10.280
<v Wilson da Silva>I guess we're all loci or locuses of – it should be loci, shouldn't it?

686
00:41:10.280 --> 00:41:10.960
<v Wilson da Silva>Of change.

687
00:41:11.240 --> 00:41:18.960
<v Wilson da Silva>If you communicate and enthuse us about change, then it's our duty to pass that on to people at dinner parties.

688
00:41:19.140 --> 00:41:26.300
<v Wilson da Silva>And in the same way that we in a magazine try to communicate science in a way that's engaging and hopefully start dinner conversations,

689
00:41:26.680 --> 00:41:30.140
<v Wilson da Silva>we, if we want to change the world, need to start dinner conversations, don't we?

690
00:41:31.380 --> 00:41:37.840
<v Wilson da Silva>It's not just digging up the dirt and cleaning and rolling up your sleeves and doing things.

691
00:41:37.880 --> 00:41:39.700
<v Wilson da Silva>It's actually communicating it to people around you.

692
00:41:39.760 --> 00:41:40.260
<v Wilson da Silva>We have to do it.

693
00:41:40.280 --> 00:41:40.920
<v Wilson da Silva>We have a question here.

694
00:41:41.460 --> 00:41:43.160
<v Wilson da Silva>Let's take this lady here.

695
00:41:43.300 --> 00:41:43.700
<v Wilson da Silva>Madam.

696
00:41:44.220 --> 00:41:44.860
<v Audience>Hi.

697
00:41:45.280 --> 00:41:56.060
<v Audience>Yeah, my question is how do you think countries like China and India, who hold a huge amount of the world population,

698
00:41:56.400 --> 00:42:02.680
<v Audience>how is their desire to reach our level of – and standard of living going to impact on the environment?

699
00:42:03.760 --> 00:42:06.780
<v Greg Bourne>The – it's very interesting.

700
00:42:06.980 --> 00:42:09.700
<v Greg Bourne>China knows all too clearly.

701
00:42:09.700 --> 00:42:14.100
<v Greg Bourne>The impact it's having on the planet because they see it at home.

702
00:42:14.620 --> 00:42:20.800
<v Greg Bourne>When you go to China now – and I lived there in 1980 and 83 and 84.

703
00:42:21.120 --> 00:42:25.640
<v Greg Bourne>But when you go there now, the amount of pollution in the atmosphere is just enormous.

704
00:42:27.960 --> 00:42:32.080
<v Greg Bourne>They are going to have to clean up their local atmosphere.

705
00:42:32.240 --> 00:42:34.520
<v Greg Bourne>So forgetting about global warming.

706
00:42:34.560 --> 00:42:39.680
<v Greg Bourne>They're going to have to do that because they like the cities of Europe and the world.

707
00:42:39.680 --> 00:42:45.680
<v Greg Bourne>And the cities of North America in the 1940s and 50s have got to a point where it's almost not breathable.

708
00:42:46.180 --> 00:42:51.700
<v Greg Bourne>And so they know only too well the impact they're having locally and are having to fix it up.

709
00:42:52.200 --> 00:42:56.500
<v Greg Bourne>There are some very interestingly – very interesting signs in what China is doing.

710
00:42:57.740 --> 00:43:01.620
<v Greg Bourne>They already have fuel economy standards for cars better than us.

711
00:43:02.480 --> 00:43:09.480
<v Greg Bourne>They are planting more trees than you can poke a stick at, genuinely, because they had cut down so many trees that the –

712
00:43:10.000 --> 00:43:14.780
<v Greg Bourne>the dust storms from the north and from the west are just too significant to bear.

713
00:43:14.840 --> 00:43:18.620
<v Greg Bourne>So they're just planting millions of trees in a way that a democracy can't do it.

714
00:43:19.980 --> 00:43:26.980
<v Greg Bourne>Certainly learning how to cut down on unsustainable use of products at home.

715
00:43:27.080 --> 00:43:33.620
<v Greg Bourne>At the same time, they are very conscious of trying to leapfrog some of the energy technologies.

716
00:43:33.740 --> 00:43:39.360
<v Greg Bourne>They're looking already at how can they go from coal to coal to gas and coal to liquid.

717
00:43:39.360 --> 00:43:41.220
<v Greg Bourne>And doing that quite quickly.

718
00:43:41.940 --> 00:43:43.500
<v Greg Bourne>They're as concerned as anyone else.

719
00:43:43.600 --> 00:43:50.220
<v Greg Bourne>So when people say in Australia that we shouldn't have to do anything about global warming until China does something,

720
00:43:50.660 --> 00:43:52.940
<v Greg Bourne>China is doing a lot. China is doing a lot.

721
00:43:53.700 --> 00:43:55.220
<v Greg Bourne>India is moving a lot as well.

722
00:43:55.320 --> 00:44:05.220
<v Greg Bourne>In Delhi this year, I think it was in February, they finally said that there is no more diesel in trucks to be used in the whole of New Delhi.

723
00:44:05.280 --> 00:44:06.320
<v Greg Bourne>And everything is on LPG.

724
00:44:06.860 --> 00:44:09.260
<v Greg Bourne>And I can tell you a year ago when I was in Delhi,

725
00:44:09.360 --> 00:44:11.400
<v Greg Bourne>or two years ago when I was in Delhi, again hard to breathe.

726
00:44:11.540 --> 00:44:15.960
<v Greg Bourne>Now, it's much better than it was. A hell of a lot better. Just an overnight change.

727
00:44:16.420 --> 00:44:18.360
<v Greg Bourne>So people are thinking very strongly about it.

728
00:44:18.420 --> 00:44:20.080
<v Greg Bourne>But it's going to have an effect on the environment, definitely.

729
00:44:20.600 --> 00:44:22.260
<v Wilson da Silva>Sir, if you could shout out your question.

730
00:44:22.860 --> 00:44:33.240
<v Audience>Sir, the comment has been made about footprints and standing and living and value to the way it's also being accumulated over time, fossil fuels and un-attached labor.

731
00:44:33.680 --> 00:44:37.480
<v Audience>The disparity we have at the moment in terms of our ecological footprint,

732
00:44:37.480 --> 00:44:43.200
<v Audience>ranging from about 0.3 hectares in Afghanistan to 8.5 in America.

733
00:44:43.580 --> 00:44:48.480
<v Audience>Now, the United States is curious about those two countries, or one country is a conflict with the other.

734
00:44:49.460 --> 00:44:54.860
<v Audience>Given that the global averaging of the biophysical resources,

735
00:44:55.200 --> 00:45:01.360
<v Audience>about 6 billion, requires 3.5 annuities to sustain the 78 hectares,

736
00:45:01.640 --> 00:45:06.380
<v Audience>no, and the need for quite substantial change within the 50 year,

737
00:45:06.380 --> 00:45:07.820
<v Audience>the human timeframe,

738
00:45:08.560 --> 00:45:12.920
<v Audience>doesn't that actually mean that we have to drop our standard of living?

739
00:45:14.360 --> 00:45:19.480
<v Greg Bourne>We have to drop our consumption pattern, but I don't think we have to drop our standard of living.

740
00:45:19.740 --> 00:45:25.320
<v Greg Bourne>And the example I often use is my grandmother's house in Fremantle, which is no longer there,

741
00:45:25.460 --> 00:45:31.920
<v Greg Bourne>but my grandmother's house in Fremantle was much, much more energy efficient than most of the houses that are built today.

742
00:45:32.120 --> 00:45:35.640
<v Greg Bourne>It had the big verandas. It had the big thermal mass.

743
00:45:35.640 --> 00:45:39.100
<v Greg Bourne>It had deciduous trees in the right place.

744
00:45:39.260 --> 00:45:43.180
<v Greg Bourne>It was a smartly and sensibly built home.

745
00:45:45.220 --> 00:45:48.760
<v Greg Bourne>When I was with the BP, we talked about people don't actually want petrol.

746
00:45:48.900 --> 00:45:51.840
<v Greg Bourne>It's horrible stuff. It stinks. It burns.

747
00:45:51.920 --> 00:45:55.080
<v Greg Bourne>What they want is what it gives us, which is heat, light, and mobility.

748
00:45:56.260 --> 00:45:58.460
<v Greg Bourne>And again, I talked about the Prius.

749
00:45:58.620 --> 00:46:04.580
<v Greg Bourne>You can halve the footprint of the Prius in terms of at least CO2 emissions just because of its design.

750
00:46:04.580 --> 00:46:08.660
<v Greg Bourne>So my own view is that we can, and we do have the technological ability,

751
00:46:08.860 --> 00:46:15.500
<v Greg Bourne>to move forward reducing our footprint dramatically, but not actually necessarily changing our lifestyle.

752
00:46:15.680 --> 00:46:19.440
<v Greg Bourne>It'll be different, but we might just be happier.

753
00:46:19.700 --> 00:46:24.480
<v Greg Bourne>I certainly don't think it's going back into sort of cave dwelling.

754
00:46:24.800 --> 00:46:28.200
<v Greg Bourne>And to be quite honest, if we tried to persuade people to do that, it just wouldn't work.

755
00:46:28.300 --> 00:46:29.900
<v Greg Bourne>It would not work. People would be selfish.

756
00:46:30.160 --> 00:46:34.360
<v Greg Bourne>So we have to find ways to point to bright,

757
00:46:34.580 --> 00:46:40.040
<v Greg Bourne>bright futures of mobility, of housing, of manufacturing,

758
00:46:40.340 --> 00:46:42.120
<v Greg Bourne>which just have a very much lower footprint.

759
00:46:42.340 --> 00:46:44.380
<v Greg Bourne>And I'm absolutely sure it's possible to be done.

760
00:46:45.080 --> 00:46:51.220
<v Wilson da Silva>But Greg, aren't we at a tipping point at the moment where if we don't address the issues that you've raised in the next century,

761
00:46:51.900 --> 00:46:55.000
<v Wilson da Silva>standard of living will have to go down if we want to consume the same,

762
00:46:55.160 --> 00:46:59.660
<v Wilson da Silva>if we keep consuming things at the rate that we are, then eventually it will have an impact on standard of living.

763
00:47:02.700 --> 00:47:04.560
<v Greg Bourne>Again, there's been a lot of work done.

764
00:47:04.560 --> 00:47:09.020
<v Greg Bourne>There's been a lot of work done on a world which is known as the dematerialized scenario,

765
00:47:09.600 --> 00:47:15.020
<v Greg Bourne>which is basically the fact that we get so many things, but with a lot less actual material use.

766
00:47:15.300 --> 00:47:18.060
<v Greg Bourne>And the classic, I think at the moment is,

767
00:47:19.000 --> 00:47:29.580
<v Greg Bourne>we all remember the huge size of radios that used to be around grandparents' houses and so on like that.

768
00:47:29.660 --> 00:47:31.360
<v Greg Bourne>Sort of this big, etc.

769
00:47:31.880 --> 00:47:33.500
<v Greg Bourne>And now you think of an iPod.

770
00:47:34.560 --> 00:47:42.460
<v Greg Bourne>The amount of materials in that iPod is way, way, way less than was used to produce a radio in my grandparents' time.

771
00:47:43.040 --> 00:47:47.940
<v Greg Bourne>So there are lots of things that can be done by dematerialization and miniaturization.

772
00:47:48.480 --> 00:47:55.280
<v Greg Bourne>So I think the challenge for, if you like, the economic side of the debate is,

773
00:47:55.300 --> 00:47:59.300
<v Greg Bourne>is how do you make sure that we can have a growing,

774
00:48:01.860 --> 00:48:04.540
<v Greg Bourne>well, how can we satisfy our growing needs?

775
00:48:04.540 --> 00:48:07.760
<v Greg Bourne>And wants, but with less and less and less materials?

776
00:48:08.460 --> 00:48:09.560
<v Wilson da Silva>That is a challenge.

777
00:48:09.680 --> 00:48:12.140
<v Wilson da Silva>Sir, we'll take this question and then one last question.

778
00:48:12.800 --> 00:48:13.640
<v Wilson da Silva>Please go ahead.

779
00:48:15.360 --> 00:48:18.760
<v Audience>My concern is the time factor.

780
00:48:18.860 --> 00:48:25.480
<v Audience>I don't think the human species is going to have sufficient time to face the broad brush problems which are arising.

781
00:48:25.740 --> 00:48:29.700
<v Audience>We're already going to be in problems with outbreaks of pandemic disease.

782
00:48:29.860 --> 00:48:32.420
<v Audience>We've poisoned the air, the water and the soil.

783
00:48:32.420 --> 00:48:36.640
<v Audience>And any species which does that to its environment is doomed to extinction.

784
00:48:36.820 --> 00:48:40.300
<v Audience>I think in time, the bacteria will win in the end.

785
00:48:42.060 --> 00:48:42.860
<v Greg Bourne>There you go.

786
00:48:43.900 --> 00:48:45.940
<v Greg Bourne>I think the bacteria always win.

787
00:48:46.920 --> 00:48:49.120
<v Greg Bourne>But, no, I actually share your concern.

788
00:48:49.220 --> 00:48:54.540
<v Greg Bourne>I do believe that we, whether one uses the word tipping point or whether one uses cusp

789
00:48:54.540 --> 00:49:00.480
<v Greg Bourne>or whether one uses sort of limits to growth, whatever phrases that people use at the moment,

790
00:49:00.600 --> 00:49:02.400
<v Greg Bourne>I really do think that the demand is going to be there.

791
00:49:02.420 --> 00:49:06.140
<v Greg Bourne>And I think the next two or three decades are going to decide which way we go.

792
00:49:06.280 --> 00:49:10.620
<v Greg Bourne>And I do think it's linked more to pandemics is one, and the other one is global warming.

793
00:49:12.160 --> 00:49:18.200
<v Greg Bourne>The science on global warming now is so strong that the trends are really, really well known.

794
00:49:18.280 --> 00:49:25.660
<v Greg Bourne>And what the scientists are all worried about are the discontinuities, the things like melting of Greenland's ice cap.

795
00:49:25.880 --> 00:49:32.040
<v Greg Bourne>And my biggest concern, to be quite honest, in the world at the moment is that America will decide to be selfish.

796
00:49:32.420 --> 00:49:42.920
<v Greg Bourne>And if it does, I personally believe that the pathway then becomes social disruption in many, many different forms, including wars.

797
00:49:43.100 --> 00:49:44.860
<v Greg Bourne>And it's not a pretty pathway.

798
00:49:45.080 --> 00:49:51.680
<v Greg Bourne>So to my mind, we have no choice, I think, but to try and work this other pathway as fast as we possibly can.

799
00:49:52.560 --> 00:49:53.580
<v Wilson da Silva>Last question, sir.

800
00:49:54.820 --> 00:49:58.300
<v Audience>I'm hoping maybe out of BP you can give us a story of hope.

801
00:49:59.080 --> 00:50:02.320
<v Audience>When you mentioned the radio, my first thought was my grandpa.

802
00:50:02.360 --> 00:50:02.400
<v Audience>I was a little bit of a fan of the radio.

803
00:50:02.420 --> 00:50:05.680
<v Audience>My grandparents' radio still actually works and was designed to last 100 years.

804
00:50:07.520 --> 00:50:12.580
<v Audience>And in a capitalist model, in order for a company to survive, it has to make products break.

805
00:50:12.820 --> 00:50:16.960
<v Audience>And so even a car with a good ecological footprint is designed not to last very long.

806
00:50:17.220 --> 00:50:21.720
<v Audience>And we're constantly bombarded with ads to tell us to buy the new Priya, which will come out next year.

807
00:50:23.520 --> 00:50:29.580
<v Audience>Have you seen any hope in your corporate life that corporations will actually decide to make less money

808
00:50:29.580 --> 00:50:34.280
<v Audience>in order for the long-term survival, or that they've been pressured to even?

809
00:50:36.700 --> 00:50:43.420
<v Greg Bourne>Again, I don't think I would ever ask business to try and make a deficit

810
00:50:43.420 --> 00:50:50.660
<v Greg Bourne>and society make a surplus and the environment make a surplus, because I don't think that model works.

811
00:50:51.760 --> 00:50:56.200
<v Greg Bourne>But I do think that businesses can be run profitably, but they will be run differently.

812
00:50:56.740 --> 00:50:59.340
<v Greg Bourne>So I'll finish off, therefore, with the case.

813
00:50:59.580 --> 00:51:00.420
<v Greg Bourne>You know, from BP.

814
00:51:00.560 --> 00:51:11.460
<v Greg Bourne>BP used to have a lot of coal, a lot of heavy oil, a lot of shale oil, through to just ordinary crude oil, and about 15% gas.

815
00:51:12.320 --> 00:51:21.100
<v Greg Bourne>And in about 1988 or 87, we recognized that we were heading towards a carbon-constrained world.

816
00:51:21.500 --> 00:51:28.320
<v Greg Bourne>And so basically, all the coal was sold, all the shale oil was sold, all that sort of stuff was not going to be done.

817
00:51:28.400 --> 00:51:29.560
<v Greg Bourne>And the carbon-constrained world was going to be a very, very bad place.

818
00:51:29.580 --> 00:51:33.700
<v Greg Bourne>And so the company moved to around about 50% gas and started investing more in renewables.

819
00:51:34.040 --> 00:51:40.660
<v Greg Bourne>So what I would hope is that companies transform themselves, and the energy companies particularly,

820
00:51:40.700 --> 00:51:43.040
<v Greg Bourne>start beginning to go more and more into renewables.

821
00:51:43.120 --> 00:51:47.200
<v Greg Bourne>Now, I think you'd probably agree, you would want the companies who are doing renewables work

822
00:51:47.200 --> 00:51:52.400
<v Greg Bourne>to be highly successful and making a lot of money so that they can put out more renewables.

823
00:51:52.640 --> 00:51:57.400
<v Greg Bourne>So to my mind, it's not a matter of sort of breaking the economic paradigm of businesses,

824
00:51:57.400 --> 00:52:03.840
<v Greg Bourne>but it's more to do with how can we point them in pathways which take us to better products,

825
00:52:03.960 --> 00:52:07.960
<v Greg Bourne>better services, which have much, much lower footprints as we go forward.

826
00:52:08.560 --> 00:52:13.940
<v Wilson da Silva>Well, ladies and gentlemen, Greg mentioned that political leaders are trying to lead from behind by having us convert them.

827
00:52:14.100 --> 00:52:16.240
<v Wilson da Silva>And I don't think you can accuse Greg Bourne of doing that.

828
00:52:16.460 --> 00:52:20.080
<v Wilson da Silva>He's leading up the front, both in the economy, society, and the environment.

829
00:52:20.220 --> 00:52:21.340
<v Wilson da Silva>And that's fantastic to see.

830
00:52:21.560 --> 00:52:26.640
<v Wilson da Silva>I would hope that he continues to do this,

831
00:52:26.640 --> 00:52:29.800
<v Wilson da Silva>because he's obviously an asset to the environment and to our society.

832
00:52:30.420 --> 00:52:34.820
<v Wilson da Silva>Ladies and gentlemen, could you please thank Greg Bourne for this fabulous lecture?

833
00:52:42.660 --> 00:52:43.320
<v Wilson da Silva>Oh, yes.

834
00:52:44.540 --> 00:52:51.240
<v Wilson da Silva>I've had to be reminded that please return your survey forms which were on your seat when you came in.

835
00:52:51.620 --> 00:52:53.400
<v Wilson da Silva>I have one last little thing.

836
00:52:53.480 --> 00:52:55.500
<v Wilson da Silva>The best question, I think, came from this lady,

837
00:52:55.500 --> 00:52:57.240
<v Wilson da Silva>and I'm going to give her a copy of the magazine.

838
00:52:58.500 --> 00:52:59.360
<v Wilson da Silva>It's a secret prize.

839
00:53:00.000 --> 00:53:01.140
<v Wilson da Silva>Thank you so much for coming.

840
00:53:01.400 --> 00:53:03.820
<v Wilson da Silva>Good on you, Adelaide, and good on you for the festival ideas.

841
00:53:04.020 --> 00:53:05.260
<v Wilson da Silva>It's a wonderful venture.

842
00:53:05.440 --> 00:53:05.640
<v Wilson da Silva>Thanks.

